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working_groups:climate_prediction:publications [2022/01/28 16:22]
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 ===== Peer-reviewed papers =====  ===== Peer-reviewed papers ===== 
 +====2025====
 +  - Aalto, T., A. Tsuruta, J. Mäkelä, J. Müller, M. Tenkanen, E. Burke, S. Chadburn, Y. Gao, V. Mannisenaho, T. Kleinen, H. Lee, A. Leppänen, T. Markkanen, S. Materia, P.A. Miller, D. Peano, O. Peltola, B. Poulter, M. Raivonen, M. Saunois, D. Wårlind, and S. Zaehle: Air temperature and precipitation constraining the modelled wetland methane emissions in a boreal region in northern Europe, Biogeosciences, 22, 323–340 [[https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-323-2025]] //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Bilbao, R., T. J. Aubry, M. Toohey & P. Ortega (2025). The sensitivity of EC-Earth3 decadal predictions to the choice of volcanic forcing dataset: Insights for the next major eruption, [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/18/6239/2025/
 + | Geoscientific Model Development, 18, 6239–6254, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-6239-2025
 +.]] //Open Access// (IMPETUS4CHANGE, CONFESS) [CVC]
 +  -  Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., R. Bilbao, A. Donohoe and S. Materia (2025). Record warmth of 2023 and 2024 was highly predictable and resulted from ENSO transition and Northern Hemisphere absorbed shortwave anomalies. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/showCitFormats?doi=10.1029%2F2025GL115614|Geophysical Research Letters, 52, e2025GL115614, doi:10.1029/2025GL115614]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Carmo-Costa, T., R. Bilbao, J. Robson, A. Teles-Machado, and P. Ortega (2025). A multi-model analysis of the decadal prediction skill for the North Atlantic ocean heat content, [[https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1569 | Earth System Dynamics, 16, 1001–1028, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1001-2025]]. //Open Access// (IMPETUS4CHANGE) [CVC]
 +  - Chen H., P. De Luca, A. Hochman and T.D. Komacek (2025). Effects of transient stellar emissions on planetary climates of tidally-locked exo-earths. [[https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-3881/add33e | The Astronomical Journal, 170, 40]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Choquehuanca, B., A. Godoy and R. Saurral (2025). Assessing the skill of high-impact weather forecasts in southern South America: a study on cut-off lows. [[https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/6/317/2025 | Weather and Climate Dynamics, 6, 317, doi:10.5194/egusphere-2024-1063]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Cvijanovic, I., A. Simon, X. Levine, R. White, P. Ortega, M. Donat, D.D. Lucas, J.C.H. Chiang, A. Seidenglanz, D. Bojovic, A. Ramos Amaral, V. Lapin, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and D. Petrova (2025). Arctic sea-ice loss drives a strong regional atmospheric response over the North Pacific and North Atlantic on decadal scales. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-025-02059-w|Communications Earth & Environment, 6, 154, doi:10.1038/s43247-025-02059-w]]. //Open Access// [CVC,ESS,GES]
 +  - Delgado-Torres, C., S. Octenjak, R. Marcos-Matamoros, N. Pérez-Zanón, E. Baulenas, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M.G. Donat, L.M. Lwiza, N. Milders, A. Soret, S. Whittlesey and D. Bojovic (2025). Supporting food security with multi-annual climate information: Co-production of climate services for the Southern African Development Community. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179259|Science of The Total Environment, 975, 179259, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179259]]. //Open Access// [ESS,CVC,GES] (ASPECT, FOCUS-Africa, PATHFINDER)
 +  - Dinasquet, J., D.S. Hamilton, I.M. Leyba, J. Llort, T. Marshall, R.R. de Oliveira, M.M.G Perron, L. Tinel, V. Garçon, C. Marandino, N. Steiner, D. Wallace and L. Li, (2025). Thriving Through Synergy: Fostering a SOLAS Science Community Built on Equity, International Connections, and the Integration of Early Career Scientists. Oceanography 38, 31–35. [[https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2025.140]]. //Open Access// [CVC, AC]
 +  - Gaymer C.F., D. Wagner, R. Alvarez-Varas, B. Boteler, L. Bravo, C.M. Brooks, V. Chavez-Molina, D. Currie, J. Delgado, B. Dewitte, E.E. Easton, A.M. Friedlander, M.A. Gallardo, M. Gianni, K. Gjerde, M. Gorny, S. Hormazabal, R. Hucke-Gaete, G. Luna-Jorquera, A. Mecho, N. Morales-Serrano, L. Morgan, P. Nuñez, M. Ramos, J. Rapu, C. Rodrigo, J. Sellanes, E. Soto, M. Thiel, L. Van der Meer and D. Veliz (2025). Research advances and conservation needs for an effective protection of the Salas y Gómez and Nazca ridges: a natural and cultural heritage hotspot in the southeastern Pacific Ocean. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2024.106453 | Marine Policy, 171, 106453, doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2024.106453]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Gulizia, C., R. Saurral and I. Camilloni (2025). Potential effects of stratospheric aerosol injection on the mean and extreme climate of South America. [[https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ae065a | Environmental Research: Climate, 4, 045004, doi:10.1088/2752-5295/ae065a]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Kotz, M., M.G. Donat, T. Lancaster, M. Parker, P. Smith, A. Taylor, S.H. Vetter (2025). Climate extremes, food price spikes, and their wider societal risks. [[https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ade45f | Environmental Research Letters, 20:081001, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ade45f]] // Open Access // [CVC]
 +  - Kotz, M., T. Amano, J.E.M. Watson (2025). Large reductions in tropical bird abundance attributable to heat extreme intensification. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-025-02811-7 | Nature Ecology & Evolution, doi:10.1038/s41559-025-02811-7]] // // [CVC]
 +  - Mahmood, R., M. G. Donat, R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, V. Lapin, E. Tourigny & F. J. Doblas-Reyes (2025). Multi-decadal initialized climate predictions using the EC-Earth3 global climate model, [[https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/1923/2025/
 + | Earth System Dynamics, 16, 1923–1934, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1923-2025
 +.]] //Open Access// (ASPECT) [CVC]
 +  - Mahmood, R., M. G. Donat, F. J. Doblas-Reyes & E. Tourigny (2025). A Perfect-Model Perspective on the Signal-to-Noise Paradox in Initialized Decadal Predictions, [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/38/12/JCLI-D-24-0381.1.xml | Journal of Climate, 38, 2841–2851,  https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0381.1.]] //Open Access// (PRECEDE, ASPECT, PATHFINDER, SGR2021_CVC) [CVC]
 +  - Mahmood, R., S. Yang, M. G. Donat (2025). Constraining the NAO-temperature teleconnection in CMIP6 simulations enables skillful multi-annual predictions of Eurasian winter climate, [[https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/adde75 | Environmental Research Letters, 20 (7)]], https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adde75 //Open Access// (Impetus4Change) [CVC]
 +  - Martin-Martinez, E., A. Frigola, E. Moreno-Chamarro, D. Kuznetsova, S. Loosveldt-Tomas, M. Samsó Cabré, P.-A. Bretonnière, and P. Ortega (2025). Effect of horizontal resolution in North Atlantic mixing and ocean circulation in the EC-Earth3P HighResMIP simulations, [[https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/1343/2025 | Earth System Dynamics, 16, 1343–1364, doi:10.5194/esd-16-1343-2025]] //Open Access// (STREAM, EERIE, SGR2021_CVC) [CVC]
 +  - Moreno-Chamarro, E., T. Arsouze, M. Acosta, P.-A. Bretonnière, M. Castrillo, E. Ferrer, A. Frigola, D. Kuznetsova, E. Martin-Martinez, P. Ortega and S. Palomas (2025). The very-high-resolution configuration of the EC-Earth global model for HighResMIP. [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/18/461/2025/gmd-18-461-2025.html|Geoscientific Model Development, 18, 461–482, doi:10.5194/gmd-18-461-2025]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA, STREAM, EERIE) [CVC, CES]
 +  - Palomas, S., M. C. Acosta, G. Utrera, E. Tourigny (2025). Reducing time and computing costs in EC-Earth: an automatic load-balancing approach for coupled Earth system models. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3661-2025|Geoscientific Model Development, 17, 3081–3098, 2024, doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3661-2025]]. //Open Access// (OEMES (PID2020-116324RA-I00), ISENES3 (H2020-GA-824084), ESiWACE3 (101093054)) [CES, CVC]
 +  - Reid, K. J., M.A. Barnes, Z.E. Gillett, T. Parker, D.G. Udy, H. Ayat, G. Boschat, A. Bowden, N. Grosfeld, A.D. King, D. Richardson, Y. Shao, L. Teckentrup, B. Trewin, P. Hope, L. Zhou, A.R. Borowiak, C.M. Holgate and R.N. Isphording (2025). A multiscale evaluation of the wet 2022 in Eastern Australia. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0224.1 | Journal of Climate, 38, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0224.1]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Roldán-Gómez, P.J., P. De Luca, R. Bernardello and M.G. Donat (2025). Regional irreversibility of mean and extreme surface air temperature and precipitation in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios associated with interhemispheric temperature asymmetries. [[https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/1/2025/|Earth System Dynamics, 16, 1–27, doi:10.5194/esd-16-1-2025]]. //Open Access// (RESCUE, PRECEDE) [CVC]
 +  - Roldán-Gómez, P. J., P. Ortega, and M. G. Donat (2025). Contribution of meridional overturning circulation and sea ice changes to large-scale temperature asymmetries in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios, [[https://os.copernicus.org/articles/21/2283/2025/ | Ocean Science, 21, 2283–2303, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-2283-2025]]. //Open Access// (RESCUE, PRECEDE) [CVC]
 +  - Roberts, M. J., K. A. Reed, Q. Bao, J. J. Barsugli, S. J. Camargo, L.-P. Caron, P. Chang, C.-T. Chen, H. M. Christensen, G. Danabasoglu, I. Frenger, N. S. Fučkar, S. U. Hasson, H. T. Hewitt, H. Huang, D. Kim, C. Kodama, M. Lai, L.-Y. R. Leung, R. Mizuta, P. Nobre, P. Ortega, D. Paquin, C. D. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, J. Seddon, A. M. Treguier, C.-Y. Tu, P. A. Ullrich, P. L. Vidale, M. F. Wehner, C. M. Zarzycki, B. Zhang, W. Zhang, and M. Zhao (2025). High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project phase 2 (HighResMIP2) towards CMIP7, [[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1307-2025 | Geoscientific Model Development, 18, 1307–1332]]. //Open Access// (EERIE) [CVC]
 +  - Saurral, R., F. Doblas-Reyes, J. Screen, J. Catto, S. Hay, and H. Yu (2025). Western Mediterranean droughts fostered by Arctic sea ice loss. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/38/13/JCLI-D-25-0066.1.xml|Journal of Climate, 38, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0066.1]]. //Open access// (Polar2MidLat,AI4S)[CVC]
 +  -  Saurral, R., J. Screen, and F. Doblas-Reyes (2025) Model-dependent response of low clouds to Arctic sea-ice loss. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025GL117035 | Geophysical Research Letters, 52 (18), doi:10.1029/2025GL117035]] //Open Access// (Polar2MidLat,AI4S)[CVC]
 +  - Solaraju-Murali, B., Torralba, V., Delgado-Torres, C., Donat, M.G., Cos, P., Gonzalez-Reviriego, N., Soret, A., Doblas-Reyes, F.J., (2025). Constraining decadal climate predictions with seasonal forecasts: a step toward seamless multi-year climate information. [[https://doi.org/ 10.1088/1748-9326/adfd73]]. //Open Access// [ESS,CVC] (ASPECT, BOREAS)
 +  - Trascasa-Castro, P, Y. Ruprich-Robert and A.C. Maycock (2025). Future climate response to observed strong El Niño analogues. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-025-01003-1|npj Clim Atmos Sci, 8, 116]]. //Open access// [ESS, CVC]
 +  - Verjans, V., C.L.E. Franzke, S.S. Lee, I.W. Kim, S. Tilmes, D.M. Lawrence, F. Vitt and F. Li (2025). Quantifying CO2 forcing effects on lightning, wildfires, and climate interactions. [[https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adt5088 | Science Advances, 11, doi:10.1126/sciadv.adt5088]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Verjans, V., Robel, A. A., Ultee, L., Seroussi, H., Thompson, A. F., Ackermann, L., Choi, Y., and Krebs-Kanzow, U. (2025). The Greenland Ice Sheet Large Ensemble (GrISLENS): simulating the future of Greenland under climate variability, [[https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-3749-2025]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +====2024====
 +  - {{:publications:alonso.et.al.2024.pdf |Alonso}}, G., C. Simionato, M. Dinápoli, R. Saurral and N. Bodnariuk (2024). Positive storm surges in the Río de la Plata estuary: forcings, long-term variability, trends and linkage with Southwestern Atlantic Continental Shelf dynamics. [[ https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06402-w | Natural Hazards, doi:1007/s11069-024-06402-w]]. [CVC]
 +  - {{:publications:Badagian.et.al.2024.pdf |Badagian}}, J., M. Barreiro and R. Saurral (2024). Evaluation of subseasonal precipitation forecasts in the Uruguay River Basin. [[https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8634 | International Journal of Climatology, doi:10.1002/joc.8634]] [CVC]
 +  - Bernardello, R., V. Sicardi, V. Lapin, P. Ortega, Y. Ruprich-Robert, E. Tourigny and E. Ferrer (2024). Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO2 uptake. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024 | Earth System Dynamics, doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024]]. //Open Access// (4C, CDRESM) [CVC]
 +  - Bianco, E., E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, S. Materia, P. Ruggieri, D. Iovino, and S. Masina (2024) CMIP6 models underestimate Arctic sea ice loss during the Early Twentieth-Century Warming, despite simulating large low-frequency sea ice variability. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0647.1 |  J. Climate, in press, doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0647.1]]. [CVC]
 +  - Bianco, E., D. Iovino, S. Masina, S. Materia, and P. Ruggieri (2024). The role of upper-ocean heat content in the regional variability of Arctic sea ice at sub-seasonal timescales. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2357-2024 | The Cryosphere, 18, 2357–2379doi:10.5194/esd-15-501-2024]]. [CVC] 
 +  -  Bilbao, R., P. Ortega, D. Swingedouw, L. Hermanson, P. Athanasiadis, R. Eade, M. Devilliers, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, N. Dunstone, A.-C. Ho, W. Merryfield, J. Mignot, D. Nicolì, M. Samsó, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, X. Wu and S. Yeager (2024). Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: A multi-model analysis. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-501-2024 | Earth System Dynamics, 15, 501-525, doi:10.5194/esd-15-501-2024]]. //Open Access// [CVC,GES]
 +  - Campana, P.E., B. Stridth, T. Hörndahl, S.-E. Svensson, S. Zainali, S. Ma Lu, T.E.K. Zidane, P. De Luca, S. Amaducci and M. Colauzzi (2024). Experimental results, integrated model validation, and economic aspects of agrivoltaic systems at northern latitudes. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.140235 | Journal of Cleaner Production, 437, 140235, doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.140235]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Cos, P., R. Marcos-Matamoros, M. Donat, R. Mahmood and F. J. Doblas-Reyes (2024). Near-term Mediterranean summer temperature climate projections: A comparison of constraining methods. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/37/17/JCLI-D-23-0494.1.xml|Journal of Climate, 37, 4367–4388, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0494.1]]. //Open Access// (ASPECT, PATHFINDER, AXA Award Donat) [ESS,GES]
 +  - Crochemore, L., S. Materia, E. Delpiazzo, S. Bagli, A. Borrelli, F. Bosello, E. Contreras, F. Dalla Valle, S. Gualdi, J. Herrero, F. Larosa, R. Lopez, V. Luzzi, P. Mazzoli, A. Montani, I. Moreno, V. Pavan, I. Pechlivanidis, F. Tomei, G. Villani, C. Photiadou, M.J. Polo and Mysiak, J. (2024). A framework for joint verification and evaluation of seasonal climate services across socio-economic sectors.[[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/aop/BAMS-D-23-0026.1/BAMS-D-23-0026.1.xml | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0026.1]]. [CVC]
 +  - {{:publications:dinápoli.et.al.2024.pdf |Dinápoli}}, M., C. Simionato, G. Alonso, N. Bodnariuk, and R. Saurral (2024). Negative storm surges in the Río de la Plata Estuary: mechanisms, variability, trends and linkage with the Continental Shelf dynamics.[[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0272771424002324 | Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, doi:10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108844]]. [CVC]
 +  - De Luca, P., M. Braam, T.D. Komacek and A. Hochman (2024). The impact of Ozone on Earth-like exoplanet climate dynamics: the case of Proxima Centauri b. [[https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stae1199 | Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, stae1199, doi:10.1093/mnras/stae1199]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Donat, M.G., R. Mahmood, P. Cos, P. Ortega and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2024). Improving the forecast quality of near-term climate projections by constraining internal variability based on decadal predictions and observations. [[https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2752-5295/ad5463 | Environmental Research: Climate, 3, 035013, doi:10.1088/2752-5295/ad5463]]. //Open Access// (ASPECT, EXPECT, PRECEDE, PATHFINDER, SGR2021_CVC) [CVC]
 +  - Dunn, R.J.H., N. Herold, L.V. Alexander, M.G. Donat, R. Allan, M. Bador et al. (2024). Observed global changes in sector-relevant climate extremes indices—An extension to HadEX3. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EA003279 | Earth and Space Science, 11, e2023EA003279, doi:10.1029/2023EA003279]]. //Open Access// (LANDMARC) [CVC]
 +  - Gittings, J.A., G., Dall’Olmo, W., Tang, J., Llort, F., Jebri, E., Livanou, F., Nencioli, S., Darmaraki, I., Theodorou, R.J.W., Brewin, M., Srokosz, N., Cassar, R.E., Raitsos (2024). An exceptional phytoplankton bloom in the southeast Madagascar Sea driven by African dust deposition. PNAS Nexus 3, pgae386. [[https://doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae386|PNAS Nexus 3, pgae386, doi:10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae386]] //Open Access// (PYROPLANKTON) [CVC]
 +  - Hieronymus, J., M. Hieronymus, M. Gröger, J. Schwinger, R. Bernadello, E. Tourigny, V. Sicardi, I. Ruvalcaba Baroni, and K. Wyser (2024). Net primary production annual maxima in the North Atlantic projected to shift in the 21st century, [[https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-2189-2024 | Biogeosciences, 21, 2189–2206, doi:10.5194/bg-21-2189-2024]]. //Open Access// (NetNPPAO) [CVC]
 +  - Jones, C.G., Adloff, F., Booth, B. B. B., Cox, P. M., Eyring, V., Friedlingstein, P., Frieler, K., Hewitt, H. T., Jeffery, H. A., Joussaume, S., Koenigk, T., Lawrence, B. N., O'Rourke, E., Roberts, M. J., Sanderson, B. M., Séférian, R., Somot, S., Vidale, P. L., van Vuuren, D., Acosta, M., Bentsen, M., Bernardello, R., Betts, R., Blockley, E., Boé, J., Bracegirdle, T., Braconnot, P., Brovkin, V., Buontempo, C., Doblas-Reyes, F.J., Donat, M., Epicoco, I., Falloon, P., Fiore, S., Frölicher, T., Fučkar, N. S., Gidden, M. J., Goessling, H. F., Graversen, R. G., Gualdi, S., Gutiérrez, J. M., Ilyina, T., Jacob, D., Jones, C. D., Juckes, M., Kendon, E., Kjellström, E., Knutti, R., Lowe, J., Mizielinski, M., Nassisi, P., Obersteiner, M., Regnier, P., Roehrig, R., Salas y Mélia, D., Schleussner, C.-F., Schulz, M., Scoccimarro, E., Terray, L., Thiemann, H., Wood, R. A., Yang, S., and Zaehle, S. (2024). Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy. [[https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/1319/2024/|Earth System Dynamics, 15, 1319–1351, doi:10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024]].  //Open Access// [CVC, CES]
 +  - {{:library:kim_et_al_2024.pdf |Kim}}, W., Y. Ruprich-Robert, A. Zhao, S. Yeager and J. Robson (2024). North Atlantic response to observed North Atlantic Oscillation surface heat flux in three climate models. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/37/5/JCLI-D-23-0301.1.xml | Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0301.1]]. [CVC]
 +  - De Luca, P., B. Jiménez-Esteve, L. Degenhardt, S. Schemm and S. Pfahl (2024). Enhanced blocking frequencies in very-high resolution idealized climate model simulations [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111016 | Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL111016, doi:10.1029/2024GL111016]]. //Open Access// (HEU DeCaGloPreCEs) [CVC]
 +  - Martín-Gómez, V., B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, I. Polo and M. Martín-Rey (2024). Observed global mean state changes modulating the collective influence of the tropical Atlantic and Indian Oceans on ENSO. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0450.1|Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0450.1]].(ReSPoNSe) [CVC]
 +  - Materia S., L. Palma-García, C. Straaten, S. O, A. Mamalakis, L. Cavicchia, D. Coumou, P. de Luca, M. Kretschmer, M. Donat (2024). Artificial intelligence for climate prediction of extremes: State of the art, challenges, and future perspectives.  [[https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.914 | WIREs Climate Change, e914, doi.org/10.1002/wcc.914]]. //Open Access// (EXPECT) [CVC]
 +  - {{:publications:Meis.et.al.2024.pdf |Meis}}, M., M. Sued, R. Saurral and P. Menéndez (2024). A novel statistically-based approach to regionalize extreme precipitation events using temperature data. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-024-06805-9 | Natural Hazards, doi:10.1007/s11069-024-06805-9.]] [CVC]
 +  - Meroni, M., P. Vojonovic, M. Zampieri, S. Materia, F. Rembold, O. Kipkogei and A. Toreti (2024). Increasing the prospective capacity of global crop and rangeland monitoring with phenology tailored seasonal precipitation forecasts. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100434 | Climate Services, 33, 100434, doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100434]]. //Open Access// (FocusAFRICA) [CVC]
 +  - Mohino, E., P.-A. Monerie, J. Mignot, M. Diakhaté, M. Donat, C.D. Roberts and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2024). Impact of Atlantic multidecadal variability on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of the West African monsoon. [[https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/15/2024/|Earth System Dynamics, 15, 15–40, doi:10.5194/esd-15-15-2024]]. //Open Access// [CVC,GES]
 +  - Montoro-Mendoza, A., C. Calvo-Sancho, J.J. González-Alemán, J. Díaz-Fernández, P. Bolgiani, M. Sastre, E. Moreno-Chamarro and M.L. Martín (2024). Environments conductive to tropical transitions in the North Atlantic: Anthropogenic climate change influence study. [[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169809524003910/|Atmospheric Research, p.107609, doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107609]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Petrova, I.Y., D. G. Miralles, F. Brient, M. G. Donat, S.-K. Min, Y.-H. Kim, M. Bador (2024), Observation-constrained projections reveal longer-than-expected dry spells. [[https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07887-y|Nature 633, 594–600. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07887-y]] //Open Access// (LANDMARC, EXPECT) [CVC]
 +  - Plésiat, É., R.J.H. Dunn, M. G. Donat and C. Kadow (2024). Artificial intelligence reveals past climate extremes by reconstructing historical records. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-53464-2|Nature Communications 15, 9191. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-53464-2]]. //Open Access// (EXPECT) [CVC]
 +  - Renault, L., T. Arsouze, F. Desbiolles, et al. (2024). Rectification effects of regional air–sea interactions over western boundary current on large-scale sea surface temperature and extra-tropical storm tracks. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-82667-2 | Scientific Reports, 14, 31771, doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-82667-2.]] //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA) [CVC]
 +  - Sillmann, J., T. H. Raupach, K. Findell, M. Donat, L. M. Alves, L. Alexander, et al. (2024). Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making, [[https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/climate/articles/10.3389/fclim.2024.1499765/full|Frontiers in Climate 6, https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2024.1499765]]. //Open Access// (EXPECT) [CVC] 
 +  - Sospedra-Alfonso, R., William J. Merryfield; Matthew Toohey; Claudia Timmreck; Jean Paul Vernier; Ingo Bethke; Yiguo Wang; Roberto Bilbao; Markus G. Donat; Pablo Ortega; Jason Cole; Woo-Sung Lee; Thomas L. Delworth; David Paynter; Fanrong Zeng; Liping Zhang; Myriam Khodri; Juliette Mignot; Didier Swingedouw; Olivier Torres; Shuai Hu; Wenmin Man; Meng Zuo; Leon Hermanson; Doug Smith; Takahito Kataoka; Hiroaki Tatebe: Decadal prediction centers prepare for a major volcanic eruption. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/aop/BAMS-D-23-0111.1/BAMS-D-23-0111.1.xml | BAMS, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0111.1]] //Open Access// (CONFESS) [CVC]
 +  - Steenbeek, J., P. Ortega, R. Bernardello, V. Christensen, M. Coll, E. Exarchou, A. Fuster-Alonso, R. Heneghan, L. Juliá Melis, M. G. Pennino, D. Rivas and N. Keenlyside (2024). Making Ecosystem Modeling Operational–A Novel Distributed Execution Framework to Systematically Explore Ecological Responses to Divergent Climate Trajectories. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004295 | Eart's Future, 12, e2023EF004295. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004295]] //Open Access// (TRIATLAS) [CVC]
 +  - Teckentrup, L., De Kauwe, M. G., Pitman, A. J., Warlind, David, Ukkola, A. M., and Smith, B. (2024). Resolving Uncertainty in the Response of Australia's Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Projected Climate Change. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111398 | Geophysical Research Letters, doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111398]]. //Open Access// [CVC, ESS]
 +  - Torralba, V., S. Materia, L. Cavicchia, M.C. Álvarez-Castro, C. Prodhomme, R. McAdam, E. Scoccimarro, and S. Gualdi (2024). Nighttime heat waves in the Euro-Mediterranean region: definition, characterisation, and seasonal prediction. Environmental Research Letters, 19(3), 034001. [[https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad24cf]] //Open Access// (ARTIST S. Materia) [ESS, CVC]
 +  - Woolnough, S.J., F. Vitart, A.W. Robertson, C.A.S. Coelho, R. Lee, H. Lin, A. Kumar, C. Stan, M. Balmaseda, N. Caltabiano, M. Yamaguchi, H. Afargan-Gerstman, V.L. Boult, F.M. De Andrade, D. Büeler, A. Carreric, D.A. Campos Diaz, J. Day, J. Dorrington, M. Feldmann, J.C. Furtado, C.M. Grams, R. Koster, L. Hirons, V.S. Indasi, P. Jadhav, Y. Liu, P. Nying’uro, C.D. Roberts, E. Rouges and J. Ryu (2024). Celebrating 10 years of the Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project and looking to the future. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0323.1 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0323.1]]. //Open Access// (STARS cofund A. Carreric) [CVC, ESS]
 +  - Zhang, S., Y. Pan, Y. Xue, I. Diallo, X. Zeng, S. Li, J.D. Neelin, W.K.M. Lau, A.A. Boone, F. Vitart, T. Yao, Q. Tang, T. Sato, M.S. Koo, C. Ardilouze, S.K.Saha, J. Yang, S. Materia, Z. Lin, X. Qi, Y. Qin, T. Nakamura, P. Nobre, D. Peano, R. Senan, Y. Takaya, H. Wang, H. Zhang, Y. Zhan, M. Zhao, C.R. Mechoso, Q. Bao, M.J. Bottino, S. Hong, Y. Lin, S. Xie, X. Pan, H.P. Nayak, S.C. Chou, W. Guo (2024). Near-global summer circulation response to the spring surface temperature anomaly in Tibetan Plateau –– the GEWEX/LS4P first phase experiment. Clim Dyn 62, 2907–2924. [[https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07210-5]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +====2023====
 +  - Hochman, A., T.D., Komacek and P. De Luca (2023). Analogous response of temperate terrestrial exoplanets and Earth’s climate dynamics to greenhouse gas supplement. [[https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-38026-8 | Scientific Reports, 13, 11123, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-38026-8]] //Open Access// (MSCA_Paolo) [CVC]
 +  - Acosta, M. C., S. Palomas and E. Tourigny (2023). Balancing EC-Earth3 improving the performance of EC-Earth CMIP6 configurations by minimizing the coupling cost. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EA002912 | Earth and Space Science, 10, e2023EA002912, doi:10.1029/2023EA002912]]. //Open Access// (OEMES) [CES, CVC]
 +  - Ayache, M., J.-C. Dutay, K. Tachikawa, T. Arsouze and C. Jeandel (2023). Neodymium budget in the Mediterranean Sea: evaluating the role of atmospheric dusts using a high-resolution dynamical-biogeochemical model. [[https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/20/205/2023/ | Biogeosciences, 20, 205–227, doi:10.5194/bg-20-205-2023]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Brewin, R.J.W., S. Sathyendranath, G. Kulk, M.-H. Rio, J.A. Concha, T.G. Bell, A. Bracher, C. Fichot, T.L. Frölicher, M. Galí, D.A. Hansell, T.S. Kostadinov, C. Mitchell, A.R. Neeley, E. Organelli, K. Richardson, C. Rousseaux, F. Shen, D. Stramski, M. Tzortziou, A.J. Watson, C.I. Addey, M. Bellacicco, H. Bouman, D. Carroll, I. Cetinić, G. Dall’Olmo, R. Frouin, J. Hauck, M. Hieronymi, C. Hu, V. Ibello, B. Jönsson, C.E. Kong, Z. Kovač, M. Laine, J. Lauderdale, S. Lavender, E. Livanou, J. Llort, L. Lorinczi, M. Nowicki, N.A. Pradisty, S. Psarra, D.E. Raitsos, A.B. Ruescas, J.L. Russell, J. Salisbury, R. Sanders, J.D. Shutler, X. Sun, F.G. Taboada, G. Tilstone, X. Wei and D.K. Woolf (2023). Ocean carbon from space: Current status and priorities for the next decade. [[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012825223000752 | Earth-Science Reviews, 240, 104386, doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2023.104386]]. (PYROPLANKTON) //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Cañete, J.I., M.S. Romero, E.E. Easton, A. Mecho and J. Sellanes (2023). Chloeia rozbaczyloi, a new species of polychaete (Archinominae: Amphinomidae) and first record of the family for the Nazca Ridge, southeastern Pacific Ocean. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2023.104110|Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 104110, doi:10.1016/j.dsr.2023.104110]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Delgado-Torres, C., M. G. Donat, A. Soret, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, P.-A. Bretonnière, A.-C. Ho, N. Pérez-Zanón, M. Samsó Cabré, and F. J. Doblas-Reyes (2023). Multi-annual predictions of the frequency and intensity of daily temperature and precipitation extremes. [[https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acbbe1 | Environmental Research Letters, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/acbbe1]]. //Open Access// (ASPECT) [CVC-ESS]
 +  - De Luca, P., C. Delgado-Torres, R. Mahmood, M. Samsó and M. G. Donat (2023). Constraining decadal variability regionally improves near-term projections of hot, cold and dry extremes. [[https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/acf389 | Environmental Research Letters, 18, 094054, https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acf389]] //Open Access// (LANDMARC, ASPECT, MSCA_Paolo) [CVC] 
 +  - De Luca, P., &  M. G. Donat (2023).  Projected changes in hot, dry, and compound hot-dry extremes over global land regions. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102493 | Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2022GL102493. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102493]]. //Open Access// (LANDMARC, MSCA_Paolo) [CVC]
 +  - Donat, M. G., C. Delgado-Torres, P. De Luca, R. Mahmood, P. Ortega and F. J. Doblas-Reyes (2023). How credibly do CMIP6 simulations capture historical mean and extreme precipitation changes? [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102466 | Geophysical Research Letters,  50, e2022GL102466. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102466]]. //Open Access// (LANDMARC, ASPECT, SGR2021_CVC, AXA_Award_Donat, MSCA_Paolo) [CVC] 
 +  - Findell, K. L., R. Sutton, N. Caltabiano, A. Brookshaw, P. Heimbach, M. Kimoto, S. Osprey, D. Smith, J. S. Risbey, Z. Wang, L. Cheng, L. Diaz, M. G. Donat, M. Ek, J. Lee, S. Minobe, M. Rusticucci, F. Vitart, L. Wang (2023). Explaining and Predicting Earth System Change: A World Climate Research Programme Call to Action, [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/104/1/BAMS-D-21-0280.1.xml|Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 104(1), E325-E339]], https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0280.1. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - González-Alemán, J. J., D. Insua-Costa, E. Bazile, S. González-Herrero, M. Marcello Miglietta, P. Groenemeijer, M. G. Donat (2023). Anthropogenic Warming Had a Crucial Role in Triggering the Historic and Destructive Mediterranean Derecho in Summer 2022. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0119.1 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104(8), E1526-E1532. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0119.1 ]] //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Huang, H., W.D. Collins, C.M. Patricola, Y. Ruprich-Robert, P.A. Ullrich and A.J. Baker (2023). Contrasting responses of Atlantic and Pacific tropical cyclone activity to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2023GL102959 | Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL102959, doi:10.1029/2023GL102959]]. //Open Access// (laCaixa, ReSPonSe) [CVC]
 +  - Hamilton, D.S., A.R. Baker, Y. Iwamoto, S. Gassó, E. Bergas-Masso, S. Deutch, J. Dinasquet, Y. Kondo, J. Llort, S. Myriokefalitakis, M.M.G. Perron, A. Wegmann, J. Yoon, (2023). An aerosol odyssey: Navigating nutrient flux changes to marine ecosystems. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 37, 11, doi:[[https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.2023.00037|10.1525/elementa.2023.00037]]//Open Access//(PYROPLANKTON-ESA)[AC,CVC]
 +  - Lacour, L., J. Llort, N. Briggs, P.G. Strutton and P.W. Boyd (2023). Seasonality of downward carbon export in the Pacific Southern Ocean revealed by multi-year robotic observations. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-36954-7 | Nature Communications, 14, 1278, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-36954-7]]. //Open Access// (MSCA-STARS MESH) [ES-CVC]
 +  - {{ :publications:laepple2023_globallocal.pdf |Laepple, T.}}, E. Ziegler, N. Weitzel, R. Hébert, B. Ellerhoff, P. Schoch, B. Martrat, O. Bothe, E. Moreno-Chamarro, M. Chevalier, A. Herbert and K. Rehfeld (2023). Regional but not global temperature variability underestimated by climate models at supradecadal timescales. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-023-01299-9|Nature Geosciences, 16, 958–966, doi:10.1038/s41561-023-01299-9]]. [CVC]
 +  - Liu, Y., M.G. Donat, M.H. England, L.V. Alexander, A.L. Hirsch and C. Delgado-Torres (2023). Enhanced multi-year predictability after El Niño and La Niña events. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-42113-9 | Nature Communications, 14, 6387, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-42113-9]]. //Open Access// (ASPECT, AXA Chair) [CVC, ESS]
 +  - Martín-Gómez, V., Y. Ruprich-Robert, R. Bernardello, E. Tourigny, M. Donat, P. Ortega and M. Samso Cabré (2023). Large spread in interannual variance of atmospheric CO2 concentration across CMIP6 Earth System Models. [[https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00532-x | npj-Climate and atmospheric sciences, 6, doi:10.1038/s41612-023-00532-x]]. //Open Access// (ReSPonSe, 4C, LANDMARC) [CVC]
 +  - Massonnet F, Barreira S, Barthélemy A, Bilbao R, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, Blockley E, Bromwich DH, Bushuk M, Dong X, Goessling HF, Hobbs W, Iovino D, Lee W-S, Li C, Meier WN, Merryfield WJ, Moreno-Chamarro E, Morioka Y, Li X, Niraula B, Petty A, Sanna A, Scilingo M, Shu Q, Sigmond M, Sun N, Tietsche S, Wu X, Yang Q and Yuan X (2023) SIPN South: six years of coordinated seasonal Antarctic sea ice predictions. [[https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1148899, Front. Mar. Sci. 10:1148899. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1148899]] //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Mayot, N., C. Le Quéré, C. Rödenbeck, R. Bernardello, L. Bopp, L. M. Djeutchouang, M. Gehlen, L. Gregor, N. Gruber, J. Hauck, Y. Iida, T. Ilyina, R. F. Keeling, P. Landschützer, A. C. Manning, L. Patara, L. Resplandy, J. Schwinger, R. Séférian, A. J. Watson, R. M. Wright and J. Zeng (2023). Climate-driven variability of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink. [[https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0055 |Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, doi:10.1098/rsta.2022.0055]]. //Open Access// (4C) [CVC]
 +  - O'Reilly, C.H., M. Patterson, J. Robson, P.-A. Monerie, D. Hodson and Y. Ruprich-Robert (2023). Challenges with interpreting the impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability using SST-restoring experiments. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-023-00335-0 | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00335-0]]. //Open Access// (ReSPonSe, laCaixa) [CVC]
 +  - Polkova, I., D. Swingedouw, L. Hermanson, A. Köhl, D. Stammer, D. Smith, J. Kröger, I. Bethke, X. Yang, L. Zhang, D. Nicolì, P. J. Athanasiadis, P. Karami, K. Pankatz, H. Pohlmann, B. Wu, R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, S. Yang, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, W. Merryfield, T. Kataoka, H. Tatebe, Y. Imada, M. Ishii, R. J. Matear (2023). Initialization shock in the ocean circulation reduces skill in decadal predictions of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre. [[ https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2023.1273770 | Frontiers in Climate, 5:1273770]] //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - {{publications:rsaurral_ijoc_2023.pdf|Saurral, R.}} and F. Piscitelli (2023). Dynamic and thermodynamic drivers of rainfall trends at the City of Buenos Aires, Argentina. [[https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/joc.8233|International Journal of Climatology, doi:10.1002/joc.8233]] [CVC] 
 +  - {{publications:rsaurral_TAAC_2023.pdf|Saurral, R.}} and G. Raggio (2023). Changes in stratospheric ozone concentrations shape air temperature distributions on the Antarctic Peninsula. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-023-04598-8|Theoretical and Applied Climatology, doi:10.1007/s00704-023-04598.8]] [CVC] 
 +  - Xue, Y., I. Diallo, A.A. Boone, Y. Zhang, X. Zeng, W.K.M. Lau, J.D. Neelin, T. Yao, Q. Tang, T. Sato, M.-S. Koo, F. Vitart, C. Ardilouze, S.K Saha, S. Materia, Z. Lin, Y. Takaya, J. Yang, T. Nakamura, X. Qi, Y. Qin, P. Nobre, R. Senan, H. Wang, H. Zhang, M. Zhao, H.P. Nayak, Y. Pan, X. Pan, J. Feng, C. Shi, S. Xie, M.A. Brunke, Q. Bao, M.J. Bottino, T. Fan, S. Hong, Y. Lin, D. Peano, Y. Zhan, C.R. Mechoso, X. Ren, G. Balsamo, S.C. Chou, P. de Rosnay, P.J. van Oevelen, D. Klocke, M. Ek, X. Li, W. Guo, Y. Zhu, J. Tang, X.-Z. Liang, Y. Qian and P. Zhao (2023). Remote effects of Tibetan Plateau spring land temperature on global subseasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction and comparison with effects of sea surface temperature: the GEWEX/LS4P Phase I experiment. [[https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06905-5 | Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-023-06905-5]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Zampieri, M., A. Toreti, M. Meroni, D. Bojovic, S. Octenjak, R. Marcos-Matamoros, S. Materia, L. Chang'a, M. Merchades, M. Chaves Montego, F. Rembold, A. Troccoli, I. Roy and I. Hoteit (2023). Seasonal forecasts of the rainy season onset over Africa: Preliminary results from the FOCUS-Africa project. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100417| Climate Services, 32, doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100417]]. //Open Access// (FOCUS-Africa) [ESS, CVC]
 + 
 +
 +====2022====
 +  - Acosta Navarro, J.C., J. García-Serrano, V. Lapin and P. Ortega (2022). Added value of assimilating springtime Arctic sea ice concentration in summer-fall climate predictions. [[https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6c9b| Environmental Research Letters, 17, 064008, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac6c9b]] //Open Access// (CMUG, INTAROS, APPLIDATE) [CVC]
 +  - Carmo-Costa, T., R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, A. Teles-Machado and E. Dutra (2022). Trends, variability and predictive skill of the ocean heat content in North Atlantic: An analysis with the EC-Earth3 model. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-021-05962-y|Climate Dynamics, 58, 1311–1328, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05962-y]]. //Open Access// (RyC_Pablo, EUCP) [CVC]
 +  - {{ :publications:delgado-torres_et_al_2022_-_jgr-atmospheres_-_weather_regimes.pdf | Delgado-Torres}}, C., D. Verfaillie, E. Mohino and M.G. Donat (2022). Representation and annual to decadal predictability of Euro-Atlantic weather regimes in the CMIP6 version of the EC-Earth coupled climate model. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036673 | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127, e2022JD036673, doi:10.1029/2022JD036673]]. (EUCP, AXA) [CVC]
 +  - {{ :publications:cdelgado_jcli_2022.pdf | Delgado-Torres}}, C., M.G. Donat, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, L-P. Caron, P.J. Athanasiadis, P.A. Bretonnière, N.J. Dunstone, A. Ho, D. Nicoli, K. Pankatz, A. Paxian, N. Pérez-Zanón, M.S. Cabré, B. Solaraju-Murali, A. Soret and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2022). Multi-model forecast quality assessment of CMIP6 decadal predictions. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/13/JCLI-D-21-0811.1.xml| Journal of Climate, 35, 4363-4382, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0811.1]]. (EUCP, C3S_34c) [CVC]
 +  - Della Penna, A., J. Llort, S. Moreau, R. Patel, R. Kloser, P. Gaube, P. Strutton and P.W. Boyd (2022). The impact of a Southern Ocean cyclonic eddy on mesopelagic micronekton. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC018893| Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 127, e2022JC018893, doi:10.1029/2022JC018893]]. //Open Access// (MESH-STARS J.Llort) [CVC]
 +  - Döscher, R., M. Acosta, A. Alessandri, P. Anthoni, A. Arneth,T. Arsouze, T. Bergmann, R. Bernadello, S. Bousetta, L.-P. Caron, G. Carver, M. Castrillo, F. Catalano, I. Cvijanovic, P. Davini, E. Dekker, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Docquier, P. Echevarria, U. Fladrich, R. Fuentes-Franco, M. Gröger, J. v. Hardenberg, J. Hieronymus, M.P. Karami, J.-P. Keskinen, T. Koenigk, R. Makkonen, F. Massonnet, M. Ménégoz, P.A. Miller, E. Moreno-Chamarro, L. Nieradzik, T. van Noije, P. Nolan, D. O’Donnell, P. Ollinaho, G. van den Oord, P. Ortega, O. Tintó Prims, A. Ramos, T. Reerink, C. Rousset, Y. Ruprich-Robert, P. Le Sager, T. Schmith, R. Schrödner, F. Serva, V. Sicardi, M. Sloth Madsen, B. Smith, T. Tian, E. Tourigny, P. Uotila, M. Vancoppenolle, S. Wang, D. Wårlind, U. Willén, K. Wyser, S. Yang, X. Yepes-Arbós and Q. Zhang (2022). The EC-Earth3 Earth system model for the Climate Model Intercomparison Project 6. [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2020-446/|Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 2973–3020, doi:10.5194/gmd-2020-446]]. [CVC]
 +  - {{ :publications:mdonat_Nature_2022.pdf | Donat, M.G.}} (2022). Marine heatwaves are reliably forecast by climate models. [[https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-01028-z | Nature, 604, 432-433, doi:10.1038/d41586-022-01028-z]]. [CVC]
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 +  - Falls, M., R. Bernardello, M. Castrillo, M. Acosta, J. Llort, M. Galí (2022). Use of genetic algorithms for ocean model parameter optimisation: a case study using PISCES-v2_RC for North Atlantic particulate organic carbon. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-5713-2022 | Geoscientific Model Development, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-5713-2022]]. //Open Access// (ORCAs, DeCUSO, OPERA) [CVC-CES] 
 +  - Feng, X., C. Qian, & S. Materia (2022). Amplification of the temperature seasonality in the Mediterranean region under anthropogenic climate change. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2022GL099658 | Geophysical Research Letters, e2022GL099658. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099658]]. [CVC]
 +  - Galí, M., M. Falls, H. Claustre, O. Aumont, R. Bernardello (2022). Bridging the gaps between particulate backscattering measurements and modeled particulate organic carbon in the ocean. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-1245-2022 | Biogeosciences, doi:10.5194/bg-19-1245-2022]] //Open Access// (ORCAs, DeCUSO, OPERA) [CVC]
 +  - Hariadi, M. H., G. van der Schrier, G.-J. Steeneveld, D. Nur Ratri, A. Sopaheluwakan, A. Klein Tank, E. Aldrian, D. Gunawan, M.-P. Moine, A. Bellucci, R. Senan, E. Tourigny, D. Ariyani Putrasahan, U. Ajie Linarka (2022). Evaluation of extreme precipitation over Southeast Asia in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 regional climate model results and HighResMIP global climate models. [[https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.7938 | International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.7938]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA) [CVC]
 +  - Hermanson, L., D. Smith, M. Seabrook, R. Bilbao, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, E. Tourigny, V. Lapin, V.V. Kharin, W.J. Merryfield, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, P. Athanasiadis, D. Nicoli, S. Gualdi, N. Dunstone, R. Eade, A.A. Scaife, M. Collier, T. O’Kane, V. Kitsios, P. Sandery, K. Pankatz, B. Früh, H. Pohlmann, W. Müller, T. Kataoka, H. Tatebe, M. Ishii, Y. Imada, T. Kruschke, T. Koenigk, M.P. Karami, S. Yang, T. Tian, L. Zhang, T. Delworth, X. Yang, F. Zeng, Y. Wang, F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, J. Lean, J. Luterbacher, R.K. Kolli and A. Kumar (2022). WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update: A prediction for 2021-2025. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/aop/BAMS-D-20-0311.1/BAMS-D-20-0311.1.xml|Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0311.1]]. //Open Access// (EUCP, RES) [CVC]
 +  - Hochman, A., P. De Luca and T.K. Komacek (2022). Greater Climate Sensitivity and Variability on TRAPPIST-1e than Earth. [[https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-4357/ac866f| Astrophys. J., 938, 114, doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ac866f]] // Open Access // [CVC]
 +  - Hodson, D.L.R., P.-A. Bretonnière, C. Cassou, P. Davini, N.P. Klingaman, K. Lohmann, J. Lopez-Parages, M. Martín-Rey, M.-P. Moine, P.-A. Monerie, D.A. Putrasahan, C.D. Roberts, J. Robson, Y. Ruprich-Robert, E. Sanchez-Gomez, J. Seddon and R. Senan (2022). Coupled climate response to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in a multi-model multi-resolution ensemble. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-022-06157-9 | Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06157-9]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA, INADEC) [CVC]
 +  - {{ :publications:kilbourne-2022_natgeos_atlanticcirculation.pdf |Kilbourne, H.}}, A. Wanamaker, P. Moffa-Sanchez, D. Reynolds, D. Amrhein, P. Butler, G. Gebbie, M. Goes, M. Jansen, C. Little, M. Mette, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, B. Otto-Bliesner, T. Rossby, J. Scourse and N. Whitney (2022). Atlantic circulation change still uncertain. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-022-00896-4 || Nature Geoscience, 15, 165-167, doi:10.1038/s41561-022-00896-4]]. (RyC_Portega, PARAMOUR) [CVC]
 +  - Langehaug, H.R., P. Ortega, F. Counillon, D. Matei, E. Maroon, N. Keenlyside, J. Mignot, Y. Wang, D. Swingedouw, I. Bethke, S. Yang, G. Danabasoglu, A. Bellucci, P. Ruggieri, D. Nicolì and M. Årthun (2022). Propagation of thermohaline anomalies and their predictive potential along the Atlantic water pathway. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-1007.1 | Journal of Climate, 35, 2111–2131, 2022, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-1007.1]]. //Open Access// (RyC_Pablo) [CVC]
 +  - Mahmood, R.,  M. G. Donat, P. Ortega, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, C. Delgado-Torres, M. Samsó and P.-A. Bretonnière (2022). Constraining low-frequency variability in climate projections to predict climate on decadal to multi-decadal time scales – a poor man's initialized prediction system. [[https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1437/2022/ |Earth System Dynamics, 13, 1437–1450, doi:10.5194/esd-13-1437-2022]]. //Open Access//  (PATHFINDER, EUCP, AXA_Markus, RyC_Pablo) [CVC]
 +  - Materia, S., C. Ardilouze, C. Prodhomme, M.G. Donat, M. Benassi, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Peano, L.-P. Caron, P. Ruggieri and S. Gualdi (2022). Summer temperature response to extreme soil water conditions in the Mediterranean transitional climate regime. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-021-05815-8|Climate Dynamics, 58, 1943–1963, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05815-8]]. //Open Access// (MEDSCOPE) [CVC]
 +   - Mezzina, B., J. García-Serrano, I. Bladé, F.M. Palmeiro, L. Batté, C. Ardilouze, M. Benassi and S. Gualdi (2022). Multi-model assessment of the late-winter extra-tropical response to El Niño and La Niña. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05415-y | Climate Dynamics, 58, 1965–1986, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05415-y]]. //Open Access// (MEDSCOPE). [CVC]
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 +  - Michel, S., D. Swingedouw, J. Mignot, P. Ortega, G. Gastineau, G.McCarthy, M. Khodri (2022). Early warning signal for a tipping point suggested by a millennial Atlantic Multidecadal Variability reconstruction. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32704-3 | Nature Communications, 13, 5176, doi:10.1038/s41467-022-32704-3]]. (RyC_Portega) [CVC]
 +  - Moreno-Chamarro, E., L.-P. Caron, S. Loosveldt Tomas, J. Vegas-Regidor, O. Gutjahr, M.-P. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C.D. Roberts, M.J. Roberts, R. Senan, L. Terray, E. Tourigny and P.L. Vidale (2022). Impact of increased resolution on long-standing biases in HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA climate models. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-269-2022 | Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 269–289, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-269-2022]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA, IS-ENES3, SPFireSD,  CMUG-CCI3-TECHPROP, STREAM) [CVC]
 +  - {{ :publications:moreno-chamarro-2021_natcc_newsviews.pdf |Moreno-Chamarro, E.}} (2022). Delayed recovery of the tropical rain belt. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01237-w|Nature Climate Change, 12, 9–10, doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01237-w]]. [CVC]
 +  - Orihuela-García, M. A., Bolado-Penagos, M., Sala, I., Tovar-Sánchez, A., García, C. M., Bruno, M., Echevarría, F. & Laiz, I. (2022). Trace metals distribution between the surface waters of the Gulf of Cadiz and the Alboran Sea. Science of The Total Environment, 159662, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159662 [CVC]
 +  - Ortega, P., E.W. Blockley, M. Køltzow, F. Massonnet, I. Sandu, G. Svensson, J.C. Acosta Navarro, G. Arduini, L. Batté, E. Bazile, M. Chevallier, R. Cruz-García, J.J. Day, T. Fichefet, D. Flocco, M. Gupta, K. Hartung, E. Hawkins, C. Hinrichs, L. Magnusson, E. Moreno-Chamarro, S. Pérez-Montero, L. Ponsoni, T. Semmler, D. Smith, J. Sterlin, M. Tjernström, I. Välisuo and T. Jung (2022). Improving Arctic weather and seasonal climate prediction: recommendations for future forecast systems evolution from the European project APPLICATE. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/103/10/BAMS-D-22-0083.1.xml|Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103(10), E2203-E2213, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0083.1]].​ //Open Access// (APPLICATE, RyC_Pablo) [CVC]
 +  - Pelletier, C., T. Fichefet, H. Goosse, K. Haubner, S. Helsen, P.-V. Huot, C. Kittel, F. Klein, S. Le clec'h, N. P. M. van Lipzig, S. Marchi, F. Massonnet, P. Mathiot, E. Moravveji, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, F. Pattyn, N. Souverijns, G. Van Achter, S. Vanden Broucke, A. Vanhulle, D. Verfaillie and L. Zipf (2022). PARASO, a circum-Antarctic fully-coupled ice-sheet - ocean - sea-ice - atmosphere - land model involving f.ETISh1.7, NEMO3.6, LIM3.6, COSMO5.0 and CLM4.5. [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/15/553/2022/ | Geoscience Model Development, 15, 553–594, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-553-2022.]] //Open Access// (PARAMOUR) [CVC]
 +  - Simon, A., G. Gastineau, C. Frankignoul, V. Lapin and P. Ortega (2022). Pacific Decadal Oscillation modulates the Arctic sea-ice loss influence on the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation in winter. [[https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2022/egusphere-2022-69/| Weather and Climate Dynamics Discussions, doi:10.5194/egusphere-2022-69.]] //Open Access// (RyC_Portega, APPLICATE, INTAROS) [CVC]
 +  - Simon A, S. M. Plecha, A. Russo, A. Teles-Machado, M. G. Donat, P.-A. Auger and R. M. Trigo (2022). Hot and cold marine extreme events in the Mediterranean over the period 1982-2021. [CVC][[https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2022.892201/full | Frontiers in Marine Science, 9, 892201, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.892201 ]] //Open Access//
 +  - Smith, D., R. Eade, M. Andrews, H. Ayres, A. Clark, S. Chripko, C. Deser, N. Dunstone, J. Garcia-Serrano, G. Gastineau, L. S. Graff, S. C. Hardiman, B. He, L. Hermanson,  T. Jung, J. Knight, X. Levine, G. Magnusdottir, E. Manzini, D. Matei, M. Mori, R.  Msadek, P. Ortega, Y. Peings, A. A. Scaife, J. A. Screen, M. Seabrook, T. Semmler  M. Sigmond, J. Streffing, L. Sun and A. Walsh (2022). Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-28283-y| Nature Communications, 13, 727, doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-28283-y]] //Open Access// (APPLICATE, RyC_Pablo) [CVC]
 +  - Solaraju-Murali, B., D. Bojovic, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, A. Nicodemou, M. Terrado, L.-P. Caron and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2022). How decadal predictions entered the climate services arena: an example from the agriculture sector. [[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405880722000218|Climate Services, 27, 100303, doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100303]]. //Open Access// (MED-GOLD, EUCP, FOCUS-Africa, C3C_34c, La Caixa-Bala) [CVC]
 +  - von Salzen, K., C.H. Whaley, S.C., Anenberg, R.V. Dingenen, Z. Klimont, M.G. Flanner, R. Mahmood, S.R. Arnold, S. Beagley, R.-Y. Chien, J.H. Christensen, S. Eckhardt, A.M.L. Ekman, N. Evangeliou, G. Faluvegi, J.S. Fu, M. Gauss, W. Gong, J.L. Hjorth, U. Im, S. Krishnan, K. Kupiainen, T. Kühn, J. Langner, K.S. Law, L. Marelle, D. Olivié, T. Onishi, N. Oshima, V.-V. Paunu, Y. Peng, D. Plummer, L. Pozzoli, S. Rao, J.-C. Raut, M. Sand, J. Schmale, M. Sigmond, M. A. Thomas, K. Tsigaridis, S. Tsyro, S.T. Turnock, M. Wang and B. Winter (2022). Clean air policies are key for successfully mitigating Arctic warming. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-022-00555-x|Communications Earth & Environment, 3, 222, doi:10.1038/s43247-022-00555-x]]. //Open Access//. [CVC]
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 +   - White, S., E. Moreno-Chamarro, D. Zanchettin, H. Huhtamaa, D. Degroot, M. Stoffel and C. Corona (2022). The 1600 CE Huaynaputina eruption as a possible trigger for persistent cooling in the North Atlantic region. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-739-2022 | Climate of the Past, 18, 739–757, doi:10.5194/cp-18-739-2022]]. //Open Access// (STREAM, PARAMOUR) [CVC] 
 +
 +====2021====
 +  - Bilbao, R., S. Wild, P. Ortega, J. Acosta-Navarro, T. Arsouze, P.-A. Bretonnière, L.-P. Caron, M. Castrillo, R. Cruz-García, I. Cvijanovic, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M. Donat, E. Dutra, P. Echevarría, A.-C. Ho, S. Loosveldt-Tomas, E. Moreno-Chamarro, N. Pérez-Zanon, A. Ramos, Y. Ruprich-Robert, V. Sicardi, E. Tourigny and J. Vegas-Regidor (2021). Assessment of a full-field initialised decadal climate prediction system with the CMIP6 version of EC-Earth. [[https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/173/2021//|Earth System Dynamics, 12, 173-196, doi:10.5194/esd-2020-66]]. //Open Access// (EUCP, APPLICATE, INTAROS, CLINSA, PARAMOUR, ESA/CMUG, INADEC, SPFireSD, STARS_Simon, Beautriu de Pinos, JdlC_Juan, FPU, RyC_Markus, RyC_Pablo)
 +  - Carmo-Costa, T., R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, A. Teles-Machado and E. Dutra (2021). Trends, variability and predictive skill of the ocean heat content in North Atlantic: An analysis with the EC-Earth3 model. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-021-05962-y|Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05962-y]]. //Open Access// (RyC_Pablo, EUCP)
 +  - {{publications:mdonat_contractor_etal2021_jclim_dailyprecipchanges.pdf | Contractor}}, S., M.G. Donat and L.V. Alexander (2021). Changes in observed daily precipitation over global land areas since 1950. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/1/jcliD190965.xml|Journal of Climate, 34, 3-19, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0965.1]]. (RyC_Markus)
 +  - Cruz-García, R., P. Ortega, V. Guemas, J. Acosta-Navarro, F. Massonnet and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2021). An anatomy of Arctic sea ice forecast biases in the seasonal prediction system with EC-Earth. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05560-4|Climate Dynamics, 56, 1799-1813, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05560-4]]. (APPLICATE)
 +  - Della Penna, A., J. Llort, S. Moreau, R. Patel, R. Kloser, P. Gaube, P.G. Strutton and P. Boyd (2021). The impact of a Southern Ocean cyclonic eddy on mesopelagic micronekton. [[https://www.essoar.org/doi/10.1002/essoar.10507935.1|Earth and Space Science Open Archive, doi:10.1002/essoar.10507935.1]]. (MESH-STARS J.Llort)
 +  - Deroubaix, A., I. Labuhn, M. Camredon, B. Gaubert, P.-A. Monerie, M. Popp, J. Ramarohetra, Y. Ruprich-Robert, L.G. Silvers and G. Siour (2021). Large uncertainties in trends of energy demand for heating and cooling under climate change. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-25504-8|Nature Communications, 12, 5197, doi:0.1038/s41467-021-25504-8]]. //Open Access//
 +  - Dunn, R., C. Lief, G. Peng, W. Wright, O. Baddour, M. Donat, B. Dubuisson, J.-F. Legeais, P. Siegmund, R. Silveira, X.L. Wang and M Ziese (2021). Stewardship maturity assessment tools for modernization of climate data management. [[https://datascience.codata.org/articles/10.5334/dsj-2021-007/ | Data Science Journal, 20, 7, doi:10.5334/dsj-2021-007]]. //Open Access// (RyC_Markus)
 +  - Exarchou, E., P. Ortega, B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, T. Losada, I. Polo and C. Prodhomme (2021). Impact of equatorial Atlantic variability on ENSO predictive skill. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-21857-2| Nature Communications, 12, 1612, doi:10.1038/s41467-021-21857-2]]. //Open Access// (PREFACE, TRIATLAS)
 +  - Hariadi, M. H., G. van der Schrier, G.-J. Steeneveld, A. Sopaheluwakan, A. K. Tank, M. J. Roberts, M.-P. Moine, A. Bellucci, R. Senan, E. Tourigny and D. Putrasahan (2021). Evaluation of onset, cessation and seasonal precipitation of the Southeast Asia rainy season in CMIP5 regional climate models and HighResMIP global climate models. [[https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.7404 | International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.7404]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA, SPFireSD)
 +  - Hegerl, G.C., A.P. Ballinger, B.B.B. Booth, L.F. Borchert, L. Brunner, M.G. Donat, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, G.R. Harris, J. Lowe, R. Mahmood, J. Mignot, J.M. Murphy, D. Swingedouw and A. Weisheimer (2021). Toward consistent observational constraints in climate predictions and projections. [[https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2021.678109/full|Frontiers in Climate, 3, doi:10.3389/fclim.2021.678109]]. //Open Access// (EUCP)
 +  -  Im, U., K. Tsigaridis, G. Faluvegi, P. L. Langen, J. P. French, R. Mahmood, T. Manu, K. von Salzen, D. C. Thomas, C. H. Whaley, Z. Klimont, H. Skov, and J. Brandt (2021). Present and future aerosol impacts on Arctic climate change in the GISS-E2.1 Earth system model. [[https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/21/10413/2021/acp-21-10413-2021.html| Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21, 10413–10438, doi:10.5194/acp-21-10413-2021]]. //Open Access//
 +  - Jones, C.D., J. E. Hickman, S.T. Rumbold,  J. Walton, R.D. Lamboll, R. B. Skeie, S. Fiedler, P.M. Forster, J. Rogelj, M. Abe, M. Botzet, K. Calvin, C. Cassou, J.N.S. Cole, P. Davini, M. Deushi, M. Dix, J.C. Fyfe, N. P. Gillett, T. Ilyina, M. Kawamiya, M. Kelley, S. Kharin, T. Koshiro, H. Li, C. Mackallah, W.A. Müller, P. Nabat, T. van Noije, P. Nolan, R. Ohgaito, D. Olivié, N. Oshima, J. Parodi, T.J. Reerink, L. Ren, A. Romanou, R. Séférian, Y. Tang, C. Timmreck, J. Tjiputra, E. Tourigny, K. Tsigaridis, H. Wang, M. Wu, K. Wyser, S. Yang, Y. Yang and T. Ziehn (2021). The climate response to emissions reductions due to COVID‐19: Initial results from CovidMIP. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL091883|Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2020GL091883, doi:202110.1029/2020GL091883]]. //Open Access// (4C) 
 +  - Katja, W., L. Bock, B. K. Gier, A. Lauer, M. Righi, M. Schlund, K. Adeniyi, B. Andela, E. Arnone, P. Berg, L.P. Caron, I. Cionni, S. Corti, N. Drost, A. Hunter, L. Lledó, C. Wilhelm Mohr, A. Paçal, N. Pérez-Zanón, V. Predoi, M. Sandstad, J. Sillmann, A. Sterl, J. Vegas-Regidor, J. von Hardenberg and V. Eyring (2021). Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for extreme events, regional and impact evaluation and analysis of Earth system models in CMIP. [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/3159/2021/gmd-14-3159-2021.html|Geoscientific Model Development, 14, 3159–3184, doi:10.5194/gmd-2020-244]].
 +  - {{publications: swild_grl_2021.pdf | Kreussler}}, P., L-P. Caron, S. Wild, S. Loosveldt-Tomas, F. Chauvin, M-P. Moine, M.J. Roberts, Y. Ruprich-Robert, J. Seddon, S. Valcke, B. Vannière and P.L. Vidale (2021). Tropical cyclone integrated kinetic energy in an ensemble of HighResMIP simulations. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL090963| Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2020GL090963, doi:10.1029/2020GL090963]]. (PRIMAVERA, STARS_Simon, JdlC_Simon)
 +  - Levine, X.J., I. Cvijanovic, P. Ortega, M.G. Donat and E. Tourigny (2021). Atmospheric feedback explains disparate climate response to regional Arctic sea-ice loss. [[https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00183-w | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4, 28, doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00183-w]]. //Open Access// (X. Levine STARS, I. Cvijanovic Beatriu de Pinos, RyC_Markus, RyC_Pablo, E. Tourigny SPFireSD, APPLICATE)
 +  - Mahmood, R., M.G. Donat, P. Ortega, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and Y. Ruprich-Robert (2021). Constraining decadal variability yields skillful projections of near-term climate change. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2021GL094915| Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2021GL094915, doi:10.1029/2021GL094915]]. //Open Access// (EUCP, RyC_Pablo, RyC_Markus)
 +  - Materia, S., C. Ardilouze, C. Prodhomme, M.G. Donat, M. Benassi, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Peano, L.-P. Caron, P. Ruggieri and S. Gualdi (2021). Summer temperature response to extreme soil water conditions in the Mediterranean transitional climate regime. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-021-05815-8|Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05815-8]]. //Open Access// (MEDSCOPE)
 +  - {{publications: fdoblas_nree_2021.pdf | Meehl}}, G.A., J.H. Richter, H. Teng, A. Capotondi, K. Cobb, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M.G. Donat, M.H. England, J.C. Fyfe, W. Han, H. Kim, B.P. Kirtman, Y. Kushnir, N.S. Lovenduski, M.E. Mann, W.J. Merryfield, V. Nieves, K. Pegion, N. Rosenbloom, S.C. Sanchez, A.A. Scaife, D. Smith, A.C. Subramanian, L. Sun, D. Thompson, C.C. Ummenhofer and S.-P. Xie (2021). Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-021-00155-x|Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 2, 340-357, doi:10.1038/s43017-021-00155-x]]. (EUCP, RyC_Markus)
 +  - Merryfield, W.J., J. Baehr, L. Batté, E.J. Becker, A.H. Butler, C.A. Coelho, G. Danabasoglu, P.A. Dirmeyer, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D.I. Domeisen, L. Ferranti, T. Ilynia, A. Kumar, W.A. Müller, M. Rixen, A.W. Robertson, D.M. Smith, Y. Takaya, M. Tuma, F. Vitart, C.J. White, M.S. Alvarez, C. Ardilouze, H. Attard, C. Baggett, M.A. Balmaseda, A.F. Beraki, P.S. Bhattacharjee, R. Bilbao, F.M. de Andrade, M.J. DeFlorio, L.B. Díaz, M.A. Ehsan, G. Fragkoulidis, S. Grainger, B.W. Green, M.C. Hell, J.M. Infanti, K. Isensee, T. Kataoka, B.P. Kirtman, N.P. Klingaman, J. Lee, K. Mayer, R. McKay, J.V. Mecking, D.E. Miller, N. Neddermann, C.H. Justin Ng, A. Ossó, K. Pankatz, S. Peatman, K. Pegion, J. Perlwitz, G.C. Recalde-Coronel, A. Reintges, C. Renkl, B. Solaraju-Murali, A. Spring, C. Stan, Y.Q. Sun, C.R. Tozer, N. Vigaud, S. Woolnough and S. Yeager (2021). Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction: Filling the Weather–Climate Gap. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/101/9/BAMS-D-19-0037.A.xml?tab_body=pdf|Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, 767-770, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0037.A]]. //Open Access//
 +  - Mezzina, B., J. García-Serrano, I. Bladé, F.M. Palmeiro, L. Batté, C. Ardilouze, M. Benassi and S. Gualdi (2021). Multi-model assessment of the late-winter extra-tropical response to El Niño and La Niña. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05415-y | Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05415-y]]. //Open Access// (MEDSCOPE).
 +  - Mezzina, B., F.M. Palmeiro, J. García-Serrano, I. Bladé, L. Batté and M. Benassi (2021). Multi-model assessment of the late-winter stratospheric response to El Niño and La Niña. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-021-05836-3 | Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05836-3]]. //Open Access// (MEDSCOPE).
 +  - Moreno-Chamarro, E., L.-P. Caron, P. Ortega, S. Loosveldt Tomas and M. Roberts (2021). Can we trust CMIP5/6 future projections of European winter precipitation? [[https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abf28a | Environmental Research Letters, 16, 054063, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abf28a]].  // Open Access// (PRIMAVERA)
 +  - {{publications:mdonat_annurev-marine-032720-095144.pdf | Oliver}}, E.C.J., J.A. Benthuysen, S. Darmaraki, M.G. Donat, A.J. Hobday, N.J. Holbrook, R.W. Schlegel and A. Sen Gupta (2021). Marine heatwaves. [[https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/10.1146/annurev-marine-032720-095144|Annual Review of Marine Science, 13, 313-342, doi:10.1146/annurev-marine-032720-095144]]. (RyC_Markus)
 +  - Ortega, P., J.I. Robson, M. Menary, R.T. Sutton, A. Blaker, A. Germe, J.J.-M. Hirschi, B. Sinha, L. Hermanson and S. Yeager (2021). Labrador Sea sub-surface density as a precursor of multi-decadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study. [[https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/419/2021/esd-12-419-2021.html| Earth System Dynamics, 12, 419-438, doi:10.5194/esd-2020-83]]. (RyC_Pablo)
 +  - Pérez-Zanón, N., L.-P. Caron, S. Terzago, B. Van Schaeybroeck, L. Lledó, N. Manubens, E. Roulin, M.C. Alvarez-Castro, L. Batté, C. Delgado-Torres, M. Domínguez, J. von Hardenberg, E. Sánchez-García, V. Torralba and D. Verfaillie (2021). The CSTools (v4.0) toolbox: from climate forecasts to climate forecast information. [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2021-368/|Geoscientific Model Development Discussion, doi:10.5194/gmd-2021-368]]. (MEDSCOPE, S2S4E, EUCP)
 +  - Pyrina, M., E. Moreno-Chamarro, S. Wagner and E. Zorita (2021). Surface and tropospheric response of North Atlantic summer climate from paleoclimate simulations of the past millennium. [[https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/5/568 | Atmosphere, 12, 568, doi:10.3390/atmos12050568]]. // Open Access //
 +  - {{Publications: yruprich_Journal_of_Climate_2020b.pdf | Qasmi}}, S., E. Sanchez-Gomez, Y. Ruprich-Robert, J. Boe and C. Cassou (2021). Modulation of the occurrence of heat waves over the Euro-Mediterranean region by the intensity of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/jcliD190982/jcliD190982.xml?rskey=jpJrGm&result=1|Journal of Climate, 34, 1099-1114, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0982.1]]. (INADEC)
 +  - {{publications: yruprich_Journal_of_Climate_2020.pdf | Ruggieri}}, P., A. Bellucci, D. Nicolì, P. Athanasiadis, S. Gualdi, C. Cassou, F. Castruccio, G. Danabasoglu, P. Davini, N. Dunstone, R. Eade, G. Gastineau, B. Harvey, L. Hermanson, S. Qasmi, Y. Ruprich-Robert, E. Sanchez-Gomez, D. Smith, S. Wild and M. Zampieri (2021). Atlantic multidecadal variability and North Atlantic jet: a multi-model view from the Decadal Climate Prediction Project. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/jcliD190981/jcliD190981.xml?rskey=UBh3Eu&result=1|Journal of Climate, 34, 347-360, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0981.1]]. // // (INADEC, EUCP, STARS_Simon)
 +  - Ruprich-Robert, Y., E. Moreno-Chamarro, X. Levine, A. Bellucci, C. Cassou, F. Castruccio, P. Davini, R. Eade, G. Gastineau, L. Hermanson, D. Hodson, K. Lohmann, J. Lopez-Parages, P.-A. Monerie, D. Nicolì, S. Qasmi, C. D. Roberts, E. Sanchez-Gomez, G. Danabasoglu, N. Dunstone, M. Martin-Rey, R. Msadek, J. Robson, D. Smith and E. Tourigny (2021). Impacts of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the Tropical Pacific: a multi-model study. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-021-00188-5 | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4, 33, doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00188-5]]. //Open Access// (INADEC, EUCP, PRIMAVERA, STARS_Xavier)
 +  - Sandu, I., F. Massonnet, G. van Achter, J. Acosta Navarro, G. Arduini, P. Bauer, E. Blockley, N. Bormann, M. Chevallier, J. Day, M. Dahoui, T. Fichefet, D. Flocco, T. Jung, E. Hawkins, S. Laroche, H. Lawrence, J. Kristianssen, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, E. Poan, L. Ponsoni and R. Randriamampianina (2021). The potential of numerical prediction systems to support the design of Arctic observing systems: Insights from the APPLICATE and YOPP projects. [[https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.4182| Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147, 3863–387, doi:10.1002/qj.4182]]. (APPLICATE, RyC_Pablo)
 +  - Seidenglanz, A., P. Athanasiadis, P. Ruggieri, I. Cvijanovic, C. Li and S. Gualdi (2021). Pacific circulation response to eastern Arctic sea ice reduction in seasonal forecast simulations. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-021-05830-9|Climate Dynamics, 57, 2687–2700, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05830-9]]. //Open Access//
 +  - Solaraju-Murali, B., N. González-Reviriego, L.-P. Caron, A. Ceglar, A. Toreti, M. Zampieri, P.-A. Bretonniere, M. Samso Cabre and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2021). Multi-annual prediction of drought and heat stress to support decision making in the wheat sector. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-021-00189-4 | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4, 34, doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00189-4]]. //Open Access// (C3S_34c, EUCP, MED-GOLD, FOCUS-Africa, CLINSA)
 +  - Tang, W., J. Llort, J. Weis, M.M.G. Perron, S. Basart, Z. Li, S. Sathyedranath, T. Jackson, T., E. Sanz Rodriguez, B.C. Proemse, A.R. Bowie, C. Schallenberg, P.G. Strutton, R. Matear and N. Cassar (2021). Widespread phytoplankton blooms triggered by 2019–2020 Australian wildfires. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03805-8 | Nature, 597, 370–375, doi:10.1038/s41586-021-03805-8]]. (MESH-STARS J.Llort)
 +  - Verfaillie, D., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M.G. Donat, N. Pérez-Zanón, B. Solaraju-Murali, V. Torralba and S. Wild (2021). How reliable are decadal climate predictions of near-surface air temperature?. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/2/JCLI-D-20-0138.1.xml|Journal of Climate, 34, 697-713, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0138.1.]] //Open Access// (EUCP, RyC_Markus, STARS_Simon)
 +  - Volpi, D., V.L. Meccia, V. Guemas, P. Ortega, R. Bilbao, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Amaral, P. Echevarria, R. Mahmood and S. Corti (2021). A novel initialization technique for decadal climate predictions. [[https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fclim.2021.681127|Frontiers in Climate, doi:10.3389/fclim.2021.681127]]. //Open Access// (RyC Pablo)
 +  - Weigel, K., L. Bock, B.K. Gier, A. Lauer, M. Righi, M. Schlund, K. Adeniyi, B. Andela, E. Arnone, P. Berg, L.-P. Caron, I. Cionni, S. Corti, N. Drost, A. Hunter, L. Lledó, C.W. Mohr, A. Paçal, N. Pérez-Zanón, V. Predoi, M. Sandstad, J. Sillmann, A. Sterl, J. Vegas-Regidor, J. von Hardenberg and V. Eyring (2021). Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for extreme events, regional and impact evaluation, and analysis of Earth system models in CMIP. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3159-2021 | Geoscientific Model Development, 14, 3159–3184, doi:10.5194/gmd-14-3159-2021]]. //Open Access// (C3S-MAGIC, C3S_34a_Lot_2)
 +
 +====2020====
 +  - {{publications:AcostaNavarro2020_GRL.pdf |Acosta Navarro}}, J.C., P. Ortega, L. Batté, D. Smith, P.A. Bretonnière, V. Guemas, F. Massonnet, V. Sicardi, V. Torralba, E. Tourigny and F.J. Doblas‐Reyes (2020). Link between autumnal Arctic sea ice and Northern Hemisphere winter forecast skill. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL086753|Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2019GL086753, doi:10.1029/2019GL086753]]. (APPLICATE, PRIMAVERA, INTAROS, ESA/CMUG, Juan Acosta-JdlC, SPFireSD)
 +  - Alexander, L.V., M. Bador, R. Roca, S. Contractor, M.G. Donat and P.L. Nguyen (2020). Intercomparison of annual precipitation indices and extremes over global land areas from in situ, space-based and reanalysis products. [[https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab79e2|Environmental Research Letters, 15, 055002, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab79e2]]. // Open Access// (RyC_Markus)
 +  - Bahamon, N., J. Aguzzi, M.A. Ahumada-Sempoal, R. Bernardello, C. Reuschel, J.B. Company, F. Peters, A. Gordoa, J. Navarro, Z. Velásquez and A. Cruzado (2020). Stepped coastal water warming revealed by multiparametric monitoring at NW Mediterranean fixed stations. [[https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/20/9/2658| Sensors, 20, 2658 doi:10.3390/s20092658]].
 +  - Batté, L., I. Välisuo, M. Chevallier, J.C. Acosta-Navarro, P. Ortega and D. Smith (2020). Summer predictions of Arctic sea ice edge in multi-model seasonal re-forecasts. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05273-8| Climate Dynamics, 54, 5013-5029, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05273-8]]. (APPLICATE, INTAROS)
 +  - Caron, L.-P., F. Massonnet, P.J. Klotzbach, T.J. Philp and J. Stroeve (2020). Making seasonal outlooks of Arctic sea ice and Atlantic hurricanes valuable - not just skillful. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0314.1|Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, E36-E42, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0314.1]]. // Open Access //
 +  - {{:publications:carreric_etal_cd_2019.pdf|Carréric}}, A., B. Dewitte, W. Cai, A. Capotondi, K. Takahashi, S.-W. Yeh, G. Wang and V. Guemas (2020). Change in strong Eastern Pacific El Niño events dynamics in the warming climate. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-019-05036-0|Climate Dynamics, 19, 2015–2061, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-05036-0]]
 +  - Contractor, S., M.G. Donat, L.V. Alexander, M. Ziese, A. Meyer-Christoffer, U. Schneider, E. Rustemeier, A. Becker, I. Durre and R.S. Vose (2020). Rainfall Estimates on a Gridded Network (REGEN) – a global land-based gridded dataset of daily precipitation from 1950 to 2016. [[https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/24/919/2020/|Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24, 919-943, doi:10.5194/hess-24-919-2020]]. //Open Access// (RyC_Markus)
 +  - Cvijanovic, I., J. Lukovic and J.D. Begg (2020). 100 years of Milankovic's cycles.    [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-020-0621-2 | Nature Geoscience, 13, 524–525, doi:10.1038/s41561-020-0621-2]]. (Ivana Cvijanovic's BP2017 grant).
 +  - Dionne, J., K. von Salzen, J. Cole, R. Mahmood, W.R. Leaitch, G. Lesins, I. Folkins and R.Y.-W. Chang (2020). Modelling the relationship between liquid water content and cloud droplet number concentration observed in low clouds in the summer Arctic and its radiative effects. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-29-2020|Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20, 29-43, doi:10.5194/acp-20-29-2020]]. //Open Access//
 +  - Dunn, R. J. H., L.V. Alexander, M.G. Donat, X. Zhang, M. Bador, N. Herold, T. Lippmann, R. Allan, E. Aguilar, A.A. Barry, M. Brunet, J. Caesar, G. Chagnaud, V. Cheng, T. Cinco, I. Durre, R. de Guzman, T.M. Htay, W.M.W. Ibadullah, M.K.I. Bin Ibrahim , M. Khoshkam, A. Kruger, H. Kubota, T.W. Leng, G. Lim, L. Li‐Sha, J. Marengo, S. Mbatha , S. McGree, M. Menne, M.M. Skansi, S. Ngwenya, F. Nkrumah, C. Oonariya, J.D. Pabon‐Caicedo, G. Panthou, C. Pham, F. Rahimzadeh, A. Ramos, E. Salgado, J. Salinger, Y. Sané, A. Sopaheluwakan, A. Srivastava, Y. Sun, B. Timbal, N. Trachow, B. Trewin, G. van der Schrier, J. Vazquez‐Aguirre, R. Vasquez, C. Villarroel, L. Vincent, T. Vischel, R. Vose, M.N. Bin Hj Yussof (2020). Development of an updated global land in‐situ‐based dataset of temperature and precipitation extremes: HadEX3. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD032263 | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD032263, doi:10.1029/2019JD032263]]. //Open Access// (RyC_Markus)
 +  - Eyring, V., L. Bock, A. Lauer, M. Righi, M. Schlund, A. Andela, E. Arnone, O. Bellprat, B. Brötz, L.-P. Caron, N. Carvalhais, I. Cionni, N. Cortesi, B. Crezee, E. Davin, P. Davini, K. Debeire, L. de Mora, C. Deser, D. Docquier, P. Earnshaw, C. Ehbrecht, B.K. Gier, N. González-Reviriego, P. Goodman, S. Hagemann, S. Hardiman, B. Hassler, A. Hunter, C. Kadow, S. Kindermann, S. Koirala, N. Koldunov, Q. Lejeune, V. Lembo, T. Lovato, V. Lucarini, F. Massonnet, B. Müller, A. Pandde, N. Pérez-Zanón, A. Phillips, V. Predoi, J. Russell, A. Sellar, F. Serva, T. Stacke, R. Swaminathan, V. Torralba, J. Vegas-Regidor, J. von Hardenberg, K. Weigel and K. Zimmermann (2020). ESMValTool v2.0 - Extended set of large-scale diagnostics for quasi-operational   and   comprehensive evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP. [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2019-291/|Geoscientific Model Development, 13, 3383-3438, doi:10.5194/gmd-2019-291]]. //Open Access// (MAGIC, PRIMAVERA, CMUG)
 +  - Fu, Q., R.H. White, M. Wang, B. Alexander, S. Solomon, A. Gettelman, D.S. Battisti and P. Lin (2020). The Brewer‐Dobson circulation during the Last Glacial Maximum. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL086271|Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2019GL086271, doi:10.1029/2019GL086271]]. //Open Access// (PROTECT)
 +  - Fučkar, N.S, F.E.L. Otto, F. Lehner, I. Pinto, E. Howard, S. Sparrow, S. Li and D. Wallom (2020). On high precipitation in Mozambique, Zimbabwe and Zambia in February 2018. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0162.1 | In Explaining Extreme Events of 2018 from a Climate Perspective, Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, 101, S47-S52, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0162.1]]. //Open Access//
 +  - {{publications:mdonat_garcia-villada_ClimateDynamics_2020.pdf |Garcia-Villada}}, L.P., M.G. Donat, O. Angélil and A.S. Taschetto (2020). Temperature and precipitation responses to El Niño-Southern Oscillation in a hierarchy of datasets with different levels of observational constraints. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05389-x|Climate Dynamics, 55, 2351-2376. doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05389-x]]. 
 +  - Gross, M.H., M.G. Donat, L.V. Alexander and S.C. Sherwood (2020). Amplified warming of seasonal cold extremes relative to the mean in the Northern Hemisphere extratropics. [[https://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/11/97/2020/|Earth System Dynamics, 11, 97-111, doi:10.5194/esd-11-97-2020]]. //Open Access// (RyC_Markus)
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 +  - {{publications:Hernandez2020_ESR.pdf |Hernández}}, A., C. Martin-Puertas, P. Moffa-Sánchez, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, S. Blockley, K.M. Cobb, L. Comas-Bru, S. Giralt, H. Goosse, J. Luterbacher, B. Martrat, R. Muscheler, A. Parnell, S. Pla-Rabes, J. Sjolte, A.A. Scaife, D. Swingedouw, E. Wise and G. Xu (2020). Modes of climate variability: Synthesis and review of proxy-based reconstructions through the Holocene. [[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0012825220303329|Earth-Science Reviews, 209, 103286, doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103286]].
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 +  - Roberts, M.J., J. Camp, J. Seddon, P.L. Vidale, K. Hodges, B. Vanniere, J. Mecking, R. Haarsma, A. Bellucci, E. Scoccimarro, L.P. Caron, F. Chauvin, L. Terray, S. Valcke, M. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C. Roberts, R. Senan, C. Zarzycki and P. Ullrich (2020). Impact of model resolution on tropical cyclone simulation using the HighResMIP–PRIMAVERA multimodel ensemble. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0639.1|Journal of Climate, 33, 2557-2583, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0639.1]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA)
 +  - Roberts, M.J., J. Camp, J. Seddon, P.L. Vidale, K. Hodges, B. Vannière, J. Mecking, R. Haarsma, A. Bellucci, E. Scoccimarro, L.-P. Caron, F. Chauvin, L. Terray, S. Valcke, M.-P. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C.D., Roberts, R. Senan, C. Zarzycki, P. Ullrich, Y. Yamada, R. Mizuta, C. Kodama, D. Fu, Q. Zhang, G. Danabasoglu, N. Rosenbloom, H. Wang and L. Wu (2020). Projected future changes in tropical cyclones using the CMIP6 HighResMIP multimodel ensemble. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020GL088662|Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL088662, doi:10.1029/2020GL088662]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA)
 +  - {{publications:roberts_etal_2020_james.pdf | Roberts}}, M.J., L.C. Jackson, C.D. Roberts, V. Meccia, D. Docquier, T. Koenigk, P. Ortega, E. Moreno-Chamarro, A. Bellucci, A. Coward, S. Drijfhout, E. Exarchou, O. Gutjahr, H. Hewitt, D. Iovino, K. Lohmann, D. Putrasahan, R. Schiemann, J. Seddon, L. Terray, X. Xu, Q. Zhang, P. Chang, S.G. Yeager, F.S. Castruccio, S Zhang and L. Wu (2020). Sensitivity of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to model resolution in CMIP6 HighResMIP simulations and implications for future changes. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019MS002014|Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12, e2019MS002014, doi:10.1029/2019MS002014]]. (PRIMAVERA) 
 +  - Rodríguez‐Ros, P., M. Galí, P. Cortés, C.M. Robinson, D. Antoine, C. Wohl, M. Yang and R. Simó (2020). Remote sensing retrieval of isoprene concentrations in the Southern Ocean. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL087888|Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL087888, doi:10.1029/2020GL087888]].
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 +  - Sen Gupta, A., M. Thomsen, J.A. Benthuysen, A.J. Hobday, E. Oliver, L.V. Alexander, M.T. Burrows, M.G. Donat, M. Feng, N.J. Holbrook, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, P.J. Moore, R.R. Rodrigues, H.A. Scannell, A.S. Taschetto, C.C. Ummenhofer, T. Wernberg and D.A. Smale (2020). Drivers and impacts of the most extreme marine heatwaves events. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-75445-3 | Scientific Reports, 10, 19359, doi:10.1038/s41598-020-75445-3]]. //Open Access// (RyC_Markus)
 +  - {{publications:smith_nature_2020.pdf |Smith}}, D.M., A.A. Scaife, R. Eade, P. Athanasiadis, A. Bellucci, I. Bethke, R. Bilbao, L.F. Borchert, L.-P. Caron, F. Counillon, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, N.J. Dunstone, V. Estella-Perez, S. Flavoni, L. Hermanson, N. Keenlyside, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, W.J. Merryfield, J. Mignot, T. Mochizuki, K. Modali, P.-A. Monerie, W.A. Müller, D. Nicolí, P. Ortega, K. Pankatz, H. Pohlmann, J. Robson, P. Ruggieri, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, D. Swingedouw, Y. Wang, S. Wild, S. Yeager, X. Yang and L. Zhang (2020). North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2525-0|Nature, 583, 796-800, doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0]]. (EUCP, CLINSA, PRACE,RyC_Pablo,STARS_Simon)
 +  - Tsujino, H., L.S. Urakawa, S.M. Griffies, G. Danabasoglu, A.J. Adcroft, A.E. Amaral, T. Arsouze, M. Bentsen, R. Bernardello, C.W. Böning, A. Bozec, E.P. Chassignet, S. Danilov, R. Dussin, E. Exarchou, P.G. Fogli, B. Fox-Kemper, C. Guo, M. Ilicak, D. Iovino, W.M. Kim, N. Koldunov, V. Lapin, Y. Li, P. Lin, K. Lindsay, H. Liu, M.C. Long, Y. Komuro, S.J. Marsland, S. Masina, A. Nummelin, J.K. Rieck, Y. Ruprich-Robert, M. Scheinert, V. Sicardi, D. Sidorenko, T. Suzuki, H. Tatebe, Q. Wang, S.G. Yeager and Z. Yu (2020). Evaluation of global ocean–sea-ice model simulations based on the experimental protocols of the Ocean Model Intercomparison Project phase 2 (OMIP-2). [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2019-363/ | Geoscientific Model Development, 13, 3643–3708, doi:10.5194/gmd-13-3643-2020]]. //Open Access// (DeCUSO, CCiCC, INADEC, TRIATLAS)
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 +  - {{publications:Caron_Wood_Dipole_2020.pdf | Wood}}, K.M., P.J. Klotzbach, J.M. Collins, L.-P. Caron, R.E. Truchelut and C.J. Schreck (2020). Factors affecting the 2019 North Atlantic hurricane season and the role of the Indian Ocean Dipole. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL087781|Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL087781, doi:10.1029/2020GL087781]].
 ====2019==== ====2019====
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   - Abbatt, J.P.D., W.R. Leaitch, A.A. Aliabadi, A.K. Bertram, J.-P. Blanchet, A. Boivin-Rioux, H. Bozem, J. Burkart, R.Y.W. Chang, J. Charette, J.P. Chaubey, R.J. Christensen, A. Cirisan, D.B. Collins, B. Croft, J. Dionne, G.J. Evans, C.G. Fletcher, M. Galí, R. Ghahremaninezhad, E. Girard, W. Gong, M. Gosselin, M. Gourdal, S.J. Hanna, H. Hayashida, A.B. Herber, S. Hesaraki, P. Hoor, L. Huang, R. Hussherr, V.E. Irish, S.A. Keita, J.K. Kodros, F. Köllner, F. Kolonjari, D. Kunke, L.A. Ladino, K. Law, M. Levasseur, Q. Libois, J. Liggio, M. Lizotte, K.M. Macdonald, R. Mahmood, R.V. Martin, R.H. Mason, L.A. Miller, A. Moravek, E. Mortenson, E.L. Mungall, J.G. Murphy, M. Namazi, A.-L. Norman, N.T. O'Neill, J.R. Pierce, L.M. Russell, J. Schneider, H. Schulz, S. Sharma, M. Si, R.M. Staebler, N.S. Steiner, J.L. Thomas, K. von Salzen, J.J.B. Wentzell, M.D. Willis, G.R. Wentworth, J.-W. Xu and J.D. Yakobi-Hancock (2019). Overview paper: New insights into aerosol and climate in the Arctic. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-2015-2019| Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19, 2015–2061, doi:10.5194/acp-19-2015-2019]]. //Open Access//   - Abbatt, J.P.D., W.R. Leaitch, A.A. Aliabadi, A.K. Bertram, J.-P. Blanchet, A. Boivin-Rioux, H. Bozem, J. Burkart, R.Y.W. Chang, J. Charette, J.P. Chaubey, R.J. Christensen, A. Cirisan, D.B. Collins, B. Croft, J. Dionne, G.J. Evans, C.G. Fletcher, M. Galí, R. Ghahremaninezhad, E. Girard, W. Gong, M. Gosselin, M. Gourdal, S.J. Hanna, H. Hayashida, A.B. Herber, S. Hesaraki, P. Hoor, L. Huang, R. Hussherr, V.E. Irish, S.A. Keita, J.K. Kodros, F. Köllner, F. Kolonjari, D. Kunke, L.A. Ladino, K. Law, M. Levasseur, Q. Libois, J. Liggio, M. Lizotte, K.M. Macdonald, R. Mahmood, R.V. Martin, R.H. Mason, L.A. Miller, A. Moravek, E. Mortenson, E.L. Mungall, J.G. Murphy, M. Namazi, A.-L. Norman, N.T. O'Neill, J.R. Pierce, L.M. Russell, J. Schneider, H. Schulz, S. Sharma, M. Si, R.M. Staebler, N.S. Steiner, J.L. Thomas, K. von Salzen, J.J.B. Wentzell, M.D. Willis, G.R. Wentworth, J.-W. Xu and J.D. Yakobi-Hancock (2019). Overview paper: New insights into aerosol and climate in the Arctic. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-2015-2019| Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19, 2015–2061, doi:10.5194/acp-19-2015-2019]]. //Open Access//
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   - {{publications:rwhite_GRL_2019.pdf|White}}, R.H., C. Hilgenbrink and A. Sheshadri (2019). The importance of Greenland in setting the Northern preferred position of the North Atlantic eddy‐driven jet. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL084780|Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 14126-14134, doi:10.1029/2019GL084780 ]]. (PROTECT)   - {{publications:rwhite_GRL_2019.pdf|White}}, R.H., C. Hilgenbrink and A. Sheshadri (2019). The importance of Greenland in setting the Northern preferred position of the North Atlantic eddy‐driven jet. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL084780|Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 14126-14134, doi:10.1029/2019GL084780 ]]. (PROTECT)
   - Wills, R.C.J., R.H. White and X.J. Levine (2019). Northern Hemisphere stationary waves in a changing climate. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs40641-019-00147-6| Current Climate Change Reports, 5, 372-389, doi:10.1007/s40641-019-00147-6]]. //Open Access// (PROTECT)   - Wills, R.C.J., R.H. White and X.J. Levine (2019). Northern Hemisphere stationary waves in a changing climate. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs40641-019-00147-6| Current Climate Change Reports, 5, 372-389, doi:10.1007/s40641-019-00147-6]]. //Open Access// (PROTECT)
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   - {{:publications:obellprat_grl1_2016.pdf|Bellprat}}, O. and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2016). Attribution of extreme weather and climate events overestimated by unreliable climate simulations. [[http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067189/abstract | Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 2158-2164, doi:10.1002/2015GL067189]]. (VERITAS-CCI, EUCLEIA)   - {{:publications:obellprat_grl1_2016.pdf|Bellprat}}, O. and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2016). Attribution of extreme weather and climate events overestimated by unreliable climate simulations. [[http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067189/abstract | Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 2158-2164, doi:10.1002/2015GL067189]]. (VERITAS-CCI, EUCLEIA)
   - Bellprat, O., Massonnet, F., García-Serrano, J., Fučkar, N.S., Guemas, V., and F. Doblas-Reyes (2016). The role of Arctic sea ice and sea surface temperatures on the cold 2015 February over North America. [[http://www.ametsoc.net/eee/2015/8_us_cold_na.pdf|In Explaining Extreme Events of 2015 from a Climate Perspective, Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, 97, S36-S41, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0159.1]]. //Open Access// (EUCLEIA, SPECS, PRIMAVERA, JdC)   - Bellprat, O., Massonnet, F., García-Serrano, J., Fučkar, N.S., Guemas, V., and F. Doblas-Reyes (2016). The role of Arctic sea ice and sea surface temperatures on the cold 2015 February over North America. [[http://www.ametsoc.net/eee/2015/8_us_cold_na.pdf|In Explaining Extreme Events of 2015 from a Climate Perspective, Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, 97, S36-S41, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0159.1]]. //Open Access// (EUCLEIA, SPECS, PRIMAVERA, JdC)
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   - Camp, J. and L.-P. {{:publications:Camp_Caron_2015.pdf|Caron}} (2016). Analysis of Atlantic tropical cyclone landfall forecasts in coupled GCMs on seasonal and decadal timescales. [[http://www.buchweb.de/buch_9783319475929.html|In Hurricanes and Climate Change, 3rd edition, Springer]]. (RESPONS, SPECS)   - Camp, J. and L.-P. {{:publications:Camp_Caron_2015.pdf|Caron}} (2016). Analysis of Atlantic tropical cyclone landfall forecasts in coupled GCMs on seasonal and decadal timescales. [[http://www.buchweb.de/buch_9783319475929.html|In Hurricanes and Climate Change, 3rd edition, Springer]]. (RESPONS, SPECS)
   - {{:publications:vguemas_clidyn1_2016.pdf|Carrassi}}, A., V. Guemas, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Volpi and M. Asif (2016). Sources of skill in near-term climate prediction. Part I: Generating initial conditions. [[http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-016-3036-4|Climate Dynamics, 47, 3693-3712, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3036-4]]. (INCLIDA, SPECS, PICA-ICE)   - {{:publications:vguemas_clidyn1_2016.pdf|Carrassi}}, A., V. Guemas, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Volpi and M. Asif (2016). Sources of skill in near-term climate prediction. Part I: Generating initial conditions. [[http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-016-3036-4|Climate Dynamics, 47, 3693-3712, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3036-4]]. (INCLIDA, SPECS, PICA-ICE)
working_groups/climate_prediction/publications.1643386967.txt.gz · Last modified: 2022/01/28 16:22 by portega