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working_groups:climate_variability_change [2025/11/04 08:32]
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working_groups:climate_variability_change [2026/02/20 22:48] (current)
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 ===== Peer-reviewed articles co-authored by CVC members =====  ===== Peer-reviewed articles co-authored by CVC members ===== 
 +====2026====
 +  - Delgado-Torres, C., M.G. Donat, N. Pérez-Zanón, V, Torralba, R. Bilbao, P.-A. Bretonnière, M. Samsó-Cabré, A. Soret and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2026). Seamless climate information from months to multiple years: constraining decadal predictions with seasonal predictions and past observations, and their comparison to multi-annual predictions. Earth System Dynamics, 17, 41-56, doi:10.5194/esd-17-41-2026. Open Access (ASPECT, BOREAS) [ESS,CVC,CES,GES]
 +  - Doblas-Reyes, F. J., J. Kontkanen, I. Sandu, M. Acosta, M. H. Al Turjmam, I. Alsina-Ferrer, M. Andrés-Martínez, L. Arriola, M. Axness, M. Batlle Martín, P. Bauer, T. Becker, D. Beltrán, S. Beyer, H. Bockelmann, P.-A. Bretonnière, S. Cabaniols, S. Caprioli, M. Castrillo, A. Chandrasekar, S. Cheedela, V. Correal, E. Danovaro, P. Davini, J. Enkovaara, C. Frauen, B. Früh, A. Gaya Àvila, P. Ghinassi, R. Ghosh, S. Ghosh, I. González, K. Grayson, M. Griffith, I. Hadade, C. Haine, C. Hartick, U.-U. Haus, S. Hearne, H. Järvinen, B. Jiménez, A. John, M. Juchem, T. Jung, J. Kegel, M. Kelbling, K. Keller, B. Kinoshita, T. Kiszler, D. Klocke, L. Kluft, N. Koldunov, T. Kölling, J. Kolstela, L. Kornblueh, S. Kosukhin, A. Lacima-Nadolnik, J. J. Leal Rojas, J. Lehtiranta, T. Lunttila, A. Luoma, P. Manninen, A. Medvedev, S. Milinski, A. O. A. Mohammed, S. Müller, D. Naryanappa, N. Nazarova, S. Niemelä, B. Niraula, H. Nortamo, A. Nummelin, M. Nurisso, P. Ortega, S. Paronuzzi, X. Pedruzo Bagazgoitia, C. Pelletier, C. Peña, S. Polade, H. Pradhan, R. Quintanilla, T. Quintino, T. Rackow, J. Räisänen, M. M. Rajput, R. Redler, B. Reuter, N. Rocha Monteiro, F. Roura-Adserias, S. Ruppert, S. Sayed, R. Schnur, T. Sharma, D. Sidorenko, O. Sievi-Korte, A. Soret, C. Steger, B. Stevens, J. Streffing, J. Sunny, L. Tenorio, S. Thober, U. Tigerstedt, O. Tinto, J. Tonttila, H. Tuomenvirta, L. Tuppi, G. Van Thielen, E. Vitali, J. von Hardenberg, I. Wagner, N. Wedi, J. Wehner, S. Willner, X. Yepes-Arbós, F. Ziemen, and J. Zimmermann: The Destination Earth digital twin for climate change adaptation (2026). Geoscientific Model Development, Accepted, doi:10.5194/egusphere-2025-2198. Open Access [CVC, GES, CES]
 +  - Everingham, S. E., I. A., Wright, L., Teckentrup, S., Allen and R. V., Gallagher (2026). Exposure and sensitivity of threatened plant species to changing drought regimes: A global analysis. Biological Conservation, 315, doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111684. Open Access [CVC]
 +  - Li, C., M. Kotz et al. (2026) Climate change drives a decline in global grazing systems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences [CVC]
 +  - Ospina, D., P. Mirazo, R. P. Allan, S. Basnett, A. Bastos, N. Bhattarai, W. Broadgate, D. J. Broekhoff, M. Bustamante, D. Chen, Y. Choi, P. Cox, L. A. Domeignoz-Horta, K. Ebi, P. Friedlingstein, T. L. Frölicher, S. Fuss, H. F. Goessling, N. Gruber, Q. He, S. R. Hebden, N. Hedrich, A. Heilemann, M. Hirota, Ø. Hodnebrog, G. Hugelius, S. Izquierdo-Tort, S. Juhola, F. Kasuga, P. Ke, D. I. Kelley, Ş. Kilkiş, M. Kotz, et al. Ten new insights in climate science 2025 (2026). Global Sustainability [CVC]
 +  - Palma, L., A. Peraza, D. Civantos-Prieto, A. Duarte, S. Materia, Á.G. Muñoz, J. Peña-Izquierdo, L. Romero, A. Soret and M.G. Donat (2026). Data-driven seasonal climate predictions via variational inference and transformers. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 9, 48, doi:10.1038/s41612-026-01320-z. Open Access (AI4Drought, CERISE, EXPECT) [ESS/CVC]
 ====2025==== ====2025====
   - Aalto, T., A. Tsuruta, J. Mäkelä, J. Müller, M. Tenkanen, E. Burke, S. Chadburn, Y. Gao, V. Mannisenaho, T. Kleinen, H. Lee, A. Leppänen, T. Markkanen, S. Materia, P.A. Miller, D. Peano, O. Peltola, B. Poulter, M. Raivonen, M. Saunois, D. Wårlind, and S. Zaehle: Air temperature and precipitation constraining the modelled wetland methane emissions in a boreal region in northern Europe, Biogeosciences, 22, 323–340 [[https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-323-2025]] //Open Access// [CVC]   - Aalto, T., A. Tsuruta, J. Mäkelä, J. Müller, M. Tenkanen, E. Burke, S. Chadburn, Y. Gao, V. Mannisenaho, T. Kleinen, H. Lee, A. Leppänen, T. Markkanen, S. Materia, P.A. Miller, D. Peano, O. Peltola, B. Poulter, M. Raivonen, M. Saunois, D. Wårlind, and S. Zaehle: Air temperature and precipitation constraining the modelled wetland methane emissions in a boreal region in northern Europe, Biogeosciences, 22, 323–340 [[https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-323-2025]] //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Alexander, L. V., P. L. Nguyen, M. G. Donat, R. J. H. Dunn, S. Tett, X. Zhang, L. M. Alves, M. Bador, X. Deng, P. B. Gibson, A. King, C. Lennard, S. Min, R. Roca and B. Trewin (2025). Less intense daily precipitation maxima in regional compared to global gridded products, Journal of Climate, 38, 7669–7693, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0222.1. [CVC]
 +  - Aranyossy, A., P. De Luca, C. Delgado-Torres, B. Solaraju-Murali, M. Samso Cabre and M.G. Donat (2025). Multi-annual predictions of hot, dry and hot-dry compound extremes. Earth System Dynamics, 16, 2225–2251, doi:10.5194/esd-16-2225-2025. Open Access (ASPECT) [CVC, ESS]
   - Bilbao, R., T. J. Aubry, M. Toohey & P. Ortega (2025). The sensitivity of EC-Earth3 decadal predictions to the choice of volcanic forcing dataset: Insights for the next major eruption, [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/18/6239/2025/   - Bilbao, R., T. J. Aubry, M. Toohey & P. Ortega (2025). The sensitivity of EC-Earth3 decadal predictions to the choice of volcanic forcing dataset: Insights for the next major eruption, [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/18/6239/2025/
  | Geoscientific Model Development, 18, 6239–6254, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-6239-2025  | Geoscientific Model Development, 18, 6239–6254, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-6239-2025
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   - Delgado-Torres, C., S. Octenjak, R. Marcos-Matamoros, N. Pérez-Zanón, E. Baulenas, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M.G. Donat, L.M. Lwiza, N. Milders, A. Soret, S. Whittlesey and D. Bojovic (2025). Supporting food security with multi-annual climate information: Co-production of climate services for the Southern African Development Community. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179259|Science of The Total Environment, 975, 179259, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179259]]. //Open Access// [ESS,CVC,GES] (ASPECT, FOCUS-Africa, PATHFINDER)   - Delgado-Torres, C., S. Octenjak, R. Marcos-Matamoros, N. Pérez-Zanón, E. Baulenas, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M.G. Donat, L.M. Lwiza, N. Milders, A. Soret, S. Whittlesey and D. Bojovic (2025). Supporting food security with multi-annual climate information: Co-production of climate services for the Southern African Development Community. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179259|Science of The Total Environment, 975, 179259, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179259]]. //Open Access// [ESS,CVC,GES] (ASPECT, FOCUS-Africa, PATHFINDER)
   - Dinasquet, J., D.S. Hamilton, I.M. Leyba, J. Llort, T. Marshall, R.R. de Oliveira, M.M.G Perron, L. Tinel, V. Garçon, C. Marandino, N. Steiner, D. Wallace and L. Li, (2025). Thriving Through Synergy: Fostering a SOLAS Science Community Built on Equity, International Connections, and the Integration of Early Career Scientists. Oceanography 38, 31–35. [[https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2025.140]]. //Open Access// [CVC, AC]   - Dinasquet, J., D.S. Hamilton, I.M. Leyba, J. Llort, T. Marshall, R.R. de Oliveira, M.M.G Perron, L. Tinel, V. Garçon, C. Marandino, N. Steiner, D. Wallace and L. Li, (2025). Thriving Through Synergy: Fostering a SOLAS Science Community Built on Equity, International Connections, and the Integration of Early Career Scientists. Oceanography 38, 31–35. [[https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2025.140]]. //Open Access// [CVC, AC]
 +  - Frigola, A., E. Martin-Martinez, E. Moreno-Chamarro, M. Samsó, S. Loosvelt-Tomas, P.-A. Bretonnière, D. Kuznetsova, X. Lin, P. Ortega (2025). The North Atlantic mean state in mesoscale eddy-resolving coupled models: a multimodel study. Ocean Science, 21, 3507–3540, doi:10.5194/os-21-3507-2025. Open Access (STREAM, EERIE, SGR2021_CVC) [CVC]
   - Gaymer C.F., D. Wagner, R. Alvarez-Varas, B. Boteler, L. Bravo, C.M. Brooks, V. Chavez-Molina, D. Currie, J. Delgado, B. Dewitte, E.E. Easton, A.M. Friedlander, M.A. Gallardo, M. Gianni, K. Gjerde, M. Gorny, S. Hormazabal, R. Hucke-Gaete, G. Luna-Jorquera, A. Mecho, N. Morales-Serrano, L. Morgan, P. Nuñez, M. Ramos, J. Rapu, C. Rodrigo, J. Sellanes, E. Soto, M. Thiel, L. Van der Meer and D. Veliz (2025). Research advances and conservation needs for an effective protection of the Salas y Gómez and Nazca ridges: a natural and cultural heritage hotspot in the southeastern Pacific Ocean. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2024.106453 | Marine Policy, 171, 106453, doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2024.106453]]. //Open Access// [CVC]   - Gaymer C.F., D. Wagner, R. Alvarez-Varas, B. Boteler, L. Bravo, C.M. Brooks, V. Chavez-Molina, D. Currie, J. Delgado, B. Dewitte, E.E. Easton, A.M. Friedlander, M.A. Gallardo, M. Gianni, K. Gjerde, M. Gorny, S. Hormazabal, R. Hucke-Gaete, G. Luna-Jorquera, A. Mecho, N. Morales-Serrano, L. Morgan, P. Nuñez, M. Ramos, J. Rapu, C. Rodrigo, J. Sellanes, E. Soto, M. Thiel, L. Van der Meer and D. Veliz (2025). Research advances and conservation needs for an effective protection of the Salas y Gómez and Nazca ridges: a natural and cultural heritage hotspot in the southeastern Pacific Ocean. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2024.106453 | Marine Policy, 171, 106453, doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2024.106453]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
   - Gulizia, C., R. Saurral and I. Camilloni (2025). Potential effects of stratospheric aerosol injection on the mean and extreme climate of South America. [[https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ae065a | Environmental Research: Climate, 4, 045004, doi:10.1088/2752-5295/ae065a]]. //Open Access// [CVC]   - Gulizia, C., R. Saurral and I. Camilloni (2025). Potential effects of stratospheric aerosol injection on the mean and extreme climate of South America. [[https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ae065a | Environmental Research: Climate, 4, 045004, doi:10.1088/2752-5295/ae065a]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
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   - Roldán-Gómez, P. J., P. Ortega, and M. G. Donat (2025). Contribution of meridional overturning circulation and sea ice changes to large-scale temperature asymmetries in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios, [[https://os.copernicus.org/articles/21/2283/2025/ | Ocean Science, 21, 2283–2303, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-2283-2025]]. //Open Access// (RESCUE, PRECEDE) [CVC]   - Roldán-Gómez, P. J., P. Ortega, and M. G. Donat (2025). Contribution of meridional overturning circulation and sea ice changes to large-scale temperature asymmetries in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios, [[https://os.copernicus.org/articles/21/2283/2025/ | Ocean Science, 21, 2283–2303, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-2283-2025]]. //Open Access// (RESCUE, PRECEDE) [CVC]
   - Roberts, M. J., K. A. Reed, Q. Bao, J. J. Barsugli, S. J. Camargo, L.-P. Caron, P. Chang, C.-T. Chen, H. M. Christensen, G. Danabasoglu, I. Frenger, N. S. Fučkar, S. U. Hasson, H. T. Hewitt, H. Huang, D. Kim, C. Kodama, M. Lai, L.-Y. R. Leung, R. Mizuta, P. Nobre, P. Ortega, D. Paquin, C. D. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, J. Seddon, A. M. Treguier, C.-Y. Tu, P. A. Ullrich, P. L. Vidale, M. F. Wehner, C. M. Zarzycki, B. Zhang, W. Zhang, and M. Zhao (2025). High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project phase 2 (HighResMIP2) towards CMIP7, [[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1307-2025 | Geoscientific Model Development, 18, 1307–1332]]. //Open Access// (EERIE) [CVC]   - Roberts, M. J., K. A. Reed, Q. Bao, J. J. Barsugli, S. J. Camargo, L.-P. Caron, P. Chang, C.-T. Chen, H. M. Christensen, G. Danabasoglu, I. Frenger, N. S. Fučkar, S. U. Hasson, H. T. Hewitt, H. Huang, D. Kim, C. Kodama, M. Lai, L.-Y. R. Leung, R. Mizuta, P. Nobre, P. Ortega, D. Paquin, C. D. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, J. Seddon, A. M. Treguier, C.-Y. Tu, P. A. Ullrich, P. L. Vidale, M. F. Wehner, C. M. Zarzycki, B. Zhang, W. Zhang, and M. Zhao (2025). High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project phase 2 (HighResMIP2) towards CMIP7, [[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1307-2025 | Geoscientific Model Development, 18, 1307–1332]]. //Open Access// (EERIE) [CVC]
 +  - Santos-Espeso, A., M. Gonçalves Ageitos, P. Ortega, C. Pérez García-Pando, M.G. Donat, M. Samso Cabré and S. Loosveldt Tomas (2025). Regional climate imprints of recent historical changes in anthropogenic Near Term Climate Forcers. Earth System Dynamics, 16, 2161–2186. Open Access (FOCI, CERTAINTY, AXA Chair, 2021 SGR 000786 and 01550) [AC, CVC]
   - Saurral, R., F. Doblas-Reyes, J. Screen, J. Catto, S. Hay, and H. Yu (2025). Western Mediterranean droughts fostered by Arctic sea ice loss. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/38/13/JCLI-D-25-0066.1.xml|Journal of Climate, 38, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0066.1]]. //Open access// (Polar2MidLat,AI4S)[CVC]   - Saurral, R., F. Doblas-Reyes, J. Screen, J. Catto, S. Hay, and H. Yu (2025). Western Mediterranean droughts fostered by Arctic sea ice loss. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/38/13/JCLI-D-25-0066.1.xml|Journal of Climate, 38, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0066.1]]. //Open access// (Polar2MidLat,AI4S)[CVC]
   -  Saurral, R., J. Screen, and F. Doblas-Reyes (2025) Model-dependent response of low clouds to Arctic sea-ice loss. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025GL117035 | Geophysical Research Letters, 52 (18), doi:10.1029/2025GL117035]] //Open Access// (Polar2MidLat,AI4S)[CVC]   -  Saurral, R., J. Screen, and F. Doblas-Reyes (2025) Model-dependent response of low clouds to Arctic sea-ice loss. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025GL117035 | Geophysical Research Letters, 52 (18), doi:10.1029/2025GL117035]] //Open Access// (Polar2MidLat,AI4S)[CVC]
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   - Verjans, V., C.L.E. Franzke, S.S. Lee, I.W. Kim, S. Tilmes, D.M. Lawrence, F. Vitt and F. Li (2025). Quantifying CO2 forcing effects on lightning, wildfires, and climate interactions. [[https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adt5088 | Science Advances, 11, doi:10.1126/sciadv.adt5088]]. //Open Access// [CVC]   - Verjans, V., C.L.E. Franzke, S.S. Lee, I.W. Kim, S. Tilmes, D.M. Lawrence, F. Vitt and F. Li (2025). Quantifying CO2 forcing effects on lightning, wildfires, and climate interactions. [[https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adt5088 | Science Advances, 11, doi:10.1126/sciadv.adt5088]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
   - Verjans, V., Robel, A. A., Ultee, L., Seroussi, H., Thompson, A. F., Ackermann, L., Choi, Y., and Krebs-Kanzow, U. (2025). The Greenland Ice Sheet Large Ensemble (GrISLENS): simulating the future of Greenland under climate variability, [[https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-3749-2025]]. //Open Access// [CVC]   - Verjans, V., Robel, A. A., Ultee, L., Seroussi, H., Thompson, A. F., Ackermann, L., Choi, Y., and Krebs-Kanzow, U. (2025). The Greenland Ice Sheet Large Ensemble (GrISLENS): simulating the future of Greenland under climate variability, [[https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-3749-2025]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Yeung, N. K. H., L., Teckentrup, L., Menviel, K. J., Meissner, A. J., Pitman, T. Ziehn and M. A., Chamberlain (2025). Simulated terrestrial warming at the last interglacial due to vegetation change. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 40, e2025PA005225. doi:10.1029/2025PA005225 [CVC]
 ====2024==== ====2024====
   - {{:publications:alonso.et.al.2024.pdf |Alonso}}, G., C. Simionato, M. Dinápoli, R. Saurral and N. Bodnariuk (2024). Positive storm surges in the Río de la Plata estuary: forcings, long-term variability, trends and linkage with Southwestern Atlantic Continental Shelf dynamics. [[ https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06402-w | Natural Hazards, doi:1007/s11069-024-06402-w]]. [CVC]   - {{:publications:alonso.et.al.2024.pdf |Alonso}}, G., C. Simionato, M. Dinápoli, R. Saurral and N. Bodnariuk (2024). Positive storm surges in the Río de la Plata estuary: forcings, long-term variability, trends and linkage with Southwestern Atlantic Continental Shelf dynamics. [[ https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06402-w | Natural Hazards, doi:1007/s11069-024-06402-w]]. [CVC]
working_groups/climate_variability_change.txt · Last modified: 2026/02/20 22:48 by portega