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working_groups:climate_prediction:publications

Table of Contents

A list of the publications, either peer-reviewed or other types, can be found in this section. For those papers that are not open access, do not hesitate to send a message to any of us to request an open access copy of these papers.

You might also want to have a look at our series of technical memoranda.

When adding new publications, please, follow these formatting rules:

  • Naming convention: surname, initials first author, initials, surname following authors, (year of publication), title. Journal, volume, pages, doi, (project)
  • Link the pdf file of the publication to the first surname in the list of authors. Naming convention of the pdf file: username_journalname_year.pdf
  • Please follow the alphabetical and chronological ascending order
  • If your paper is open access please indicate and do not attach the paper to the first author

Peer-reviewed papers

2022

  1. Delgado-Torres, C., M.G. Donat, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, L-P. Caron, P.J. Athanasiadis, P.A. Bretonnière, N.J. Dunstone, A. Ho, D. Nicoli, K. Pankatz, A. Paxian, N. Pérez-Zanón, M.S. Cabré, B. Solaraju-Murali, A. Soret and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2022). Multi-model forecast quality assessment of CMIP6 decadal predictions. Journal of Climate, 35, 4363-4382, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0811.1. (EUCP, C3S_34c)
  2. Döscher, R., M. Acosta, A. Alessandri, P. Anthoni, A. Arneth,T. Arsouze, T. Bergmann, R. Bernadello, S. Bousetta, L.-P. Caron, G. Carver, M. Castrillo, F. Catalano, I. Cvijanovic, P. Davini, E. Dekker, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Docquier, P. Echevarria, U. Fladrich, R. Fuentes-Franco, M. Gröger, J. v. Hardenberg, J. Hieronymus, M.P. Karami, J.-P. Keskinen, T. Koenigk, R. Makkonen, F. Massonnet, M. Ménégoz, P.A. Miller, E. Moreno-Chamarro, L. Nieradzik, T. van Noije, P. Nolan, D. O’Donnell, P. Ollinaho, G. van den Oord, P. Ortega, O. Tintó Prims, A. Ramos, T. Reerink, C. Rousset, Y. Ruprich-Robert, P. Le Sager, T. Schmith, R. Schrödner, F. Serva, V. Sicardi, M. Sloth Madsen, B. Smith, T. Tian, E. Tourigny, P. Uotila, M. Vancoppenolle, S. Wang, D. Wårlind, U. Willén, K. Wyser, S. Yang, X. Yepes-Arbós and Q. Zhang (2022). The EC-Earth3 Earth system model for the Climate Model Intercomparison Project 6. Geoscientific Model Development, accepted, doi:10.5194/gmd-2020-446
  3. Langehaug, H.R., P. Ortega, F. Counillon, D. Matei, E. Maroon, N. Keenlyside, J. Mignot, Y. Wang, D. Swingedouw, I. Bethke, S. Yang, G. Danabasoglu, A. Bellucci, P. Ruggieri, D. Nicolì and M. Årthun (2022). Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and their predictive potential along the Atlantic water pathway. Journal of Climate, accepted. (RyC_Pablo))
  4. Kilbourne, H., A. Wanamaker, P. Moffa-Sanchez, D. Reynolds, D. Amrhein, P. Butler, G. Gebbie, M. Goes, M. Jansen, C. Little, M. Mette, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, B. Otto-Bliesner, T. Rossby, J. Scourse and N. Whitney (2022). Atlantic circulation change still uncertain. Nature Geoscience, accepted. (RyC_Pablo, PARAMOUR)
  5. Moreno-Chamarro, E., L.-P. Caron, S. Loosveldt Tomas, J. Vegas-Regidor, O. Gutjahr, M.-P. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C.D. Roberts, M.J. Roberts, R. Senan, L. Terray, E. Tourigny and P.L. Vidale (2022). Impact of increased resolution on long-standing biases in HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA climate models. Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 269–289, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-269-2022. Open Access (PRIMAVERA, IS-ENES3, SPFireSD, CMUG-CCI3-TECHPROP, STREAM)
  6. Moreno-Chamarro, E. (2022). Delayed recovery of the tropical rain belt. Nature Climate change, 12, 9–10, doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01237-w.
  7. ​Pelletier, C., T. Fichefet, H. Goosse, K. Haubner, S. Helsen, P.-V. Huot, C. Kittel, F. Klein, S. Le clec'h, N. P. M. van Lipzig, S. Marchi, F. Massonnet, P. Mathiot, E. Moravveji, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, F. Pattyn, N. Souverijns, G. Van Achter, S. Vanden Broucke, A. Vanhulle, D. Verfaillie and L. Zipf (2022). PARASO, a circum-Antarctic fully-coupled ice-sheet - ocean - sea-ice - atmosphere - land model involving f.ETISh1.7, NEMO3.6, LIM3.6, COSMO5.0 and CLM4.5. Geoscience Model Development, 15, 553–594, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-553-2022. Open Access (PARAMOUR)
  8. Smith D., R. Eade, M. Andrews, H. Ayres, A. Clark, S. Chripko, C. Deser, N. Dunstone, J. Garcia-Serrano, G. Gastineau, L. S. Graff, S. C. Hardiman, B. He, L. Hermanson, T. Jung, J. Knight, X. Levine, G. Magnusdottir, E. Manzini, D. Matei, M. Mori, R. Msadek, P. Ortega, Y. Peings, A. A. Scaife, J. A. Screen, M. Seabrook, T. Semmler M. Sigmond, J. Streffing, L. Sun and A. Walsh (2022). Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss. Nat. Comms., accepted. (RyC_Pablo, APPLICATE)
  9. Whaley, C. H., R. Mahmood, K. von Salzen et al. (2022). Model evaluation of short-lived climate forcers for the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme: a multi-species, multi-model study. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, doi:10.5194/acp-2021-975. Open Access

2021

  1. Bilbao, R., S. Wild, P. Ortega, J. Acosta-Navarro, T. Arsouze, P.-A. Bretonnière, L.-P. Caron, M. Castrillo, R. Cruz-García, I. Cvijanovic, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M. Donat, E. Dutra, P. Echevarría, A.-C. Ho, S. Loosveldt-Tomas, E. Moreno-Chamarro, N. Pérez-Zanon, A. Ramos, Y. Ruprich-Robert, V. Sicardi, E. Tourigny and J. Vegas-Regidor (2021). Assessment of a full-field initialised decadal climate prediction system with the CMIP6 version of EC-Earth. Earth System Dynamics, 12, 173-196, doi:10.5194/esd-2020-66. Open Access (EUCP, APPLICATE, INTAROS, CLINSA, PARAMOUR, ESA/CMUG, INADEC, SPFireSD, STARS_Simon, Beautriu de Pinos, JdlC_Juan, FPU, RyC_Markus, RyC_Pablo)
  2. Carmo-Costa, T., R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, A. Teles-Machado and E. Dutra (2021). Trends, variability and predictive skill of the ocean heat content in North Atlantic: An analysis with the EC-Earth3 model. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05962-y. Open Access (RyC_Pablo, EUCP)
  3. Contractor, S., M.G. Donat and L.V. Alexander (2021). Changes in observed daily precipitation over global land areas since 1950. Journal of Climate, 34, 3-19, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0965.1. (RyC_Markus)
  4. Cruz-García, R., P. Ortega, V. Guemas, J. Acosta-Navarro, F. Massonnet and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2021). An anatomy of Arctic sea ice forecast biases in the seasonal prediction system with EC-Earth. Climate Dynamics, 56, 1799-1813, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05560-4. (APPLICATE)
  5. Della Penna, A., J. Llort, S. Moreau, R. Patel, R. Kloser, P. Gaube, P.G. Strutton and P. Boyd (2021). The impact of a Southern Ocean cyclonic eddy on mesopelagic micronekton. Earth and Space Science Open Archive, doi:10.1002/essoar.10507935.1. (MESH-STARS J.Llort)
  6. Deroubaix, A., I. Labuhn, M. Camredon, B. Gaubert, P.-A. Monerie, M. Popp, J. Ramarohetra, Y. Ruprich-Robert, L.G. Silvers and G. Siour (2021). Large uncertainties in trends of energy demand for heating and cooling under climate change. Nature Communications, 12, 5197, doi:0.1038/s41467-021-25504-8. Open Access
  7. Dunn, R., C. Lief, G. Peng, W. Wright, O. Baddour, M. Donat, B. Dubuisson, J.-F. Legeais, P. Siegmund, R. Silveira, X.L. Wang and M Ziese (2021). Stewardship maturity assessment tools for modernization of climate data management. Data Science Journal, 20, 7, doi:10.5334/dsj-2021-007. Open Access (RyC_Markus)
  8. Exarchou, E., P. Ortega, B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, T. Losada, I. Polo and C. Prodhomme (2021). Impact of equatorial Atlantic variability on ENSO predictive skill. Nature Communications, 12, 1612, doi:10.1038/s41467-021-21857-2. Open Access (PREFACE, TRIATLAS)
  9. Hariadi, M. H., G. van der Schrier, G.-J. Steeneveld, A. Sopaheluwakan, A. K. Tank, M. J. Roberts, M.-P. Moine, A. Bellucci, R. Senan, E. Tourigny and D. Putrasahan (2021). Evaluation of onset, cessation and seasonal precipitation of the Southeast Asia rainy season in CMIP5 regional climate models and HighResMIP global climate models. International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.7404. Open Access (PRIMAVERA, SPFireSD)
  10. Hegerl, G.C., A.P. Ballinger, B.B.B. Booth, L.F. Borchert, L. Brunner, M.G. Donat, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, G.R. Harris, J. Lowe, R. Mahmood, J. Mignot, J.M. Murphy, D. Swingedouw and A. Weisheimer (2021). Toward consistent observational constraints in climate predictions and projections. Frontiers in Climate, 3, doi:10.3389/fclim.2021.678109. Open Access (EUCP)
  11. Im, U., K. Tsigaridis, G. Faluvegi, P. L. Langen, J. P. French, R. Mahmood, T. Manu, K. von Salzen, D. C. Thomas, C. H. Whaley, Z. Klimont, H. Skov, and J. Brandt (2021). Present and future aerosol impacts on Arctic climate change in the GISS-E2.1 Earth system model. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21, 10413–10438, doi:10.5194/acp-21-10413-2021. Open Access
  12. Jones, C.D., J. E. Hickman, S.T. Rumbold, J. Walton, R.D. Lamboll, R. B. Skeie, S. Fiedler, P.M. Forster, J. Rogelj, M. Abe, M. Botzet, K. Calvin, C. Cassou, J.N.S. Cole, P. Davini, M. Deushi, M. Dix, J.C. Fyfe, N. P. Gillett, T. Ilyina, M. Kawamiya, M. Kelley, S. Kharin, T. Koshiro, H. Li, C. Mackallah, W.A. Müller, P. Nabat, T. van Noije, P. Nolan, R. Ohgaito, D. Olivié, N. Oshima, J. Parodi, T.J. Reerink, L. Ren, A. Romanou, R. Séférian, Y. Tang, C. Timmreck, J. Tjiputra, E. Tourigny, K. Tsigaridis, H. Wang, M. Wu, K. Wyser, S. Yang, Y. Yang and T. Ziehn (2021). The climate response to emissions reductions due to COVID‐19: Initial results from CovidMIP. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2020GL091883, doi:202110.1029/2020GL091883. Open Access (4C)
  13. Katja, W., L. Bock, B. K. Gier, A. Lauer, M. Righi, M. Schlund, K. Adeniyi, B. Andela, E. Arnone, P. Berg, L.P. Caron, I. Cionni, S. Corti, N. Drost, A. Hunter, L. Lledó, C. Wilhelm Mohr, A. Paçal, N. Pérez-Zanón, V. Predoi, M. Sandstad, J. Sillmann, A. Sterl, J. Vegas-Regidor, J. von Hardenberg and V. Eyring (2021). Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for extreme events, regional and impact evaluation and analysis of Earth system models in CMIP. Geoscientific Model Development, 14, 3159–3184, doi:10.5194/gmd-2020-244.
  14. Kreussler, P., L-P. Caron, S. Wild, S. Loosveldt-Tomas, F. Chauvin, M-P. Moine, M.J. Roberts, Y. Ruprich-Robert, J. Seddon, S. Valcke, B. Vannière and P.L. Vidale (2021). Tropical cyclone integrated kinetic energy in an ensemble of HighResMIP simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2020GL090963, doi:10.1029/2020GL090963. (PRIMAVERA, STARS_Simon, JdlC_Simon)
  15. Levine, X.J., I. Cvijanovic, P. Ortega, M.G. Donat and E. Tourigny (2021). Atmospheric feedback explains disparate climate response to regional Arctic sea-ice loss. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4, 28, doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00183-w. Open Access (X. Levine STARS, I. Cvijanovic Beatriu de Pinos, RyC_Markus, RyC_Pablo, E. Tourigny SPFireSD, APPLICATE)
  16. Mahmood, R., M.G. Donat, P. Ortega, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and Y. Ruprich-Robert (2021). Constraining decadal variability yields skillful projections of near-term climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2021GL094915, doi:10.1029/2021GL094915. Open Access (EUCP, RyC_Pablo, RyC_Markus)
  17. Materia, S., C. Ardilouze, C. Prodhomme, M.G. Donat, M. Benassi, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Peano, L.-P. Caron, P. Ruggieri and S. Gualdi (2021). Summer temperature response to extreme soil water conditions in the Mediterranean transitional climate regime. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05815-8. Open Access (MEDSCOPE)
  18. Meehl, G.A., J.H. Richter, H. Teng, A. Capotondi, K. Cobb, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M.G. Donat, M.H. England, J.C. Fyfe, W. Han, H. Kim, B.P. Kirtman, Y. Kushnir, N.S. Lovenduski, M.E. Mann, W.J. Merryfield, V. Nieves, K. Pegion, N. Rosenbloom, S.C. Sanchez, A.A. Scaife, D. Smith, A.C. Subramanian, L. Sun, D. Thompson, C.C. Ummenhofer and S.-P. Xie (2021). Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 2, 340-357, doi:10.1038/s43017-021-00155-x. (EUCP, RyC_Markus)
  19. Merryfield, W.J., J. Baehr, L. Batté, E.J. Becker, A.H. Butler, C.A. Coelho, G. Danabasoglu, P.A. Dirmeyer, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D.I. Domeisen, L. Ferranti, T. Ilynia, A. Kumar, W.A. Müller, M. Rixen, A.W. Robertson, D.M. Smith, Y. Takaya, M. Tuma, F. Vitart, C.J. White, M.S. Alvarez, C. Ardilouze, H. Attard, C. Baggett, M.A. Balmaseda, A.F. Beraki, P.S. Bhattacharjee, R. Bilbao, F.M. de Andrade, M.J. DeFlorio, L.B. Díaz, M.A. Ehsan, G. Fragkoulidis, S. Grainger, B.W. Green, M.C. Hell, J.M. Infanti, K. Isensee, T. Kataoka, B.P. Kirtman, N.P. Klingaman, J. Lee, K. Mayer, R. McKay, J.V. Mecking, D.E. Miller, N. Neddermann, C.H. Justin Ng, A. Ossó, K. Pankatz, S. Peatman, K. Pegion, J. Perlwitz, G.C. Recalde-Coronel, A. Reintges, C. Renkl, B. Solaraju-Murali, A. Spring, C. Stan, Y.Q. Sun, C.R. Tozer, N. Vigaud, S. Woolnough and S. Yeager (2021). Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction: Filling the Weather–Climate Gap. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, 767-770, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0037.A. Open Access
  20. Mezzina, B., J. García-Serrano, I. Bladé, F.M. Palmeiro, L. Batté, C. Ardilouze, M. Benassi and S. Gualdi (2021). Multi-model assessment of the late-winter extra-tropical response to El Niño and La Niña. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05415-y. Open Access (MEDSCOPE).
  21. Mezzina, B., F.M. Palmeiro, J. García-Serrano, I. Bladé, L. Batté and M. Benassi (2021). Multi-model assessment of the late-winter stratospheric response to El Niño and La Niña. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05836-3. Open Access (MEDSCOPE).
  22. Moreno-Chamarro, E., L.-P. Caron, P. Ortega, S. Loosveldt Tomas and M. Roberts (2021). Can we trust CMIP5/6 future projections of European winter precipitation? Environmental Research Letters, 16, 054063, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abf28a. Open Access (PRIMAVERA)
  23. Oliver, E.C.J., J.A. Benthuysen, S. Darmaraki, M.G. Donat, A.J. Hobday, N.J. Holbrook, R.W. Schlegel and A. Sen Gupta (2021). Marine heatwaves. Annual Review of Marine Science, 13, 313-342, doi:10.1146/annurev-marine-032720-095144. (RyC_Markus)
  24. Ortega, P., J.I. Robson, M. Menary, R.T. Sutton, A. Blaker, A. Germe, J.J.-M. Hirschi, B. Sinha, L. Hermanson and S. Yeager (2021). Labrador Sea sub-surface density as a precursor of multi-decadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study. Earth System Dynamics, 12, 419-438, doi:10.5194/esd-2020-83. (RyC_Pablo)
  25. Pérez-Zanón, N., L.-P. Caron, S. Terzago, B. Van Schaeybroeck, L. Lledó, N. Manubens, E. Roulin, M.C. Alvarez-Castro, L. Batté, C. Delgado-Torres, M. Domínguez, J. von Hardenberg, E. Sánchez-García, V. Torralba and D. Verfaillie (2021). The CSTools (v4.0) toolbox: from climate forecasts to climate forecast information. Geoscientific Model Development Discussion, doi:10.5194/gmd-2021-368. (MEDSCOPE, S2S4E, EUCP)
  26. Pyrina, M., E. Moreno-Chamarro, S. Wagner and E. Zorita (2021). Surface and tropospheric response of North Atlantic summer climate from paleoclimate simulations of the past millennium. Atmosphere, 12, 568, doi:10.3390/atmos12050568. Open Access
  27. Qasmi, S., E. Sanchez-Gomez, Y. Ruprich-Robert, J. Boe and C. Cassou (2021). Modulation of the occurrence of heat waves over the Euro-Mediterranean region by the intensity of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. Journal of Climate, 34, 1099-1114, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0982.1. (INADEC)
  28. Ruggieri, P., A. Bellucci, D. Nicolì, P. Athanasiadis, S. Gualdi, C. Cassou, F. Castruccio, G. Danabasoglu, P. Davini, N. Dunstone, R. Eade, G. Gastineau, B. Harvey, L. Hermanson, S. Qasmi, Y. Ruprich-Robert, E. Sanchez-Gomez, D. Smith, S. Wild and M. Zampieri (2021). Atlantic multidecadal variability and North Atlantic jet: a multi-model view from the Decadal Climate Prediction Project. Journal of Climate, 34, 347-360, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0981.1. (INADEC, EUCP, STARS_Simon)
  29. Ruprich-Robert, Y., E. Moreno-Chamarro, X. Levine, A. Bellucci, C. Cassou, F. Castruccio, P. Davini, R. Eade, G. Gastineau, L. Hermanson, D. Hodson, K. Lohmann, J. Lopez-Parages, P.-A. Monerie, D. Nicolì, S. Qasmi, C. D. Roberts, E. Sanchez-Gomez, G. Danabasoglu, N. Dunstone, M. Martin-Rey, R. Msadek, J. Robson, D. Smith and E. Tourigny (2021). Impacts of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the Tropical Pacific: a multi-model study. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4, 33, doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00188-5. Open Access (INADEC, EUCP, PRIMAVERA, STARS_Xavier)
  30. Sandu, I., F. Massonnet, G. van Achter, J. Acosta Navarro, G. Arduini, P. Bauer, E. Blockley, N. Bormann, M. Chevallier, J. Day, M. Dahoui, T. Fichefet, D. Flocco, T. Jung, E. Hawkins, S. Laroche, H. Lawrence, J. Kristianssen, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, E. Poan, L. Ponsoni and R. Randriamampianina (2021). The potential of numerical prediction systems to support the design of Arctic observing systems: Insights from the APPLICATE and YOPP projects. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147, 3863–387, doi:10.1002/qj.4182. (APPLICATE, RyC_Pablo)
  31. Seidenglanz, A., P. Athanasiadis, P. Ruggieri, I. Cvijanovic, C. Li and S. Gualdi (2021). Pacific circulation response to eastern Arctic sea ice reduction in seasonal forecast simulations. Climate Dynamics, 57, 2687–2700, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05830-9. Open Access
  32. Solaraju-Murali, B., N. González-Reviriego, L.-P. Caron, A. Ceglar, A. Toreti, M. Zampieri, P.-A. Bretonniere, M. Samso Cabre and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2021). Multi-annual prediction of drought and heat stress to support decision making in the wheat sector. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4, 34, doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00189-4. Open Access (C3S_34c, EUCP, MED-GOLD, FOCUS-Africa, CLINSA)
  33. Tang, W., J. Llort, J. Weis, M.M.G. Perron, S. Basart, Z. Li, S. Sathyedranath, T. Jackson, T., E. Sanz Rodriguez, B.C. Proemse, A.R. Bowie, C. Schallenberg, P.G. Strutton, R. Matear and N. Cassar (2021). Widespread phytoplankton blooms triggered by 2019–2020 Australian wildfires. Nature, 597, 370–375, doi:10.1038/s41586-021-03805-8. (MESH-STARS J.Llort)
  34. Verfaillie, D., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M.G. Donat, N. Pérez-Zanón, B. Solaraju-Murali, V. Torralba and S. Wild (2021). How reliable are decadal climate predictions of near-surface air temperature?. Journal of Climate, 34, 697-713, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0138.1. Open Access (EUCP, RyC_Markus, STARS_Simon)
  35. Volpi, D., V.L. Meccia, V. Guemas, P. Ortega, R. Bilbao, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Amaral, P. Echevarria, R. Mahmood and S. Corti (2021). A novel initialization technique for decadal climate predictions. Frontiers in Climate, doi:10.3389/fclim.2021.681127. Open Access (RyC Pablo)
  36. Weigel, K., L. Bock, B.K. Gier, A. Lauer, M. Righi, M. Schlund, K. Adeniyi, B. Andela, E. Arnone, P. Berg, L.-P. Caron, I. Cionni, S. Corti, N. Drost, A. Hunter, L. Lledó, C.W. Mohr, A. Paçal, N. Pérez-Zanón, V. Predoi, M. Sandstad, J. Sillmann, A. Sterl, J. Vegas-Regidor, J. von Hardenberg and V. Eyring (2021). Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for extreme events, regional and impact evaluation, and analysis of Earth system models in CMIP. Geoscientific Model Development, 14, 3159–3184, doi:10.5194/gmd-14-3159-2021. Open Access (C3S-MAGIC, C3S_34a_Lot_2)

2020

  1. Acosta Navarro, J.C., P. Ortega, L. Batté, D. Smith, P.A. Bretonnière, V. Guemas, F. Massonnet, V. Sicardi, V. Torralba, E. Tourigny and F.J. Doblas‐Reyes (2020). Link between autumnal Arctic sea ice and Northern Hemisphere winter forecast skill. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2019GL086753, doi:10.1029/2019GL086753. (APPLICATE, PRIMAVERA, INTAROS, ESA/CMUG, Juan Acosta-JdlC, SPFireSD)
  2. Alexander, L.V., M. Bador, R. Roca, S. Contractor, M.G. Donat and P.L. Nguyen (2020). Intercomparison of annual precipitation indices and extremes over global land areas from in situ, space-based and reanalysis products. Environmental Research Letters, 15, 055002, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab79e2. Open Access (RyC_Markus)
  3. Bahamon, N., J. Aguzzi, M.A. Ahumada-Sempoal, R. Bernardello, C. Reuschel, J.B. Company, F. Peters, A. Gordoa, J. Navarro, Z. Velásquez and A. Cruzado (2020). Stepped coastal water warming revealed by multiparametric monitoring at NW Mediterranean fixed stations. Sensors, 20, 2658 doi:10.3390/s20092658.
  4. Batté, L., I. Välisuo, M. Chevallier, J.C. Acosta-Navarro, P. Ortega and D. Smith (2020). Summer predictions of Arctic sea ice edge in multi-model seasonal re-forecasts. Climate Dynamics, 54, 5013-5029, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05273-8. (APPLICATE, INTAROS)
  5. Caron, L.-P., F. Massonnet, P.J. Klotzbach, T.J. Philp and J. Stroeve (2020). Making seasonal outlooks of Arctic sea ice and Atlantic hurricanes valuable - not just skillful. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, E36-E42, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0314.1. Open Access
  6. Carréric, A., B. Dewitte, W. Cai, A. Capotondi, K. Takahashi, S.-W. Yeh, G. Wang and V. Guemas (2020). Change in strong Eastern Pacific El Niño events dynamics in the warming climate. Climate Dynamics, 19, 2015–2061, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-05036-0
  7. Contractor, S., M.G. Donat, L.V. Alexander, M. Ziese, A. Meyer-Christoffer, U. Schneider, E. Rustemeier, A. Becker, I. Durre and R.S. Vose (2020). Rainfall Estimates on a Gridded Network (REGEN) – a global land-based gridded dataset of daily precipitation from 1950 to 2016. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24, 919-943, doi:10.5194/hess-24-919-2020. Open Access (RyC_Markus)
  8. Cvijanovic, I., J. Lukovic and J.D. Begg (2020). 100 years of Milankovic's cycles. Nature Geoscience, 13, 524–525, doi:10.1038/s41561-020-0621-2. (Ivana Cvijanovic's BP2017 grant).
  9. Dionne, J., K. von Salzen, J. Cole, R. Mahmood, W.R. Leaitch, G. Lesins, I. Folkins and R.Y.-W. Chang (2020). Modelling the relationship between liquid water content and cloud droplet number concentration observed in low clouds in the summer Arctic and its radiative effects. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20, 29-43, doi:10.5194/acp-20-29-2020. Open Access
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  11. Eyring, V., L. Bock, A. Lauer, M. Righi, M. Schlund, A. Andela, E. Arnone, O. Bellprat, B. Brötz, L.-P. Caron, N. Carvalhais, I. Cionni, N. Cortesi, B. Crezee, E. Davin, P. Davini, K. Debeire, L. de Mora, C. Deser, D. Docquier, P. Earnshaw, C. Ehbrecht, B.K. Gier, N. González-Reviriego, P. Goodman, S. Hagemann, S. Hardiman, B. Hassler, A. Hunter, C. Kadow, S. Kindermann, S. Koirala, N. Koldunov, Q. Lejeune, V. Lembo, T. Lovato, V. Lucarini, F. Massonnet, B. Müller, A. Pandde, N. Pérez-Zanón, A. Phillips, V. Predoi, J. Russell, A. Sellar, F. Serva, T. Stacke, R. Swaminathan, V. Torralba, J. Vegas-Regidor, J. von Hardenberg, K. Weigel and K. Zimmermann (2020). ESMValTool v2.0 - Extended set of large-scale diagnostics for quasi-operational and comprehensive evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP. Geoscientific Model Development, 13, 3383-3438, doi:10.5194/gmd-2019-291. Open Access (MAGIC, PRIMAVERA, CMUG)
  12. Fu, Q., R.H. White, M. Wang, B. Alexander, S. Solomon, A. Gettelman, D.S. Battisti and P. Lin (2020). The Brewer‐Dobson circulation during the Last Glacial Maximum. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2019GL086271, doi:10.1029/2019GL086271. Open Access (PROTECT)
  13. Fučkar, N.S, F.E.L. Otto, F. Lehner, I. Pinto, E. Howard, S. Sparrow, S. Li and D. Wallom (2020). On high precipitation in Mozambique, Zimbabwe and Zambia in February 2018. In Explaining Extreme Events of 2018 from a Climate Perspective, Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, 101, S47-S52, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0162.1. Open Access
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  16. Haarsma, R., M. Acosta, R. Bakhshi, P.-A. Bretonnière, L.-P. Caron, M. Castrillo, S. Corti, P. Davini, E. Exarchou, F. Fabiano, U. Fladrich, R. Fuentes Franco, J. García-Serrano, J. von Hardenberg, T. Koenigk, X. Levine, V. Meccia, T. van Noije, G. van den Oord, F.M. Palmeiro, M. Rodrigo, Y. Ruprich-Robert, P. Le Sager, E. Tourigny, S. Wang, M. van Weele and K. Wyser (2020). HighResMIP versions of EC-Earth: EC-Earth3P and EC-Earth3P-HR. Description, model performance, data handling and validation. Geoscientific Model Development, 13, 3507-3527, doi:10.5194/gmd-2019-350. Open Access (PRIMAVERA INADEC)
  17. Hayashida, H., G. Carnat, M. Galí, A.H. Monahan, E. Mortenson, T. Sou and N. S. Steiner (2020). Spatio‐temporal variability in modelled bottom‐ice and sea‐surface dimethylsulfide concentrations and fluxes in the Arctic during 1979‐2015. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 34, e2019GB006456, doi:10.1029/2019GB006456.
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  19. Hernández, A., C. Martin-Puertas, P. Moffa-Sánchez, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, S. Blockley, K.M. Cobb, L. Comas-Bru, S. Giralt, H. Goosse, J. Luterbacher, B. Martrat, R. Muscheler, A. Parnell, S. Pla-Rabes, J. Sjolte, A.A. Scaife, D. Swingedouw, E. Wise and G. Xu (2020). Modes of climate variability: Synthesis and review of proxy-based reconstructions through the Holocene. Earth-Science Reviews, 209, 103286, doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103286.
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  22. Klotzbach, P.J., L.-P. Caron and M. Bell (2020). A statistical/dynamical model for North Atlantic seasonal hurricane prediction. Geophysical Reearch Letters, 47, e2020GL089357, doi:10.1029/2020GL089357. Severo Ochoa
  23. Koenigk, T., R. Fuentes-Franco, V.L. Meccia, O. Gutjahr, L.C. Jackson, A.L. New, P. Ortega, C. Roberts, M. Roberts, T. Arsouze, D. Iovino, M.-P. Moine, and D.V. Sein (2021) Deep mixed ocean volume in the Labrador Sea in HighResMIP models. Climate Dynamics, 57, 1895–1918, doi: 10.1007/s00382-021-05785-x. Open Access (PRIMAVERA, RyC_Pablo).
  24. Lauer, A., V. Eyring, O. Bellprat, L. Bock, B.K. Gier, A. Hunter, R. Lorenz, N. Pérez-Zanón, M. Righi, M. Schlund, D. Senftleben, K. Weigel and S. Zechlau (2020). Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for emergent constraints and future projections from Earth system models in CMIP. Geoscientific Model Development, 13, 4205-4228, doi:10.5194/gmd-13-4205-2020. Open Access (CRESCENDO; C3S MAGIC; 4C; EVal4CMIP; IS-ENES3)
  25. Massicotte, P., R. Amiraux, M.P. Amyot, P. Archambault, M. Ardyna, L. Arnaud, L. Artigue, C. Aubry, P. Ayotte, G. Bécu, S. Bélanger, R. Benner, H.C. Bittig, A. Bricaud, É. Brossier, F. Bruyant, L. Chauvaud, D. Christiansen-Stowe, H. Claustre, V. Cornet-Barthaux, P. Coupel, C. Cox, A. Delaforge, T. Dezutter, C. Dimier, F. Dominé, F. Dufour, C. Dufresne, D. Dumont, J. Ehn, B. Else, J. Ferland, M.-H. Forget, L. Fortier, M. Galí, V. Galindo, M. Gallinari, N. Garcia, C. Gérikas-Ribeiro, M. Gourdal, P. Gourvil, C. Goyens, P.-L. Grondin, P. Guillot, C. Guilmette, M.-N. Houssais, F. Joux, L. Lacour, T. Lacour, A. Lafond, J. Lagunas, C. Lalande, J. Laliberté, S. Lambert-Girard, J. Larivière, J. Lavaud, A. LeBaron, K. Leblanc, F. Le Gall, J. Legras, M. Lemire, M. Levasseur, E. Leymarie, A. Leynaert, A. Lopes Dos Santos, A. Lourenço, D. Mah, C. Marec, D. Marie, N. Martin, C. Marty, S. Marty, G. Massé, A. Matsuoka, L. Matthes, B. Moriceau, P.-E. Muller, C.J. Mundy, G. Neukermans, L. Oziel, C. Panagiotopoulos, J.-J. Pangazi, G. Picard, M. Picheral, F. Pinczon Du Sel, N. Pogorzelec, I. Probert, B. Queguiner, P. Raimbault, J. Ras, E. Rehm, E. Reimer, J.-F. Rontani, S. Rysgaard, B. Saint-Béat, M. Sampei, J. Sansoulet, S. Schmidt, R. Sempere, C. Sévigny, Y. Shen, M. Tragin, J.-É. Tremblay, D. Vaulot, G. Verin, F. Vivier, A. Vladoiu, J. Whitehead and M. Babin (2020). Green Edge ice camp campaigns: understanding the processes controlling the under-ice Arctic phytoplankton spring bloom Earth System Science Data, 12, 151–176, doi:10.5194/essd-12-151-2020 Open Access
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  32. Notz, D., J. Dörr, D.A. Bailey, E. Blockley, M. Bushuk, J.B. Debernard, E. Dekker, P. Derepentigny, D. Docquier, N.S. Fučkar, J.C. Fyfe, A. Jahn, M. Holland, E. Hunke, D. Iovino, N. Khosravi, F. Massonnet, G. Madec, S. O'Farrell, A. Petty, A. Rana, L. Roach, E. Rosenblum, C. Rousset, T. Semmler, J. Stroeve, B. Tremblay, T. Toyoda, H. Tsujino and M. Vancoppenolle (2020). Arctic sea ice in CMIP6. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2019GL086749, doi:10.1029/2019GL086749. Open Access (APPLICATE)
  33. Paik, S., S.‐K. Min, X. Zhang, M.G. Donat, A.D. King and Q. Sun ( 2020). Determining the anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to the observed intensification of extreme precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, e2019GL086875, doi:10.1029/2019GL086875. (EUCP, RyC_Markus)
  34. Palmeiro, F.M., J. Garcia-Serrano, O. Bellprat, P.A. Bretonnière and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2020). Boreal winter stratospheric variability in EC-EARTH: High-top versus low-top. Climate Dynamics, 54, 3135–3150, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05162-0. (DANAE, PRIMAVERA, MEDSCOPE)
  35. Patel, R.S., J. Llort, P.G. Strutton, H.E. Phillips, S. Moreau, P.C. Pardo and A. Lenton (2020). The biogeochemical structure of Southern Ocean mesoscale eddies. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 125, e2020JC016115, doi:10.1029/2020JC016115. (UTASMANIA)
  36. Roberts, M.J., J. Camp, J. Seddon, P.L. Vidale, K. Hodges, B. Vanniere, J. Mecking, R. Haarsma, A. Bellucci, E. Scoccimarro, L.P. Caron, F. Chauvin, L. Terray, S. Valcke, M. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C. Roberts, R. Senan, C. Zarzycki and P. Ullrich (2020). Impact of model resolution on tropical cyclone simulation using the HighResMIP–PRIMAVERA multimodel ensemble. Journal of Climate, 33, 2557-2583, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0639.1. Open Access (PRIMAVERA)
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  38. Roberts, M.J., L.C. Jackson, C.D. Roberts, V. Meccia, D. Docquier, T. Koenigk, P. Ortega, E. Moreno-Chamarro, A. Bellucci, A. Coward, S. Drijfhout, E. Exarchou, O. Gutjahr, H. Hewitt, D. Iovino, K. Lohmann, D. Putrasahan, R. Schiemann, J. Seddon, L. Terray, X. Xu, Q. Zhang, P. Chang, S.G. Yeager, F.S. Castruccio, S Zhang and L. Wu (2020). Sensitivity of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to model resolution in CMIP6 HighResMIP simulations and implications for future changes. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12, e2019MS002014, doi:10.1029/2019MS002014. (PRIMAVERA)
  39. Rodríguez‐Ros, P., M. Galí, P. Cortés, C.M. Robinson, D. Antoine, C. Wohl, M. Yang and R. Simó (2020). Remote sensing retrieval of isoprene concentrations in the Southern Ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL087888, doi:10.1029/2020GL087888.
  40. Santos, J.A., A.Ceglar, A. Toreti and C. Prodhomme (2020). Performance of seasonal forecasts of Douro and Port wine production. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 291, 108095, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108095. (MEDGOLD, MEDSCOPE, HIATUS, IMPREX)
  41. Sen Gupta, A., M. Thomsen, J.A. Benthuysen, A.J. Hobday, E. Oliver, L.V. Alexander, M.T. Burrows, M.G. Donat, M. Feng, N.J. Holbrook, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, P.J. Moore, R.R. Rodrigues, H.A. Scannell, A.S. Taschetto, C.C. Ummenhofer, T. Wernberg and D.A. Smale (2020). Drivers and impacts of the most extreme marine heatwaves events. Scientific Reports, 10, 19359, doi:10.1038/s41598-020-75445-3. Open Access (RyC_Markus)
  42. Smith, D.M., A.A. Scaife, R. Eade, P. Athanasiadis, A. Bellucci, I. Bethke, R. Bilbao, L.F. Borchert, L.-P. Caron, F. Counillon, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, N.J. Dunstone, V. Estella-Perez, S. Flavoni, L. Hermanson, N. Keenlyside, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, W.J. Merryfield, J. Mignot, T. Mochizuki, K. Modali, P.-A. Monerie, W.A. Müller, D. Nicolí, P. Ortega, K. Pankatz, H. Pohlmann, J. Robson, P. Ruggieri, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, D. Swingedouw, Y. Wang, S. Wild, S. Yeager, X. Yang and L. Zhang (2020). North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. Nature, 583, 796-800, doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0. (EUCP, CLINSA, PRACE,RyC_Pablo,STARS_Simon)
  43. Tsujino, H., L.S. Urakawa, S.M. Griffies, G. Danabasoglu, A.J. Adcroft, A.E. Amaral, T. Arsouze, M. Bentsen, R. Bernardello, C.W. Böning, A. Bozec, E.P. Chassignet, S. Danilov, R. Dussin, E. Exarchou, P.G. Fogli, B. Fox-Kemper, C. Guo, M. Ilicak, D. Iovino, W.M. Kim, N. Koldunov, V. Lapin, Y. Li, P. Lin, K. Lindsay, H. Liu, M.C. Long, Y. Komuro, S.J. Marsland, S. Masina, A. Nummelin, J.K. Rieck, Y. Ruprich-Robert, M. Scheinert, V. Sicardi, D. Sidorenko, T. Suzuki, H. Tatebe, Q. Wang, S.G. Yeager and Z. Yu (2020). Evaluation of global ocean–sea-ice model simulations based on the experimental protocols of the Ocean Model Intercomparison Project phase 2 (OMIP-2). Geoscientific Model Development, 13, 3643–3708, doi:10.5194/gmd-13-3643-2020. Open Access (DeCUSO, CCiCC, INADEC, TRIATLAS)
  44. Turco, M., S. Jerez, M.G. Donat, A. Toreti, S.M. Vicente-Serrano and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2020). A global probabilistic dataset for monitoring meteorological droughts. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 101, E1628–E1644, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0192.1. Open Access (CLIM4CROP, RyC_Markus)
  45. Vannière, B., M. Roberts, P.L. Vidale, K. Hodges, M.E. Demory, L.-P. Caron, E. Scoccimarro, L. Terray and R. Senan (2020). The moisture budget of tropical cyclones: large scale environmental constraints and sensitivity to model horizontal resolution. Journal of Climate, 33, 8457–8474, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0999.1. (PRIMAVERA)
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2019

  1. Akhtar, N., A. Krug, J. Brauch, T. Arsouze, C. Dieterich and B. Ahrens (2019). European marginal seas in a regional atmosphere–ocean coupled model and their impact on Vb-cyclones and associated precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 53, 5967-5984, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04906-x.
  2. Alexander, L. V., H. J. Fowler, Hayley, M. Bador, A. Behrangi, M. G. Donat, R. Dunn, C. Funk, J. Goldie, E. Lewis, M. Rogé, S. I. Seneviratne and V. Venugopal (2019). On the use of indices to study extreme precipitation on sub-daily and daily timescales. Environmental Research Letters, 14, 125008, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab51b6. Open Access (RyC_Markus)
  3. Abbatt, J.P.D., W.R. Leaitch, A.A. Aliabadi, A.K. Bertram, J.-P. Blanchet, A. Boivin-Rioux, H. Bozem, J. Burkart, R.Y.W. Chang, J. Charette, J.P. Chaubey, R.J. Christensen, A. Cirisan, D.B. Collins, B. Croft, J. Dionne, G.J. Evans, C.G. Fletcher, M. Galí, R. Ghahremaninezhad, E. Girard, W. Gong, M. Gosselin, M. Gourdal, S.J. Hanna, H. Hayashida, A.B. Herber, S. Hesaraki, P. Hoor, L. Huang, R. Hussherr, V.E. Irish, S.A. Keita, J.K. Kodros, F. Köllner, F. Kolonjari, D. Kunke, L.A. Ladino, K. Law, M. Levasseur, Q. Libois, J. Liggio, M. Lizotte, K.M. Macdonald, R. Mahmood, R.V. Martin, R.H. Mason, L.A. Miller, A. Moravek, E. Mortenson, E.L. Mungall, J.G. Murphy, M. Namazi, A.-L. Norman, N.T. O'Neill, J.R. Pierce, L.M. Russell, J. Schneider, H. Schulz, S. Sharma, M. Si, R.M. Staebler, N.S. Steiner, J.L. Thomas, K. von Salzen, J.J.B. Wentzell, M.D. Willis, G.R. Wentworth, J.-W. Xu and J.D. Yakobi-Hancock (2019). Overview paper: New insights into aerosol and climate in the Arctic. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19, 2015–2061, doi:10.5194/acp-19-2015-2019. Open Access
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  9. Bilbao, R., J.M. Gregory, N. Bouttes, M.D. Palmer and P. Stott (2019). Attribution of ocean temperature change to anthropogenic and natural forcings using the temporal, vertical and geographical structure. Climate Dynamics, 53, 5389–5413, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04910-1. Open Access
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  22. Ghahremaninezhad, R., W. Gong, M. Galí, A.-L. Norman, S.R. Beagley, A. Akingunola, Q. Zheng, A. Lupu, M. Lizotte, M. Levasseur and W.R. Leaitch (2019). Dimethyl sulfide and its role in aerosol formation and growth in the Arctic summer–a modelling study. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19, 14455–14476, doi:10.5194/acp-19-14455-2019. Open Access
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  41. Smale, D.A., T. Wernberg, E.C.J. Oliver, M. Thomsen, B.P. Harvey, S.C. Straub, M.T. Burrows, L.V. Alexander, J.A. Benthuysen, M.G. Donat, M. Feng, A.J. Hobday, N.J. Holbrook, S.E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, H.A. Scannell, A. Sen Gupta, B.L. Payne and P.J. Moore (2019). Marine heatwaves threaten global biodiversity and the provision of ecosystem services. Nature Climate Change, 9, 306-312, doi:s41558-019-0412-1.
  42. Smith, D.M., J.A. Screen, C. Deser, J. Cohen, J.C. Fyfe, J. García-Serrano, T. Jung, V. Kattsov, D. Matei, R. Msadek, Y. Peings, M. Sigmond, J. Ukita, J.-H. Yoon and X. Zhang (2019). The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification. Geoscientific Model Development, 12, 1139-1164, doi:10.5194/gmd-12-1139-2019. (APPLICATE, PRIMAVERA)
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  45. Spandre, P., H. François, D. Verfaillie, M. Pons, M. Vernay, M. Lafaysse, E. George and S. Morin (2019). Winter tourism under climate change in the Pyrenees and the French Alps: relevance of snowmaking as a technical adaptation. The Cryosphere, 13, 1325-1347, doi:10.5194/tc-13-1325-2019. Open Access (EUCP)
  46. Spandre, P., H. François, D. Verfaillie, M. Lafaysse, M. Déqué, N. Eckert, E. George and S. Morin (2019). Climate controls on snow reliability in French Alps ski resorts. Scientific Reports, 9, 8043, doi:10.1038/s41598-019-44068-8. Open Access (EUCP)
  47. Turco, M., S. Herrera, E. Tourigny, E. Chuvieco and A. Provenzale (2019). A comparison of remotely-sensed and inventory datasets for burned area in Mediterranean Europe. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 82, 101887, doi:10.1016/j.jag.2019.05.020. (CLIM4CROP)
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  50. Vautard, R., N. Christidis, A. Ciavarella, C. Alvarez-Castro, O. Bellprat, B. Christiansen, I. Colfescu, T. Cowan, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, J. Eden, M. Hauser, G. Hegerl, N. Hempelmann, K. Klehmet, F. Lott, C. Nangini, R. Orth, S. Radanovics, S. I. Seneviratne, G. Jan van Oldenborgh, P. Stott, S. Tett, L. Wilcox and P. Yiou (2019). Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe. Climate Dynamics, 52, 1187-1210, doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4183-6. (EUCLEIA)
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  54. Voldoire, A., E. Exarchou, E. Sanchez-Gomez, T. Demissie, A.L. Deppenmeier, C. Frauen, K. Goubanova, W. Hazeleger, N. Keenlyside, S. Koseki, C. Prodhomme, J. Shonk, T. Toniazzo and A.K. Traoré (2019). Role of wind stress in driving SST biases in the Tropical Atlantic. Climate Dynamics, 53, 3481–3504, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04717-0. Open Access (PREFACE)
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2018

  1. Acosta Navarro, J.C., P. Ortega, J. García-Serrano, V. Guemas, E. Tourigny, R. Cruz-García, F. Massonnet and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2018). December 2016: Linking the Lowest Arctic Sea-Ice Extent on Record with the Lowest European Precipitation Event on Record Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Explainig Extreme Events of 2017, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0097.1. Open Access
  2. Alexander-Turner, R., P. Ortega and J. Robson (2018). How robust are the surface temperature fingerprints of the Atlantic Overturning Meridional Circulation on monthly time-scales? Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 1-9, doi:10.1029/2017GL076759. Open Access
  3. Amores, A., G. Jordà, T. Arsouze and J. Le Sommer (2018). Up to what extent can we characterize ocean eddies using present‐day gridded altimetric products? Journal of Geophysical Research, doi:10.1029/2018JC014140.
  4. Baudouin, J.-P., L.-P. Caron and M. Boudreault (2018). Impact of reanalysis boundary conditions on downscaled hurricane activity. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4352-7. (RESPONS, JdlC)
  5. Befort, D.J., S. Wild, J.R. Knight, J.F. Lockwood, H.E. Thornton, L. Hermanson, P.E. Bett, A. Weisheimer and G.C. Leckebusch (2018). Seasonal forecast skill for extratropical cyclones and windstorms. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, doi:10.1002/qj.3406. Open Access
  6. Butchart, N., J.A. Anstey, K. Hamilton, S. Osprey, C. McLandress, A.C. Bushell, Y. Kawatani, Y.-H. Kim, F. Lott, J. Scinocca, T.N. Stockdale, M. Andrews, O. Bellprat, P. Braesicke, C. Cagnazzo, C.-C. Chen, H.-Y. Chun, M. Dobrynin, R.R. Garcia, J. García-Serrano, L.J. Gray, L. Holt, T. Kerzenmacher, H. Naoe, H. Pohlmann, J.H. Richter, A.A. Scaife, V. Schenzinger, F. Serva, S. Versick, S. Watanabe, K. Yoshida and S. Yukimoto (2018). Overview of experimental design and comparison of models participating in phase 1 of the SPARC Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi). Geoscientific Model Development, 11, 1009-1032, doi:10.5194/gmd-2017-187. Open Access (DANAE)
  7. Caron, L.-P., L. Hermanson, A. Dobbin, J. Imbers, L. Lledó and G.A. Vecchi (2018). How skilful are the multi-annual forecasts of Atlantic hurricane activity? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99, 403-413, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0025.1. Open Access (RESPONS, PREFACE, JdlC)
  8. Ceglar, A., A. Toreti, C. Prodhomme, M. Zampieri, M. Turco and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2018). Land-surface initialisation improves seasonal climate prediction skill for maize yield forecast. Scientific Reports, 8, doi:10.1038/s41598-018-19586-6. Open Access (IMPREX)
  9. Donat, M.G., A.J. Pitman and O. Angelil (2018). Understanding and reducing future uncertainty in midlatitude daily heat extremes via land surface feedback constraints. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 10,627-10,636, doi:10.1029/2018GL079128
  10. Exarchou, C. Prodhomme, L. Brodeau, V. Guemas and F.J. Doblas‐Reyes (2018). Origin of the warm eastern tropical Atlantic SST bias in a climate model Climate Dynamics, 51, 1819-1840, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3984-3. (PREFACE)
  11. Fučkar, N.S., V. Guemas, N.C. Johnson and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2018). Dynamical prediction of Arctic sea ice modes of variability. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4318-9. (PICA-ICE, SPECS, PRIMAVERA)
  12. Kimmritz, M., F. Counillon, C.M. Bitz, F. Massonnet, I. Bethke and Y. Gao (2018). Optimising assimilation of sea ice concentration in an Earth system model with a multicategory sea ice model. Tellus A, doi:10.1080/16000870.2018.1435945. Open Access
  13. King, M.P., I. Herceg-Bulic, I. Bladé, J. García-Serrano, N. Keenlyside, F. Kucharski, C. Li and S. Sobolow (2018). Importance of late-fall ENSO teleconnection in the Euro-Atlantic sector. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99, 1337-1343, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0020.1. Open Access (DANAE)
  14. Lavender, S.L., K.J.E. Walsh, L.-P. Caron, M. King, S. Monkiewicz, M. Guishard, Q. Zhang and B. Hunt (2018). Estimation of the maximum annual number of North Atlantic tropical cyclones using climate models. Science Advances, 4, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aat6509. Open Access (HIATUS, JdlC)
  15. Lledó, Ll., O. Bellprat, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and A. Soret (2018). Investigating the effects of Pacific sea surface temperatures on the wind drought of 2015 over the United States. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 123, 4837-4849, doi: 10.1029/2017JD028019. (CLIM4ENERGY, S2S4E, INDECIS, EUCP, EUCLEIA)
  16. Mamadjanova, G., S. Wild, M. Walz and G.C. Leckebusch (2018). The role of synoptic processes in mudflow formation in the piedmont areas of Uzbekistan. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 18, 2893-2919, doi: 10.5194/nhess-18-2893-2018. Open Access
  17. Manubens, N., L.-P. Caron, A. Hunter, O. Bellprat, E. Exarchou, N.S. Fučkar, J. Garcia-Serrano, F. Massonnet, M. Ménégoz, V. Sicardi, L. Batté, C. Prodhomme, V. Torralba, N. Cortesi, O. Mula-Valls, K. Serradell, V. Guemas and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2018). An R package for climate forecast verification. Environmental Modelling & Software, 103, 29-42, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.01.018. (SPECS, EUCLEIA, PREFACE, EUPORIAS, QA4Seas, VERITAS-CCI)
  18. Massonnet, F., M. Vancoppenolle, H. Goosse, D. Docquier, T. Fichefet and E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth (2018). Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes Nature Climate Change, 8, 599-603, doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0204-z. (APPLICATE, PRIMAVERA)
  19. Mavilia, I., B. Alessio, P. J. Athanasiadis, S. Gualdi, R. Msadek and Y. Ruprich-Robert (2018). On the spectral characteristics of the Atlantic multidecadal variability in an ensemble of multi-century simulations. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4093-7.
  20. McGee, D., E. Moreno-Chamarro, J. Marshall and E.D. Galbraith (2018). Western US lake expansions during Heinrich stadials linked to Pacific Hadley circulation. Science advances, 4, eaav011, doi:10.1126/sciadv.aav0118. Open Access
  21. Ménégoz, M., R. Bilbao, O. Bellprat, V. Guemas and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2018). Forecasting the climate response to volcanic eruptions: prediction skill related to stratospheric aerosol forcing. Environmental Research Letters, 13, 064022, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aac4db. Open Access (VOLCADEC, HIATUS, SPECS)
  22. Ménégoz, M., C. Cassou, D. Swingedouw, Y. Ruprich-Robert, P.-A. Bretonnière and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2018). Role of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in modulating the climate response to a Pinatubo-like volcanic eruption. Climate Dynamics, 51, 1863-1883, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3986-1. (SPECS, VOLCADEC)
  23. Messori, G., D. van Wees, F.S.R. Pausata, J.C. Acosta Navarro, A. Hannachi and F.J. Dentener (2018) The impact of future atmospheric circulation changes over the Euro-Atlantic sector on urban PM2.5 concentrations. Tellus B: Chemical and Physical Meteorology, doi:10.1080/16000889.2018.1468704. Open Access
  24. Mishra, N., C. Prodhomme and V. Guemas (2018). Multi-model skill assessment of seasonal temperature and precipitation forecasts over Europe Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4404-z. (IMPREX)
  25. Neukermans, G., T. Harmel, M. Galí , N. Rudorff, J. Chowdhary, O. Dubovik, C. Hostetler, Y. Hu, C. Jamet, K. Knobelspiesse, Y. Lehahn, P. Litvinov, A.M. Sayer, B. Ward, E. Boss, I. Koren and L.A. Miller (2018). Harnessing remote sensing to address critical science questions on ocean-atmosphere interactions. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, doi:10.1525/elementa.331. Open Access
  26. Ruprich-Robert, Y., T. Delworth, R. Msadek, F. Castruccio, S. Yeager and D. Danabasoglu (2018). Impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on North American summer climate and heat waves. Journal of Climate, 31, 3679-3700, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0270.1.
  27. Saurral, R.I., F.J. Doblas-Reyes and J. García-Serrano (2018). Observed modes of sea surface temperature variability in the South Pacific region. Climate Dynamics, 50, 1129-1143, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3666-1. (SPECS, DPETNA)
  28. Smith, D.M., A.A. Scaife, E. Hawkins, R. Bilbao, G.J. Boer, M. Caian, L.‐P. Caron, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F.J. Doblas‐Reyes, R. Doescher, N.J. Dunstone, R. Eade, L. Hermanson, M. Ishii, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, T. Koenigk, Y. Kushnir, D. Matei, G A. Meehl, M. Menegoz, W.J. Merryfield, T. Mochizuki, W.A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Power, M. Rixen, R. Sospedra‐Alfonso, M. Tuma, K. Wyser, X. Yang and S. Yeager (2018). Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5ºC. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 11,895-11,903, doi:10.1029/2018GL079362. Open Access (EUCP, CLINSA, HIATUS)
  29. Thornalley, D., D.W. Oppo, P. Ortega, J.I. Robson, C.M. Brierley, R. Davis, I.R Hall, P. Moffa-Sanchez, N.L. Rose, P.T. Spooner, I. Yashayaev and L.D. Keigwin (2018). Anomalously weak Labrador Sea convection and Atlantic overturning during the past 150 years. Nature, 556, 227-230, doi:10.1038/s41586-018-0007-4.
  30. Uotila, P., H. Goosse, K. Haines, M. Chevallier, A. Barthélemy, C. Bricaud, J. Carton, N. Fučkar, G. Garric, D. Iovino, F. Kauker, M. Korhonen, V.S. Lien, M. Marnela, F. Massonnet, D. Mignac, K.A. Peterson, R. Sadikni, L. Shi, S. Tietsche, T. Toyoda, J. Xie and Z. Zhang (2018). An assessment of ten ocean reanalyses in the polar regions. Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4242-z. (APPLICATE)
  31. Vautard, R., N. Christidis, A. Ciavarella, C. Alvarez-Castro, O. Bellprat, B. Christiansen, I. Colfescu, T. Cowan, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, J. Eden, M. Hauser, G. Hegerl, N. Hempelmann, K. Klehmet, F. Lott, C. Nangini, R. Orth, S. Radanovics, S. I. Seneviratne, G. Jan van Oldenborgh, P. Stott, S. Tett, L. Wilcox and P. Yiou (2018). Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4183-6. (EUCLEIA)
  32. Vial, J., C. Cassou, F. Codron, S. Bony and Y. Ruprich-Robert (2018). Influence of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation on the tropical climate response to CO2 forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1029/2018GL078558.
  33. Walz, M.A., M.G. Donat and G.C. Leckebusch (2018). Large‐scale drivers and seasonal predictability of extreme wind speeds over the North Atlantic and Europe. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, doi:10.1029/2017JD027958. Open Access

2017

  1. Ardilouze, C., L. Batté, F. Bunzel, D. Decremer, M. Déqué, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Douville, D. Fereday, V. Guemas, C. MacLachlan, W. Müller and C. Prodhomme (2017). Multi-model assessment of the impact of soil moisture initialization on mid-latitude summer predictability. Climate Dynamics, 49, 3959-397, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3555-7. (SPECS, IMPREX, Severo Ochoa)
  2. Bellprat, O., F. Massonnet, S. Siegert, C. Prodhomme, D. Macias-Gómez, V. Guemas and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2017). Uncertainty propagation in observational references to climate model scales. Remote Sensing of the Environment, 203, 101-108, doi:10.1016/j.rse.2017.06.034. (SPECS, VERITAS-CCI, EUCLEIA)
  3. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., A. Barthélemy, M. Chevallier, R. Cullather, N. Fučkar, F. Massonnet, P. Posey, W. Wang, J. Zhang, C. Ardilouze, C.M. Bitz, G. Vernieres, A. Wallcraft and M. Wang (2017). Multi-model seasonal forecast of Arctic sea-ice: forecast uncertainty at pan-Arctic and regional scales. Climate Dynamics, 49, 1399-1410, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3388-9. (PICA-ICE, JdC)
  4. Boudreault, M., L.-P. Caron and S. Camargo (2017). Reanalysis of climate influences on Atlantic tropical cyclone activity using cluster analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research A, 122, 4258-4280, doi:10.1002/2016JD026103. (RESPONS)
  5. Docquier, D., F. Massonnet, N.F. Tandon, O. Lecomte and T. Fichefet (2017). Arctic sea ice drift-strength feedback modelled by NEMO-LIM3.6. The Cryosphere, 11, 2829-2846, doi:10.5194/tc-2017-60. Open Access (PRIMAVERA)
  6. García-Serrano, J., C. Frankignoul, M.P. King, A. Arribas, Y. Gao, V. Guemas, D. Matei, R. Msadek, W. Park, and E. Sanchez-Gomez (2017). Multi-model assessment of linkages between eastern Arctic sea-ice variability and the Euro-Atlantic atmospheric circulation in current climate. Climate Dynamics, 49, 2407-2429, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3454-3. (NACLIM, DPETNA, Severo.Ochoa)
  7. García-Serrano, J., C. Cassou, H. Douville, A. Giannini and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2017). Revisiting the ENSO teleconnection to the tropical North Atlantic. Journal of Climate, 30, 6945-6957, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0641.1. Open Access (DPETNA)
  8. García-Serrano, J. and R.J. Haarsma (2017). Non-annular, hemispheric signature of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation. Climate Dynamics, 48, 3659-3670, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3292-3. (DPETNA)
  9. Gastineau, G., J. García-Serrano and C. Frankignoul (2017). The influence of autumnal Eurasian snow cover on climate and its link with Arctic sea ice cover. Journal of Climate, 30, 7599-7619, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0623.1. (NACLIM, DPETNA)
  10. Siegert, S., D. Stephenson, O. Bellprat, M. Ménégoz and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2017). Detecting improvements in forecast correlation skill: Statistical testing and power analysis. Monthly Weather Review, 145, 437-450, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-16-0037.1. (SPECS, VERITAS)
  11. Swingedouw, D., J. Mignot, P. Ortega, M. Khodri, M. Ménégoz, C. Cassou and V. Hanquiez (2017). Impact of explosive volcanic eruptions on the main climate variability modes. Global and Planetary Change, 150, 24-45, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2017.01.006. (VOLCADEC)
  12. Turco, M., A. Ceglar, C. Prodhomme, A. Soret, A. Toreti and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2017). Summer drought predictability over Europe: empirical versus dynamical forecasts. Environmental Research Letters, 12, 84006, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa7859. Open Access (IMPREX, SPECS)
  13. Volpi, D., V. Guemas, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, E. Hawkins and N. Nichols (2017). Decadal climate prediction with a refined anomaly initialisation approach. Climate Dynamics, 48, 1841-1853, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3176-6. (SPECS, PICA-ICE)
  14. Volpi, D., V. Guemas and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2017). Comparison of full field and anomaly initialisation for decadal climate prediction: towards an optimal consistency between the ocean and sea-ice anomaly initialisation state. Climate Dynamics, 49, 1181-1195, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3373-3. (SPECS, PICA-ICE)

2016

  1. Bellprat, O. and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2016). Attribution of extreme weather and climate events overestimated by unreliable climate simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 2158-2164, doi:10.1002/2015GL067189. (VERITAS-CCI, EUCLEIA)
  2. Bellprat, O., Massonnet, F., García-Serrano, J., Fučkar, N.S., Guemas, V., and F. Doblas-Reyes (2016). The role of Arctic sea ice and sea surface temperatures on the cold 2015 February over North America. In Explaining Extreme Events of 2015 from a Climate Perspective, Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, 97, S36-S41, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0159.1. Open Access (EUCLEIA, SPECS, PRIMAVERA, JdC)
  3. Camp, J. and L.-P. Caron (2016). Analysis of Atlantic tropical cyclone landfall forecasts in coupled GCMs on seasonal and decadal timescales. In Hurricanes and Climate Change, 3rd edition, Springer. (RESPONS, SPECS)
  4. Carrassi, A., V. Guemas, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Volpi and M. Asif (2016). Sources of skill in near-term climate prediction. Part I: Generating initial conditions. Climate Dynamics, 47, 3693-3712, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3036-4. (INCLIDA, SPECS, PICA-ICE)
  5. Day, J., S. Tietsche, M. Collins, H. Goessling, V. Guemas, A. Guillory, W. Hurlin, M. Ishii, S. Keeley, D. Matei, R. Msadek, M. Sigmond, H. Tatebe and E. Hawkins (2016). The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1. Geoscientific Model Devevelopment Discussions, 9, 2255-2270, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2255-2016. (SPECS, PICA-ICE)
  6. Favier, V., D. Verfaillie, E. Berthier, M. Ménégoz, V. Jomelli, J.E. Kay, L. Ducret, Y. Malbéteau, D. Brunstein, H. Gallée, Y.H. Park and V. Rinterknecht (2016). Atmospheric drying as the main driver of dramatic glacier wastage in the southern Indian Ocean. Scientific Reports, 6, 32396, doi:10.1038/srep32396. Open access
  7. Fučkar, N.S., V. Guemas, N.C. Johnson, F. Massonnet and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2016). Clusters of interannual sea ice variability in the northern hemisphere. Climate Dynamics, 47, 1527-1543, doi:10.​1007/​s00382-015-2917-2. (PICA-ICE, SPECS)
  8. Fučkar, N.S, F. Massonnet, V. Guemas, J. García-Serrano, O. Bellprat, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and M. Acosta (2016). Record low northern hemisphere sea ice extent in March 2015. In Explaining Extreme Events of 2015 from a Climate Perspective, Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, 97, S136-S140, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0153.1. Open Access (EUCLEIA, SPECS, PRIMAVERA, JdC)
  9. García-Serrano, J. and C. Frankignoul (2016). On the feedback of the winter NAO-driven sea ice anomalies. Climate Dynamics, 47, 1601-1612, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2922-5. (NACLIM, DPETNA)
  10. Guemas, V., E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, M. Chevallier, J.J. Day, M. Déqué, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, N. Fučkar, A. Germe, E. Hawkins, S. Keeley, T. Koenigk, D. Salas y Mélia and S. Tietsche (2016). A review on Arctic sea ice predictability and prediction on seasonal-to-decadal timescales. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142, 546-561, doi:10.1002/qj.2401. (SPECS, PICA-ICE)
  11. Guemas, V., M. Chevallier, M. Déqué, O. Bellprat and F.J. Doblas‐Reyes (2016). Impact of sea ice initialization on sea ice and atmosphere prediction skill on seasonal timescales. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 3889-3896, doi:10.1002/2015GL066626. (SPECS, PICA-ICE, VERITAS-CCI)
  12. Haarsma, R. J., Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L., Senior, C. A., Bellucci, A., Bao, Q., Chang, P., Corti, S., Fučkar, N. S., Guemas, V., von Hardenberg, J., Hazeleger, W., Kodama, C., Koenigk, T., Leung, L. R., Lu, J., Luo, J.-J., Mao, J., Mizielinski, M. S., Mizuta, R., Nobre, P., Satoh, M., Scoccimarro, E., Semmler, T., Small, J., and von Storch, J.-S.: High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP v1.0) for CMIP6 (2016) Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 4185-4208, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-4185-2016. Open Access (PRIMAVERA, JdC)
  13. King, M. P. and J. García-Serrano (2016). Potential ocean-atmosphere preconditioning of late autumn Barents-Kara sea ice concentration anomaly. Tellus A - Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 68, 28580, doi:10.3402/tellusa.v68.28580. Open Access (DPETNA, Severo Ochoa)
  14. Krikken, F., M. Schmeits, W. Vlot, V. Guemas and W. Hazeleger (2016). Skill improvement of dynamical seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasts. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 5124-5132, doi:10.1002/2016GL068462.
  15. Manubens-Gil, D., J. Vegas-Regidor, C. Prodhomme, O. Mula-Valls and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2016). Seamless management of ensemble climate prediction experiments on HPC platforms. Proceedings of the 2016 International Conference on High Performance Computing & Simulation (HPCS), Innsbruck, 895-900, doi:10.1109/HPCSim.2016.7568429 . (SPECS, IS-ENES2)
  16. Massonnet, F., O. Bellprat, V. Guemas and F. J. Doblas-Reyes (2016). Using climate models to estimate the quality of global observational data sets. Science, 6311, 452-455, doi:10.1126/science.aaf6369. (FNRS, SPECS, PICA-ICE, EUCLEIA, VERITAS, CMUG, RES).
  17. Mignot, J., J. García-Serrano, D. Swingedouw, A. Germe, S. Nguyen, P. Ortega, E. Guilyardi and S. Ray (2016). Decadal prediction skill in the ocean with surface nudging in the IPSL-CM5A-LR climate model. Climate Dynamics, 47, 1225-1246, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2898-1. (SPECS, NACLIM)
  18. Prodhomme, C., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, O. Bellprat and E. Dutra (2016). Impact of land-surface initialization on sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasts over Europe. Climate Dynamics, 47, 919-935, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2879-4. (SPECS, DENFREE, EUCLEIA, MINECO CGL2013-41055-R)
  19. Prodhomme, C., L. Batté, F. Massonnet, P. Davini, O. Bellprat, V. Guemas, and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2016). Benefits of increasing the model resolution for the seasonal forecast quality in EC-Earth. Journal of Climate, 29, 9141-9162, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0117.1. (SPECS, EUCLEIA, PREFACE, PRIMAVERA, IMPREX, VERITAS)

2015

  1. Barth, A., M. Canter, B. Van Schaeybroeck, S. Vannitsem, F. Massonnet, V. Zunz, P. Mathiot, A. Alvera-Azcárate and J.-M. Beckers (2015). Assimilation of sea surface temperature, sea ice concentration and sea ice drift in a model of the Southern Ocean. Ocean Modelling, 93, 22-39, doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2015.07.011. (FNRS)
  2. Bellprat, O., F.C. Lott, C. Gulizia, H.R. Parker, L. Pampuch, I. Pinto, A. Ciavarella and P.A. Stott (2015). Unusual past dry and wet rainy seasons over Southern Africa and South America from a climate perspective. Weather and Climate Extremes, 9, 36-46, doi:10.1016/j.wace.2015.07.001. (EUCLEIA) Open Access
  3. Caron, L.-P., M. Boudreault and C.L. Bruyere (2015). Changes in large-scale controls of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity with the phases of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Climate Dynamics, 44, 1801-1821, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2186-5. (SPECS)
  4. Caron, L.-P., L. Hermanson and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2015). Multi-annual forecasts of Atlantic U.S. tropical cyclone wind damage potential. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 2417-2425, doi:10.1002/2015GL063303. (RPI2.0-2013-CARON, SPECS)
  5. Caron, L.-P., M. Boudreault and S.J. Camargo (2015). On the variability and predictability of Eastern Pacific tropical cyclone activity. Journal of Climate, 28, 9678-9696, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0377.1. (SPECS, RESPONS)
  6. García-Serrano, J., C. Frankignoul, G. Gastineau and A. de la Cámara (2015). On the predictability of the winter Euro-Atlantic climate: lagged influence of autumn Arctic sea ice. Journal of Climate, 28, 5195-5216, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00472.1. (NACLIM, EMBRACE)
  7. García-Serrano, J., V. Guemas and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2015). Added-value from initialization in predictions of Atlantic multi-decadal variability. Climate Dynamics, 44, 2539-2555, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2370-7. (SPECS)
  8. Goessling, H., T. Jung, S. Klebe J. Baeseman, P. Bauer, P. Chen, M. Chevallier, R. Dole, N. Gordon, P. Ruti, A. Bradley, D. Bromwich, B. Casati, D. Chechin, J. Day, F. Massonnet, B. Mills, I. Renfrew, G. Smith and R. Tatusko (2015). Paving the way for the year of Polar Prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, ES85-ES88, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00270.1. (FNRS)
  9. Guemas, V., J. García-Serrano, A. Mariotti, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and L.-P. Caron (2015). Prospects for decadal climate prediction in the Mediterranean region. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141, 580-597, doi:10.1002/qj.2379. (SPECS, CLIM-RUN, QWeCI, RUCSS)
  10. Jung, T., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Goessling, V. Guemas, C. Bitz, C. Buontempo, R. Caballero, E. Jakobson, J. Jungclaus, M. Karcher, T. Koenigk, D. Matei, J. Overland, T. Spengler and S. Yang (2015). Polar-lower latitude linkages and their role in weather and climate prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, ES197-ES200, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00121.1. (SPECS) Open Access
  11. Massonnet, F. (2015). Communicating climate complexity. Commentary in Physics Today, 68, 8, doi:10.1063/PT.3.2894. (SPECS, FNRS)
  12. Massonnet, F., V. Guemas, N. Fuckar and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2015). The 2014 high record of Antarctic sea ice extent. In Explaining Extreme Events of 2014 from a Climate Perspective, Bulletin of American Meteorological Society. Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, 96, S163-S167, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00093.1. (SPECS, PICA-ICE, EUCLEIA, FNRS) Open Access
  13. Pepler, A.S., L.B. Díaz, C. Prodhomme, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and A. Kumar (2015). The ability of a multi-model seasonal forecasting ensemble to forecast the frequency of warm, cold and wet extremes. Weather and Climate Extremes, 9, 68-77, doi:10.1016/j.wace.2015.06.005. (SPECS, EUCLEIA)
  14. Prodhomme, C., P. Terray, S. Masson, G. Boschat and T. Izumo (2015). Oceanic factors controlling the Indian summer monsoon onset in a coupled model. Climate Dynamics, 44, 977-1002, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2200-y.
  15. Rodríguez-Fonseca, B., E. Mohino, C.R. Mechoso, C. Caminade, M. Biasutti, M. Gaetani, J. García-Serrano, E.K. Vizy, K. Cook, Y. Xue, I. Polo, T. Losada, L. Druyan, B. Fontaine, J. Bader, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, L. Goddard, S. Janicot, A. Arribas, W. Lau, A. Colman, M. Vellinga, D.P. Rowell, F. Kucharski and A. Voldoire (2015). Variability and predictability of west African droughts: A review of the role of sea surface temperature anomalies. Journal of Climate, 28, 4034-4060, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00130.1. (SPECS)
  16. Stroeve, J., E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, V. Guemas, S. Howell, F. Massonnet and S. Tietsche (2015). Improving predictions of Arctic sea ice extent. EOS, 96, doi:10.1029/2015EO031431. (SPECS, PICA-ICE, FNRS)
working_groups/climate_prediction/publications.txt · Last modified: 2022/06/14 14:50 by cdelgado

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