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cmip6_discussion [2015/09/18 14:38]
mmenegoz [VolMIP]
cmip6_discussion [2016/04/20 18:08]
jgarci1 [ScenarioMIP]
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 ==== DECK ==== ==== DECK ====
 The DECK which will serve as an entry card for CMIP will consist of the following four simulations: The DECK which will serve as an entry card for CMIP will consist of the following four simulations:
-  -  AMIP simulation (~1979-2014) +  -  AMIP simulation (~1979-2014) not run by us but other members of the EC-Earth consortium 
-  -  Pre-industrial control simulation +  -  Pre-industrial control simulation not run by us but other members of the EC-Earth consortium 
-  -  1%/yr CO2 increase +  -  1%/yr CO2 increase not run by us but other members of the EC-Earth consortium 
-  -  Abrupt 4xCO2 run+  -  Abrupt 4xCO2 run not run by us but other members of the EC-Earth consortium
 In addition, the CMIP6 Historical Simulation has been added which will serve as the entry card for CMIP6 and as a benchmark for CMIP6-Endorsed MIPs. The historical simulation (1850-2014) will use the specific forcings consistent with CMIP6 which will be finalized on the timescales laid out in slide 10. The CMIP6 Historical Simulation has been introduced in addition to the DECK to better separate CMIP from a specific Phase of CMIP (see slide 4 for illustration and slide 5 for the main criteria for DECK and Historical Phase X). Both DECK and the CMIP6 Historical Simulation should be run for each model configuration used in the subsequent CMIP6-Endorsed MIPs. Future climate change scenarios will be run as part of ScenarioMIP with a Tier 1 that includes three different scenarios, spanning different possible futures. In addition, the CMIP6 Historical Simulation has been added which will serve as the entry card for CMIP6 and as a benchmark for CMIP6-Endorsed MIPs. The historical simulation (1850-2014) will use the specific forcings consistent with CMIP6 which will be finalized on the timescales laid out in slide 10. The CMIP6 Historical Simulation has been introduced in addition to the DECK to better separate CMIP from a specific Phase of CMIP (see slide 4 for illustration and slide 5 for the main criteria for DECK and Historical Phase X). Both DECK and the CMIP6 Historical Simulation should be run for each model configuration used in the subsequent CMIP6-Endorsed MIPs. Future climate change scenarios will be run as part of ScenarioMIP with a Tier 1 that includes three different scenarios, spanning different possible futures.
 +
 +The climate prediction group will run 5 members of historical simulation for comparison with the decadal predictions that will be run within DCPP (see below).
  
 Further details can be found in the following presentation: http://www.wcrp-climate.org/images/modelling/WGCM/CMIP/CMIP6FinalDesign_WGCMMeeting_150116_Sent.pdf Further details can be found in the following presentation: http://www.wcrp-climate.org/images/modelling/WGCM/CMIP/CMIP6FinalDesign_WGCMMeeting_150116_Sent.pdf
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   * Component B: forecasts   * Component B: forecasts
   * Component C: predictability, mechanisms and case studies   * Component C: predictability, mechanisms and case studies
 +
 +The climate prediction group will run 5 members of hindcasts and 5 members of forecasts. The other 5 members should be run
 +by another member of the EC-Earth consortum (KNMI as for CMIP5?).
  
 Under DCPP, Martin Ménégoz will perform parts of C3, the experiments that focus on the volcanic effect on decadal prediction. These experiments are very close to experiments performed in the context of SPECS and are coordinated with VolMIP. They consist in repeating the decadal hindcasts without the volcanic forcing of large eruptions. Under DCPP, Martin Ménégoz will perform parts of C3, the experiments that focus on the volcanic effect on decadal prediction. These experiments are very close to experiments performed in the context of SPECS and are coordinated with VolMIP. They consist in repeating the decadal hindcasts without the volcanic forcing of large eruptions.
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 Some initial ideas on how to generate an SST and sea-ice forcing set for the AMIP-style runs (including the future part to 2050 and beyond) has been posted to the [[https://dev.knmi.nl/documents/21|wiki]]. Some initial ideas on how to generate an SST and sea-ice forcing set for the AMIP-style runs (including the future part to 2050 and beyond) has been posted to the [[https://dev.knmi.nl/documents/21|wiki]].
 +
 +The climate prediction group will run a 1950-2050 simulation.
  
 Local contact: V. Guemas Local contact: V. Guemas
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   * Tier 2 (additional experiments): SSP4-3.7 (Low), SSP1-6.0 (Medium)           * Tier 2 (additional experiments): SSP4-3.7 (Low), SSP1-6.0 (Medium)        
  
 +The climate prediction group will contribute with 5 members of SSP2-4.5 for a comparison with the decadal predictions that will be run under DCPP.
  
 The final ScenarioMIP proposal for CMIP6 endorsement can be found in the following document: The final ScenarioMIP proposal for CMIP6 endorsement can be found in the following document:
cmip6_discussion.txt · Last modified: 2016/10/25 10:48 by fmassonn