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working_groups:climate_prediction:publications [2022/01/28 16:54] portega [2019] |
working_groups:climate_prediction:publications [2025/11/03 22:47] (current) portega [2022] |
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| ===== Peer-reviewed papers ===== | ===== Peer-reviewed papers ===== | ||
| + | ====2025==== | ||
| + | - Aalto, T., A. Tsuruta, J. Mäkelä, J. Müller, M. Tenkanen, E. Burke, S. Chadburn, Y. Gao, V. Mannisenaho, | ||
| + | - Bilbao, R., T. J. Aubry, M. Toohey & P. Ortega (2025). The sensitivity of EC-Earth3 decadal predictions to the choice of volcanic forcing dataset: Insights for the next major eruption, [[https:// | ||
| + | | Geoscientific Model Development, | ||
| + | .]] //Open Access// (IMPETUS4CHANGE, | ||
| + | - Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, | ||
| + | - Carmo-Costa, | ||
| + | - Chen H., P. De Luca, A. Hochman and T.D. Komacek (2025). Effects of transient stellar emissions on planetary climates of tidally-locked exo-earths. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Choquehuanca, | ||
| + | - Cvijanovic, I., A. Simon, X. Levine, R. White, P. Ortega, M. Donat, D.D. Lucas, J.C.H. Chiang, A. Seidenglanz, | ||
| + | - Delgado-Torres, | ||
| + | - Dinasquet, J., D.S. Hamilton, I.M. Leyba, J. Llort, T. Marshall, R.R. de Oliveira, M.M.G Perron, L. Tinel, V. Garçon, C. Marandino, N. Steiner, D. Wallace and L. Li, (2025). Thriving Through Synergy: Fostering a SOLAS Science Community Built on Equity, International Connections, | ||
| + | - Gaymer C.F., D. Wagner, R. Alvarez-Varas, | ||
| + | - Gulizia, C., R. Saurral and I. Camilloni (2025). Potential effects of stratospheric aerosol injection on the mean and extreme climate of South America. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Kotz, M., M.G. Donat, T. Lancaster, M. Parker, P. Smith, A. Taylor, S.H. Vetter (2025). Climate extremes, food price spikes, and their wider societal risks. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Kotz, M., T. Amano, J.E.M. Watson (2025). Large reductions in tropical bird abundance attributable to heat extreme intensification. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Mahmood, R., M. G. Donat, R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, V. Lapin, E. Tourigny & F. J. Doblas-Reyes (2025). Multi-decadal initialized climate predictions using the EC-Earth3 global climate model, [[https:// | ||
| + | | Earth System Dynamics, 16, 1923–1934, | ||
| + | .]] //Open Access// (ASPECT) [CVC] | ||
| + | - Mahmood, R., M. G. Donat, F. J. Doblas-Reyes & E. Tourigny (2025). A Perfect-Model Perspective on the Signal-to-Noise Paradox in Initialized Decadal Predictions, | ||
| + | - Mahmood, R., S. Yang, M. G. Donat (2025). Constraining the NAO-temperature teleconnection in CMIP6 simulations enables skillful multi-annual predictions of Eurasian winter climate, [[https:// | ||
| + | - Martin-Martinez, | ||
| + | - Moreno-Chamarro, | ||
| + | - Palomas, S., M. C. Acosta, G. Utrera, E. Tourigny (2025). Reducing time and computing costs in EC-Earth: an automatic load-balancing approach for coupled Earth system models. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Reid, K. J., M.A. Barnes, Z.E. Gillett, T. Parker, D.G. Udy, H. Ayat, G. Boschat, A. Bowden, N. Grosfeld, A.D. King, D. Richardson, Y. Shao, L. Teckentrup, B. Trewin, P. Hope, L. Zhou, A.R. Borowiak, C.M. Holgate and R.N. Isphording (2025). A multiscale evaluation of the wet 2022 in Eastern Australia. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Roldán-Gómez, | ||
| + | - Roldán-Gómez, | ||
| + | - Roberts, M. J., K. A. Reed, Q. Bao, J. J. Barsugli, S. J. Camargo, L.-P. Caron, P. Chang, C.-T. Chen, H. M. Christensen, | ||
| + | - Saurral, R., F. Doblas-Reyes, | ||
| + | - Saurral, R., J. Screen, and F. Doblas-Reyes (2025) Model-dependent response of low clouds to Arctic sea-ice loss. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Solaraju-Murali, | ||
| + | - Trascasa-Castro, | ||
| + | - Verjans, V., C.L.E. Franzke, S.S. Lee, I.W. Kim, S. Tilmes, D.M. Lawrence, F. Vitt and F. Li (2025). Quantifying CO2 forcing effects on lightning, wildfires, and climate interactions. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Verjans, V., Robel, A. A., Ultee, L., Seroussi, H., Thompson, A. F., Ackermann, L., Choi, Y., and Krebs-Kanzow, | ||
| + | ====2024==== | ||
| + | - {{: | ||
| + | - {{: | ||
| + | - Bernardello, | ||
| + | - Bianco, E., E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, | ||
| + | - Bianco, E., D. Iovino, S. Masina, S. Materia, and P. Ruggieri (2024). The role of upper-ocean heat content in the regional variability of Arctic sea ice at sub-seasonal timescales. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Bilbao, R., P. Ortega, D. Swingedouw, L. Hermanson, P. Athanasiadis, | ||
| + | - Campana, P.E., B. Stridth, T. Hörndahl, S.-E. Svensson, S. Zainali, S. Ma Lu, T.E.K. Zidane, P. De Luca, S. Amaducci and M. Colauzzi (2024). Experimental results, integrated model validation, and economic aspects of agrivoltaic systems at northern latitudes. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Cos, P., R. Marcos-Matamoros, | ||
| + | - Crochemore, L., S. Materia, E. Delpiazzo, S. Bagli, A. Borrelli, F. Bosello, E. Contreras, F. Dalla Valle, S. Gualdi, J. Herrero, F. Larosa, R. Lopez, V. Luzzi, P. Mazzoli, A. Montani, I. Moreno, V. Pavan, I. Pechlivanidis, | ||
| + | - {{: | ||
| + | - De Luca, P., M. Braam, T.D. Komacek and A. Hochman (2024). The impact of Ozone on Earth-like exoplanet climate dynamics: the case of Proxima Centauri b. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Donat, M.G., R. Mahmood, P. Cos, P. Ortega and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2024). Improving the forecast quality of near-term climate projections by constraining internal variability based on decadal predictions and observations. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Dunn, R.J.H., N. Herold, L.V. Alexander, M.G. Donat, R. Allan, M. Bador et al. (2024). Observed global changes in sector-relevant climate extremes indices—An extension to HadEX3. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Gittings, J.A., G., Dall’Olmo, | ||
| + | - Hieronymus, J., M. Hieronymus, M. Gröger, J. Schwinger, R. Bernadello, E. Tourigny, V. Sicardi, I. Ruvalcaba Baroni, and K. Wyser (2024). Net primary production annual maxima in the North Atlantic projected to shift in the 21st century, [[https:// | ||
| + | - Jones, C.G., Adloff, F., Booth, B. B. B., Cox, P. M., Eyring, V., Friedlingstein, | ||
| + | - {{: | ||
| + | - De Luca, P., B. Jiménez-Esteve, | ||
| + | - Martín-Gómez, | ||
| + | - Materia S., L. Palma-García, | ||
| + | - {{: | ||
| + | - Meroni, M., P. Vojonovic, M. Zampieri, S. Materia, F. Rembold, O. Kipkogei and A. Toreti (2024). Increasing the prospective capacity of global crop and rangeland monitoring with phenology tailored seasonal precipitation forecasts. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Mohino, E., P.-A. Monerie, J. Mignot, M. Diakhaté, M. Donat, C.D. Roberts and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2024). Impact of Atlantic multidecadal variability on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of the West African monsoon. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Montoro-Mendoza, | ||
| + | - Petrova, I.Y., D. G. Miralles, F. Brient, M. G. Donat, S.-K. Min, Y.-H. Kim, M. Bador (2024), Observation-constrained projections reveal longer-than-expected dry spells. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Plésiat, É., R.J.H. Dunn, M. G. Donat and C. Kadow (2024). Artificial intelligence reveals past climate extremes by reconstructing historical records. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Renault, L., T. Arsouze, F. Desbiolles, et al. (2024). Rectification effects of regional air–sea interactions over western boundary current on large-scale sea surface temperature and extra-tropical storm tracks. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Sillmann, J., T. H. Raupach, K. Findell, M. Donat, L. M. Alves, L. Alexander, et al. (2024). Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making, | ||
| + | - Sospedra-Alfonso, | ||
| + | - Steenbeek, J., P. Ortega, R. Bernardello, | ||
| + | - Teckentrup, L., De Kauwe, M. G., Pitman, A. J., Warlind, David, Ukkola, A. M., and Smith, B. (2024). Resolving Uncertainty in the Response of Australia' | ||
| + | - Torralba, V., S. Materia, L. Cavicchia, M.C. Álvarez-Castro, | ||
| + | - Woolnough, S.J., F. Vitart, A.W. Robertson, C.A.S. Coelho, R. Lee, H. Lin, A. Kumar, C. Stan, M. Balmaseda, N. Caltabiano, M. Yamaguchi, H. Afargan-Gerstman, | ||
| + | - Zhang, S., Y. Pan, Y. Xue, I. Diallo, X. Zeng, S. Li, J.D. Neelin, W.K.M. Lau, A.A. Boone, F. Vitart, T. Yao, Q. Tang, T. Sato, M.S. Koo, C. Ardilouze, S.K.Saha, J. Yang, S. Materia, Z. Lin, X. Qi, Y. Qin, T. Nakamura, P. Nobre, D. Peano, R. Senan, Y. Takaya, H. Wang, H. Zhang, Y. Zhan, M. Zhao, C.R. Mechoso, Q. Bao, M.J. Bottino, S. Hong, Y. Lin, S. Xie, X. Pan, H.P. Nayak, S.C. Chou, W. Guo (2024). Near-global summer circulation response to the spring surface temperature anomaly in Tibetan Plateau –– the GEWEX/LS4P first phase experiment. Clim Dyn 62, 2907–2924. [[https:// | ||
| + | ====2023==== | ||
| + | - Hochman, A., T.D., Komacek and P. De Luca (2023). Analogous response of temperate terrestrial exoplanets and Earth’s climate dynamics to greenhouse gas supplement. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Acosta, M. C., S. Palomas and E. Tourigny (2023). Balancing EC-Earth3 improving the performance of EC-Earth CMIP6 configurations by minimizing the coupling cost. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Ayache, M., J.-C. Dutay, K. Tachikawa, T. Arsouze and C. Jeandel (2023). Neodymium budget in the Mediterranean Sea: evaluating the role of atmospheric dusts using a high-resolution dynamical-biogeochemical model. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Brewin, R.J.W., S. Sathyendranath, | ||
| + | - Cañete, J.I., M.S. Romero, E.E. Easton, A. Mecho and J. Sellanes (2023). Chloeia rozbaczyloi, | ||
| + | - Delgado-Torres, | ||
| + | - De Luca, P., C. Delgado-Torres, | ||
| + | - De Luca, P., & M. G. Donat (2023). | ||
| + | - Donat, M. G., C. Delgado-Torres, | ||
| + | - Findell, K. L., R. Sutton, N. Caltabiano, A. Brookshaw, P. Heimbach, M. Kimoto, S. Osprey, D. Smith, J. S. Risbey, Z. Wang, L. Cheng, L. Diaz, M. G. Donat, M. Ek, J. Lee, S. Minobe, M. Rusticucci, F. Vitart, L. Wang (2023). Explaining and Predicting Earth System Change: A World Climate Research Programme Call to Action, [[https:// | ||
| + | - González-Alemán, | ||
| + | - Huang, H., W.D. Collins, C.M. Patricola, Y. Ruprich-Robert, | ||
| + | - Hamilton, D.S., A.R. Baker, Y. Iwamoto, S. Gassó, E. Bergas-Masso, | ||
| + | - Lacour, L., J. Llort, N. Briggs, P.G. Strutton and P.W. Boyd (2023). Seasonality of downward carbon export in the Pacific Southern Ocean revealed by multi-year robotic observations. [[https:// | ||
| + | - {{ : | ||
| + | - Liu, Y., M.G. Donat, M.H. England, L.V. Alexander, A.L. Hirsch and C. Delgado-Torres (2023). Enhanced multi-year predictability after El Niño and La Niña events. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Martín-Gómez, | ||
| + | - Massonnet F, Barreira S, Barthélemy A, Bilbao R, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, Blockley E, Bromwich DH, Bushuk M, Dong X, Goessling HF, Hobbs W, Iovino D, Lee W-S, Li C, Meier WN, Merryfield WJ, Moreno-Chamarro E, Morioka Y, Li X, Niraula B, Petty A, Sanna A, Scilingo M, Shu Q, Sigmond M, Sun N, Tietsche S, Wu X, Yang Q and Yuan X (2023) SIPN South: six years of coordinated seasonal Antarctic sea ice predictions. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Mayot, N., C. Le Quéré, C. Rödenbeck, R. Bernardello, | ||
| + | - O' | ||
| + | - Polkova, I., D. Swingedouw, L. Hermanson, A. Köhl, D. Stammer, D. Smith, J. Kröger, I. Bethke, X. Yang, L. Zhang, D. Nicolì, P. J. Athanasiadis, | ||
| + | - {{publications: | ||
| + | - {{publications: | ||
| + | - Xue, Y., I. Diallo, A.A. Boone, Y. Zhang, X. Zeng, W.K.M. Lau, J.D. Neelin, T. Yao, Q. Tang, T. Sato, M.-S. Koo, F. Vitart, C. Ardilouze, S.K Saha, S. Materia, Z. Lin, Y. Takaya, J. Yang, T. Nakamura, X. Qi, Y. Qin, P. Nobre, R. Senan, H. Wang, H. Zhang, M. Zhao, H.P. Nayak, Y. Pan, X. Pan, J. Feng, C. Shi, S. Xie, M.A. Brunke, Q. Bao, M.J. Bottino, T. Fan, S. Hong, Y. Lin, D. Peano, Y. Zhan, C.R. Mechoso, X. Ren, G. Balsamo, S.C. Chou, P. de Rosnay, P.J. van Oevelen, D. Klocke, M. Ek, X. Li, W. Guo, Y. Zhu, J. Tang, X.-Z. Liang, Y. Qian and P. Zhao (2023). Remote effects of Tibetan Plateau spring land temperature on global subseasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction and comparison with effects of sea surface temperature: | ||
| + | - Zampieri, M., A. Toreti, M. Meroni, D. Bojovic, S. Octenjak, R. Marcos-Matamoros, | ||
| + | |||
| + | |||
| ====2022==== | ====2022==== | ||
| - | - Döscher, R., M. Acosta, A. Alessandri, P. Anthoni, A. Arneth,T. Arsouze, T. Bergmann, R. Bernadello, S. Bousetta, L.-P. Caron, G. Carver, M. Castrillo, F. Catalano, I. Cvijanovic, P. Davini, E. Dekker, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, | + | |
| - | - Langehaug, H.R., P. Ortega, F. Counillon, D. Matei, E. Maroon, N. Keenlyside, J. Mignot, Y. Wang, D. Swingedouw, I. Bethke, S. Yang, G. Danabasoglu, A. Bellucci, P. Ruggieri, D. Nicolì and M. Årthun | + | - Carmo-Costa, |
| - | - Kilbourne, H., A. Wanamaker, P. Moffa-Sanchez, | + | - {{ : |
| - | - Moreno-Chamarro, | + | - {{ : |
| - | - Moreno-Chamarro, | + | - Della Penna, A., J. Llort, S. Moreau, R. Patel, R. Kloser, P. Gaube, P. Strutton and P.W. Boyd (2022). The impact of a Southern Ocean cyclonic eddy on mesopelagic micronekton. [[https:// |
| - | - Pelletier, | + | |
| - | - Smith D., R. Eade, M. Andrews, H. Ayres, A. Clark, S. Chripko, C. Deser, N. Dunstone, J. Garcia-Serrano, | + | - {{ : |
| - | - Whaley, C. H., R. Mahmood, K. von Salzen et al. (2022). Model evaluation of short-lived climate forcers for the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme: a multi-species, | + | - Du, H., M.G. Donat, S. Zong, L.V. Alexander, |
| + | - Dunn R. J. H., M.G. Donat and L.V. Alexander (2022). Comparing extremes indices in recent observational and reanalysis products. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Dunstone, N., J. Lockwood, B. Solaraju-Murali, | ||
| + | - Falls, | ||
| + | - Feng, X., C. Qian, & S. Materia (2022). Amplification of the temperature seasonality in the Mediterranean region under anthropogenic climate change. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Galí, M., M. Falls, H. Claustre, O. Aumont, R. Bernardello (2022). Bridging the gaps between particulate backscattering measurements | ||
| + | - Hariadi, M. H., G. van der Schrier, G.-J. Steeneveld, D. Nur Ratri, A. Sopaheluwakan, | ||
| + | - Hermanson, L., D. Smith, M. Seabrook, R. Bilbao, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, | ||
| + | - Hochman, A., P. De Luca and T.K. Komacek (2022). Greater Climate Sensitivity and Variability on TRAPPIST-1e than Earth. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Hodson, D.L.R., P.-A. Bretonnière, | ||
| + | - {{ : | ||
| + | - Langehaug, H.R., P. Ortega, F. Counillon, D. Matei, E. Maroon, N. Keenlyside, J. Mignot, Y. Wang, D. Swingedouw, I. Bethke, S. Yang, G. Danabasoglu, | ||
| + | - Mahmood, R., M. G. Donat, P. Ortega, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, | ||
| + | - Materia, S., C. Ardilouze, C. Prodhomme, M.G. Donat, M. Benassi, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, | ||
| + | - Mezzina, B., J. García-Serrano, | ||
| + | - Mezzina, B., F.M. Palmeiro, J. García-Serrano, | ||
| + | - Michel, S., D. Swingedouw, J. Mignot, P. Ortega, G. Gastineau, G.McCarthy, M. Khodri (2022). Early warning signal for a tipping point suggested by a millennial Atlantic Multidecadal Variability reconstruction. [[https:// | ||
| + | - Moreno-Chamarro, | ||
| + | - {{ : | ||
| + | - Orihuela-García, | ||
| + | - Ortega, P., E.W. Blockley, M. Køltzow, F. Massonnet, I. Sandu, G. Svensson, J.C. Acosta Navarro, G. Arduini, L. Batté, E. Bazile, M. Chevallier, R. Cruz-García, | ||
| + | - Pelletier, C., T. Fichefet, H. Goosse, K. Haubner, S. Helsen, P.-V. Huot, C. Kittel, F. Klein, S. Le clec' | ||
| + | - Simon, A., G. Gastineau, C. Frankignoul, | ||
| + | - Simon A, S. M. Plecha, A. Russo, A. Teles-Machado, | ||
| + | - Smith, D., R. Eade, M. Andrews, H. Ayres, A. Clark, S. Chripko, C. Deser, N. Dunstone, J. Garcia-Serrano, | ||
| + | - Solaraju-Murali, B., D. Bojovic, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, | ||
| + | - von Salzen, K., C.H. Whaley, S.C., Anenberg, R.V. Dingenen, Z. Klimont, M.G. Flanner, R. Mahmood, S.R. Arnold, S. Beagley, R.-Y. Chien, J.H. Christensen, | ||
| + | - Whaley, C. H., R. Mahmood, K. von Salzen et al. (2022). Model evaluation of short-lived climate forcers for the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme: a multi-species, | ||
| + | - White, S., E. Moreno-Chamarro, | ||
| ====2021==== | ====2021==== | ||
| Line 53: | Line 178: | ||
| - Sandu, I., F. Massonnet, G. van Achter, J. Acosta Navarro, G. Arduini, P. Bauer, E. Blockley, N. Bormann, M. Chevallier, J. Day, M. Dahoui, T. Fichefet, D. Flocco, T. Jung, E. Hawkins, S. Laroche, H. Lawrence, J. Kristianssen, | - Sandu, I., F. Massonnet, G. van Achter, J. Acosta Navarro, G. Arduini, P. Bauer, E. Blockley, N. Bormann, M. Chevallier, J. Day, M. Dahoui, T. Fichefet, D. Flocco, T. Jung, E. Hawkins, S. Laroche, H. Lawrence, J. Kristianssen, | ||
| - Seidenglanz, | - Seidenglanz, | ||
| - | - Smith, D., R. Eade, M. Andrews, H. Ayres, A. Clark, S. Chripko, C. Deser, N. Dunstone, J. Garcia-Serrano, | ||
| - Solaraju-Murali, | - Solaraju-Murali, | ||
| - Tang, W., J. Llort, J. Weis, M.M.G. Perron, S. Basart, Z. Li, S. Sathyedranath, | - Tang, W., J. Llort, J. Weis, M.M.G. Perron, S. Basart, Z. Li, S. Sathyedranath, | ||
| Line 221: | Line 345: | ||
| - {{: | - {{: | ||
| - Bellprat, O., Massonnet, F., García-Serrano, | - Bellprat, O., Massonnet, F., García-Serrano, | ||
| - | |||
| - Camp, J. and L.-P. {{: | - Camp, J. and L.-P. {{: | ||
| - {{: | - {{: | ||