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--- working_groups:climate_prediction:publications [2025/11/03 22:18]
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   - Verjans, V., Robel, A. A., Ultee, L., Seroussi, H., Thompson, A. F., Ackermann, L., Choi, Y., and Krebs-Kanzow, U. (2025). The Greenland Ice Sheet Large Ensemble (GrISLENS): simulating the future of Greenland under climate variability, [[https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-3749-2025]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 ====2024====
+  - {{:publications:alonso.et.al.2024.pdf |Alonso}}, G., C. Simionato, M. Dinápoli, R. Saurral and N. Bodnariuk (2024). Positive storm surges in the Río de la Plata estuary: forcings, long-term variability, trends and linkage with Southwestern Atlantic Continental Shelf dynamics. [[ https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06402-w | Natural Hazards, doi:1007/s11069-024-06402-w]]. [CVC]
+  - {{:publications:Badagian.et.al.2024.pdf |Badagian}}, J., M. Barreiro and R. Saurral (2024). Evaluation of subseasonal precipitation forecasts in the Uruguay River Basin. [[https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8634 | International Journal of Climatology, doi:10.1002/joc.8634]] [CVC]
+  - Bernardello, R., V. Sicardi, V. Lapin, P. Ortega, Y. Ruprich-Robert, E. Tourigny and E. Ferrer (2024). Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO2 uptake. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024 | Earth System Dynamics, doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024]]. //Open Access// (4C, CDRESM) [CVC]
+  - Bianco, E., E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, S. Materia, P. Ruggieri, D. Iovino, and S. Masina (2024) CMIP6 models underestimate Arctic sea ice loss during the Early Twentieth-Century Warming, despite simulating large low-frequency sea ice variability. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0647.1 |  J. Climate, in press, doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0647.1]]. [CVC]
+  - Bianco, E., D. Iovino, S. Masina, S. Materia, and P. Ruggieri (2024). The role of upper-ocean heat content in the regional variability of Arctic sea ice at sub-seasonal timescales. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2357-2024 | The Cryosphere, 18, 2357–2379doi:10.5194/esd-15-501-2024]]. [CVC]
+  -  Bilbao, R., P. Ortega, D. Swingedouw, L. Hermanson, P. Athanasiadis, R. Eade, M. Devilliers, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, N. Dunstone, A.-C. Ho, W. Merryfield, J. Mignot, D. Nicolì, M. Samsó, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, X. Wu and S. Yeager (2024). Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: A multi-model analysis. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-501-2024 | Earth System Dynamics, 15, 501-525, doi:10.5194/esd-15-501-2024]]. //Open Access// [CVC,GES]
+  - Campana, P.E., B. Stridth, T. Hörndahl, S.-E. Svensson, S. Zainali, S. Ma Lu, T.E.K. Zidane, P. De Luca, S. Amaducci and M. Colauzzi (2024). Experimental results, integrated model validation, and economic aspects of agrivoltaic systems at northern latitudes. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.140235 | Journal of Cleaner Production, 437, 140235, doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.140235]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
+  - Cos, P., R. Marcos-Matamoros, M. Donat, R. Mahmood and F. J. Doblas-Reyes (2024). Near-term Mediterranean summer temperature climate projections: A comparison of constraining methods. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/37/17/JCLI-D-23-0494.1.xml|Journal of Climate, 37, 4367–4388, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0494.1]]. //Open Access// (ASPECT, PATHFINDER, AXA Award Donat) [ESS,GES]
+  - Crochemore, L., S. Materia, E. Delpiazzo, S. Bagli, A. Borrelli, F. Bosello, E. Contreras, F. Dalla Valle, S. Gualdi, J. Herrero, F. Larosa, R. Lopez, V. Luzzi, P. Mazzoli, A. Montani, I. Moreno, V. Pavan, I. Pechlivanidis, F. Tomei, G. Villani, C. Photiadou, M.J. Polo and Mysiak, J. (2024). A framework for joint verification and evaluation of seasonal climate services across socio-economic sectors.[[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/aop/BAMS-D-23-0026.1/BAMS-D-23-0026.1.xml | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0026.1]]. [CVC]
+  - {{:publications:dinápoli.et.al.2024.pdf |Dinápoli}}, M., C. Simionato, G. Alonso, N. Bodnariuk, and R. Saurral (2024). Negative storm surges in the Río de la Plata Estuary: mechanisms, variability, trends and linkage with the Continental Shelf dynamics.[[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0272771424002324 | Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, doi:10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108844]]. [CVC]
+  - De Luca, P., M. Braam, T.D. Komacek and A. Hochman (2024). The impact of Ozone on Earth-like exoplanet climate dynamics: the case of Proxima Centauri b. [[https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stae1199 | Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, stae1199, doi:10.1093/mnras/stae1199]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
+  - Donat, M.G., R. Mahmood, P. Cos, P. Ortega and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2024). Improving the forecast quality of near-term climate projections by constraining internal variability based on decadal predictions and observations. [[https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2752-5295/ad5463 | Environmental Research: Climate, 3, 035013, doi:10.1088/2752-5295/ad5463]]. //Open Access// (ASPECT, EXPECT, PRECEDE, PATHFINDER, SGR2021_CVC) [CVC]
+  - Dunn, R.J.H., N. Herold, L.V. Alexander, M.G. Donat, R. Allan, M. Bador et al. (2024). Observed global changes in sector-relevant climate extremes indices—An extension to HadEX3. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EA003279 | Earth and Space Science, 11, e2023EA003279, doi:10.1029/2023EA003279]]. //Open Access// (LANDMARC) [CVC]
+  - Gittings, J.A., G., Dall’Olmo, W., Tang, J., Llort, F., Jebri, E., Livanou, F., Nencioli, S., Darmaraki, I., Theodorou, R.J.W., Brewin, M., Srokosz, N., Cassar, R.E., Raitsos (2024). An exceptional phytoplankton bloom in the southeast Madagascar Sea driven by African dust deposition. PNAS Nexus 3, pgae386. [[https://doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae386|PNAS Nexus 3, pgae386, doi:10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae386]] //Open Access// (PYROPLANKTON) [CVC]
+  - Hieronymus, J., M. Hieronymus, M. Gröger, J. Schwinger, R. Bernadello, E. Tourigny, V. Sicardi, I. Ruvalcaba Baroni, and K. Wyser (2024). Net primary production annual maxima in the North Atlantic projected to shift in the 21st century, [[https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-2189-2024 | Biogeosciences, 21, 2189–2206, doi:10.5194/bg-21-2189-2024]]. //Open Access// (NetNPPAO) [CVC]
+  - Jones, C.G., Adloff, F., Booth, B. B. B., Cox, P. M., Eyring, V., Friedlingstein, P., Frieler, K., Hewitt, H. T., Jeffery, H. A., Joussaume, S., Koenigk, T., Lawrence, B. N., O'Rourke, E., Roberts, M. J., Sanderson, B. M., Séférian, R., Somot, S., Vidale, P. L., van Vuuren, D., Acosta, M., Bentsen, M., Bernardello, R., Betts, R., Blockley, E., Boé, J., Bracegirdle, T., Braconnot, P., Brovkin, V., Buontempo, C., Doblas-Reyes, F.J., Donat, M., Epicoco, I., Falloon, P., Fiore, S., Frölicher, T., Fučkar, N. S., Gidden, M. J., Goessling, H. F., Graversen, R. G., Gualdi, S., Gutiérrez, J. M., Ilyina, T., Jacob, D., Jones, C. D., Juckes, M., Kendon, E., Kjellström, E., Knutti, R., Lowe, J., Mizielinski, M., Nassisi, P., Obersteiner, M., Regnier, P., Roehrig, R., Salas y Mélia, D., Schleussner, C.-F., Schulz, M., Scoccimarro, E., Terray, L., Thiemann, H., Wood, R. A., Yang, S., and Zaehle, S. (2024). Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy. [[https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/1319/2024/|Earth System Dynamics, 15, 1319–1351, doi:10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024]].  //Open Access// [CVC, CES]
+  - {{:library:kim_et_al_2024.pdf |Kim}}, W., Y. Ruprich-Robert, A. Zhao, S. Yeager and J. Robson (2024). North Atlantic response to observed North Atlantic Oscillation surface heat flux in three climate models. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/37/5/JCLI-D-23-0301.1.xml | Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0301.1]]. [CVC]
+  - De Luca, P., B. Jiménez-Esteve, L. Degenhardt, S. Schemm and S. Pfahl (2024). Enhanced blocking frequencies in very-high resolution idealized climate model simulations [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111016 | Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL111016, doi:10.1029/2024GL111016]]. //Open Access// (HEU DeCaGloPreCEs) [CVC]
+  - Martín-Gómez, V., B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, I. Polo and M. Martín-Rey (2024). Observed global mean state changes modulating the collective influence of the tropical Atlantic and Indian Oceans on ENSO. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0450.1|Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0450.1]].(ReSPoNSe) [CVC]
+  - Materia S., L. Palma-García, C. Straaten, S. O, A. Mamalakis, L. Cavicchia, D. Coumou, P. de Luca, M. Kretschmer, M. Donat (2024). Artificial intelligence for climate prediction of extremes: State of the art, challenges, and future perspectives.  [[https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.914 | WIREs Climate Change, e914, doi.org/10.1002/wcc.914]]. //Open Access// (EXPECT) [CVC]
+  - {{:publications:Meis.et.al.2024.pdf |Meis}}, M., M. Sued, R. Saurral and P. Menéndez (2024). A novel statistically-based approach to regionalize extreme precipitation events using temperature data. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-024-06805-9 | Natural Hazards, doi:10.1007/s11069-024-06805-9.]] [CVC]
+  - Meroni, M., P. Vojonovic, M. Zampieri, S. Materia, F. Rembold, O. Kipkogei and A. Toreti (2024). Increasing the prospective capacity of global crop and rangeland monitoring with phenology tailored seasonal precipitation forecasts. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100434 | Climate Services, 33, 100434, doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100434]]. //Open Access// (FocusAFRICA) [CVC]
+  - Mohino, E., P.-A. Monerie, J. Mignot, M. Diakhaté, M. Donat, C.D. Roberts and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2024). Impact of Atlantic multidecadal variability on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of the West African monsoon. [[https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/15/2024/|Earth System Dynamics, 15, 15–40, doi:10.5194/esd-15-15-2024]]. //Open Access// [CVC,GES]
+  - Montoro-Mendoza, A., C. Calvo-Sancho, J.J. González-Alemán, J. Díaz-Fernández, P. Bolgiani, M. Sastre, E. Moreno-Chamarro and M.L. Martín (2024). Environments conductive to tropical transitions in the North Atlantic: Anthropogenic climate change influence study. [[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169809524003910/|Atmospheric Research, p.107609, doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107609]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
+  - Petrova, I.Y., D. G. Miralles, F. Brient, M. G. Donat, S.-K. Min, Y.-H. Kim, M. Bador (2024), Observation-constrained projections reveal longer-than-expected dry spells. [[https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07887-y|Nature 633, 594–600. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07887-y]] //Open Access// (LANDMARC, EXPECT) [CVC]
+  - Plésiat, É., R.J.H. Dunn, M. G. Donat and C. Kadow (2024). Artificial intelligence reveals past climate extremes by reconstructing historical records. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-53464-2|Nature Communications 15, 9191. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-53464-2]]. //Open Access// (EXPECT) [CVC]
+  - Renault, L., T. Arsouze, F. Desbiolles, et al. (2024). Rectification effects of regional air–sea interactions over western boundary current on large-scale sea surface temperature and extra-tropical storm tracks. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-82667-2 | Scientific Reports, 14, 31771, doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-82667-2.]] //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA) [CVC]
+  - Sillmann, J., T. H. Raupach, K. Findell, M. Donat, L. M. Alves, L. Alexander, et al. (2024). Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making, [[https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/climate/articles/10.3389/fclim.2024.1499765/full|Frontiers in Climate 6, https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2024.1499765]]. //Open Access// (EXPECT) [CVC]
+  - Sospedra-Alfonso, R., William J. Merryfield; Matthew Toohey; Claudia Timmreck; Jean Paul Vernier; Ingo Bethke; Yiguo Wang; Roberto Bilbao; Markus G. Donat; Pablo Ortega; Jason Cole; Woo-Sung Lee; Thomas L. Delworth; David Paynter; Fanrong Zeng; Liping Zhang; Myriam Khodri; Juliette Mignot; Didier Swingedouw; Olivier Torres; Shuai Hu; Wenmin Man; Meng Zuo; Leon Hermanson; Doug Smith; Takahito Kataoka; Hiroaki Tatebe: Decadal prediction centers prepare for a major volcanic eruption. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/aop/BAMS-D-23-0111.1/BAMS-D-23-0111.1.xml | BAMS, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0111.1]] //Open Access// (CONFESS) [CVC]
+  - Steenbeek, J., P. Ortega, R. Bernardello, V. Christensen, M. Coll, E. Exarchou, A. Fuster-Alonso, R. Heneghan, L. Juliá Melis, M. G. Pennino, D. Rivas and N. Keenlyside (2024). Making Ecosystem Modeling Operational–A Novel Distributed Execution Framework to Systematically Explore Ecological Responses to Divergent Climate Trajectories. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004295 | Eart's Future, 12, e2023EF004295. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004295]] //Open Access// (TRIATLAS) [CVC]
+  - Teckentrup, L., De Kauwe, M. G., Pitman, A. J., Warlind, David, Ukkola, A. M., and Smith, B. (2024). Resolving Uncertainty in the Response of Australia's Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Projected Climate Change. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111398 | Geophysical Research Letters, doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111398]]. //Open Access// [CVC, ESS]
+  - Torralba, V., S. Materia, L. Cavicchia, M.C. Álvarez-Castro, C. Prodhomme, R. McAdam, E. Scoccimarro, and S. Gualdi (2024). Nighttime heat waves in the Euro-Mediterranean region: definition, characterisation, and seasonal prediction. Environmental Research Letters, 19(3), 034001. [[https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad24cf]] //Open Access// (ARTIST S. Materia) [ESS, CVC]
+  - Woolnough, S.J., F. Vitart, A.W. Robertson, C.A.S. Coelho, R. Lee, H. Lin, A. Kumar, C. Stan, M. Balmaseda, N. Caltabiano, M. Yamaguchi, H. Afargan-Gerstman, V.L. Boult, F.M. De Andrade, D. Büeler, A. Carreric, D.A. Campos Diaz, J. Day, J. Dorrington, M. Feldmann, J.C. Furtado, C.M. Grams, R. Koster, L. Hirons, V.S. Indasi, P. Jadhav, Y. Liu, P. Nying’uro, C.D. Roberts, E. Rouges and J. Ryu (2024). Celebrating 10 years of the Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project and looking to the future. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0323.1 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0323.1]]. //Open Access// (STARS cofund A. Carreric) [CVC, ESS]
+  - Zhang, S., Y. Pan, Y. Xue, I. Diallo, X. Zeng, S. Li, J.D. Neelin, W.K.M. Lau, A.A. Boone, F. Vitart, T. Yao, Q. Tang, T. Sato, M.S. Koo, C. Ardilouze, S.K.Saha, J. Yang, S. Materia, Z. Lin, X. Qi, Y. Qin, T. Nakamura, P. Nobre, D. Peano, R. Senan, Y. Takaya, H. Wang, H. Zhang, Y. Zhan, M. Zhao, C.R. Mechoso, Q. Bao, M.J. Bottino, S. Hong, Y. Lin, S. Xie, X. Pan, H.P. Nayak, S.C. Chou, W. Guo (2024). Near-global summer circulation response to the spring surface temperature anomaly in Tibetan Plateau –– the GEWEX/LS4P first phase experiment. Clim Dyn 62, 2907–2924. [[https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07210-5]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 ====2023====
+  - Hochman, A., T.D., Komacek and P. De Luca (2023). Analogous response of temperate terrestrial exoplanets and Earth’s climate dynamics to greenhouse gas supplement. [[https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-38026-8 | Scientific Reports, 13, 11123, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-38026-8]] //Open Access// (MSCA_Paolo) [CVC]
+  - Acosta, M. C., S. Palomas and E. Tourigny (2023). Balancing EC-Earth3 improving the performance of EC-Earth CMIP6 configurations by minimizing the coupling cost. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EA002912 | Earth and Space Science, 10, e2023EA002912, doi:10.1029/2023EA002912]]. //Open Access// (OEMES) [CES, CVC]
+  - Ayache, M., J.-C. Dutay, K. Tachikawa, T. Arsouze and C. Jeandel (2023). Neodymium budget in the Mediterranean Sea: evaluating the role of atmospheric dusts using a high-resolution dynamical-biogeochemical model. [[https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/20/205/2023/ | Biogeosciences, 20, 205–227, doi:10.5194/bg-20-205-2023]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
+  - Brewin, R.J.W., S. Sathyendranath, G. Kulk, M.-H. Rio, J.A. Concha, T.G. Bell, A. Bracher, C. Fichot, T.L. Frölicher, M. Galí, D.A. Hansell, T.S. Kostadinov, C. Mitchell, A.R. Neeley, E. Organelli, K. Richardson, C. Rousseaux, F. Shen, D. Stramski, M. Tzortziou, A.J. Watson, C.I. Addey, M. Bellacicco, H. Bouman, D. Carroll, I. Cetinić, G. Dall’Olmo, R. Frouin, J. Hauck, M. Hieronymi, C. Hu, V. Ibello, B. Jönsson, C.E. Kong, Z. Kovač, M. Laine, J. Lauderdale, S. Lavender, E. Livanou, J. Llort, L. Lorinczi, M. Nowicki, N.A. Pradisty, S. Psarra, D.E. Raitsos, A.B. Ruescas, J.L. Russell, J. Salisbury, R. Sanders, J.D. Shutler, X. Sun, F.G. Taboada, G. Tilstone, X. Wei and D.K. Woolf (2023). Ocean carbon from space: Current status and priorities for the next decade. [[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012825223000752 | Earth-Science Reviews, 240, 104386, doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2023.104386]]. (PYROPLANKTON) //Open Access// [CVC]
+  - Cañete, J.I., M.S. Romero, E.E. Easton, A. Mecho and J. Sellanes (2023). Chloeia rozbaczyloi, a new species of polychaete (Archinominae: Amphinomidae) and first record of the family for the Nazca Ridge, southeastern Pacific Ocean. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2023.104110|Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 104110, doi:10.1016/j.dsr.2023.104110]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
+  - Delgado-Torres, C., M. G. Donat, A. Soret, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, P.-A. Bretonnière, A.-C. Ho, N. Pérez-Zanón, M. Samsó Cabré, and F. J. Doblas-Reyes (2023). Multi-annual predictions of the frequency and intensity of daily temperature and precipitation extremes. [[https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acbbe1 | Environmental Research Letters, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/acbbe1]]. //Open Access// (ASPECT) [CVC-ESS]
+  - De Luca, P., C. Delgado-Torres, R. Mahmood, M. Samsó and M. G. Donat (2023). Constraining decadal variability regionally improves near-term projections of hot, cold and dry extremes. [[https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/acf389 | Environmental Research Letters, 18, 094054, https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acf389]] //Open Access// (LANDMARC, ASPECT, MSCA_Paolo) [CVC]
+  - De Luca, P., &  M. G. Donat (2023).  Projected changes in hot, dry, and compound hot-dry extremes over global land regions. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102493 | Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2022GL102493. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102493]]. //Open Access// (LANDMARC, MSCA_Paolo) [CVC]
+  - Donat, M. G., C. Delgado-Torres, P. De Luca, R. Mahmood, P. Ortega and F. J. Doblas-Reyes (2023). How credibly do CMIP6 simulations capture historical mean and extreme precipitation changes? [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102466 | Geophysical Research Letters,  50, e2022GL102466. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102466]]. //Open Access// (LANDMARC, ASPECT, SGR2021_CVC, AXA_Award_Donat, MSCA_Paolo) [CVC]
+  - Findell, K. L., R. Sutton, N. Caltabiano, A. Brookshaw, P. Heimbach, M. Kimoto, S. Osprey, D. Smith, J. S. Risbey, Z. Wang, L. Cheng, L. Diaz, M. G. Donat, M. Ek, J. Lee, S. Minobe, M. Rusticucci, F. Vitart, L. Wang (2023). Explaining and Predicting Earth System Change: A World Climate Research Programme Call to Action, [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/104/1/BAMS-D-21-0280.1.xml|Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 104(1), E325-E339]], https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0280.1. //Open Access// [CVC]
+  - González-Alemán, J. J., D. Insua-Costa, E. Bazile, S. González-Herrero, M. Marcello Miglietta, P. Groenemeijer, M. G. Donat (2023). Anthropogenic Warming Had a Crucial Role in Triggering the Historic and Destructive Mediterranean Derecho in Summer 2022. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0119.1 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104(8), E1526-E1532. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0119.1 ]] //Open Access// [CVC]
+  - Huang, H., W.D. Collins, C.M. Patricola, Y. Ruprich-Robert, P.A. Ullrich and A.J. Baker (2023). Contrasting responses of Atlantic and Pacific tropical cyclone activity to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2023GL102959 | Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL102959, doi:10.1029/2023GL102959]]. //Open Access// (laCaixa, ReSPonSe) [CVC]
+  - Hamilton, D.S., A.R. Baker, Y. Iwamoto, S. Gassó, E. Bergas-Masso, S. Deutch, J. Dinasquet, Y. Kondo, J. Llort, S. Myriokefalitakis, M.M.G. Perron, A. Wegmann, J. Yoon, (2023). An aerosol odyssey: Navigating nutrient flux changes to marine ecosystems. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 37, 11, doi:[[https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.2023.00037|10.1525/elementa.2023.00037]]//Open Access//(PYROPLANKTON-ESA)[AC,CVC]
+  - Lacour, L., J. Llort, N. Briggs, P.G. Strutton and P.W. Boyd (2023). Seasonality of downward carbon export in the Pacific Southern Ocean revealed by multi-year robotic observations. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-36954-7 | Nature Communications, 14, 1278, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-36954-7]]. //Open Access// (MSCA-STARS MESH) [ES-CVC]
+  - {{ :publications:laepple2023_globallocal.pdf |Laepple, T.}}, E. Ziegler, N. Weitzel, R. Hébert, B. Ellerhoff, P. Schoch, B. Martrat, O. Bothe, E. Moreno-Chamarro, M. Chevalier, A. Herbert and K. Rehfeld (2023). Regional but not global temperature variability underestimated by climate models at supradecadal timescales. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-023-01299-9|Nature Geosciences, 16, 958–966, doi:10.1038/s41561-023-01299-9]]. [CVC]
+  - Liu, Y., M.G. Donat, M.H. England, L.V. Alexander, A.L. Hirsch and C. Delgado-Torres (2023). Enhanced multi-year predictability after El Niño and La Niña events. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-42113-9 | Nature Communications, 14, 6387, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-42113-9]]. //Open Access// (ASPECT, AXA Chair) [CVC, ESS]
+  - Martín-Gómez, V., Y. Ruprich-Robert, R. Bernardello, E. Tourigny, M. Donat, P. Ortega and M. Samso Cabré (2023). Large spread in interannual variance of atmospheric CO2 concentration across CMIP6 Earth System Models. [[https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00532-x | npj-Climate and atmospheric sciences, 6, doi:10.1038/s41612-023-00532-x]]. //Open Access// (ReSPonSe, 4C, LANDMARC) [CVC]
+  - Massonnet F, Barreira S, Barthélemy A, Bilbao R, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, Blockley E, Bromwich DH, Bushuk M, Dong X, Goessling HF, Hobbs W, Iovino D, Lee W-S, Li C, Meier WN, Merryfield WJ, Moreno-Chamarro E, Morioka Y, Li X, Niraula B, Petty A, Sanna A, Scilingo M, Shu Q, Sigmond M, Sun N, Tietsche S, Wu X, Yang Q and Yuan X (2023) SIPN South: six years of coordinated seasonal Antarctic sea ice predictions. [[https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1148899, Front. Mar. Sci. 10:1148899. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1148899]] //Open Access// [CVC]
+  - Mayot, N., C. Le Quéré, C. Rödenbeck, R. Bernardello, L. Bopp, L. M. Djeutchouang, M. Gehlen, L. Gregor, N. Gruber, J. Hauck, Y. Iida, T. Ilyina, R. F. Keeling, P. Landschützer, A. C. Manning, L. Patara, L. Resplandy, J. Schwinger, R. Séférian, A. J. Watson, R. M. Wright and J. Zeng (2023). Climate-driven variability of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink. [[https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0055 |Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, doi:10.1098/rsta.2022.0055]]. //Open Access// (4C) [CVC]
+  - O'Reilly, C.H., M. Patterson, J. Robson, P.-A. Monerie, D. Hodson and Y. Ruprich-Robert (2023). Challenges with interpreting the impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability using SST-restoring experiments. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-023-00335-0 | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00335-0]]. //Open Access// (ReSPonSe, laCaixa) [CVC]
+  - Polkova, I., D. Swingedouw, L. Hermanson, A. Köhl, D. Stammer, D. Smith, J. Kröger, I. Bethke, X. Yang, L. Zhang, D. Nicolì, P. J. Athanasiadis, P. Karami, K. Pankatz, H. Pohlmann, B. Wu, R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, S. Yang, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, W. Merryfield, T. Kataoka, H. Tatebe, Y. Imada, M. Ishii, R. J. Matear (2023). Initialization shock in the ocean circulation reduces skill in decadal predictions of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre. [[ https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2023.1273770 | Frontiers in Climate, 5:1273770]] //Open Access// [CVC]
+  - {{publications:rsaurral_ijoc_2023.pdf|Saurral, R.}} and F. Piscitelli (2023). Dynamic and thermodynamic drivers of rainfall trends at the City of Buenos Aires, Argentina. [[https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/joc.8233|International Journal of Climatology, doi:10.1002/joc.8233]] [CVC]
+  - {{publications:rsaurral_TAAC_2023.pdf|Saurral, R.}} and G. Raggio (2023). Changes in stratospheric ozone concentrations shape air temperature distributions on the Antarctic Peninsula. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-023-04598-8|Theoretical and Applied Climatology, doi:10.1007/s00704-023-04598.8]] [CVC]
+  - Xue, Y., I. Diallo, A.A. Boone, Y. Zhang, X. Zeng, W.K.M. Lau, J.D. Neelin, T. Yao, Q. Tang, T. Sato, M.-S. Koo, F. Vitart, C. Ardilouze, S.K Saha, S. Materia, Z. Lin, Y. Takaya, J. Yang, T. Nakamura, X. Qi, Y. Qin, P. Nobre, R. Senan, H. Wang, H. Zhang, M. Zhao, H.P. Nayak, Y. Pan, X. Pan, J. Feng, C. Shi, S. Xie, M.A. Brunke, Q. Bao, M.J. Bottino, T. Fan, S. Hong, Y. Lin, D. Peano, Y. Zhan, C.R. Mechoso, X. Ren, G. Balsamo, S.C. Chou, P. de Rosnay, P.J. van Oevelen, D. Klocke, M. Ek, X. Li, W. Guo, Y. Zhu, J. Tang, X.-Z. Liang, Y. Qian and P. Zhao (2023). Remote effects of Tibetan Plateau spring land temperature on global subseasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction and comparison with effects of sea surface temperature: the GEWEX/LS4P Phase I experiment. [[https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06905-5 | Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-023-06905-5]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
+  - Zampieri, M., A. Toreti, M. Meroni, D. Bojovic, S. Octenjak, R. Marcos-Matamoros, S. Materia, L. Chang'a, M. Merchades, M. Chaves Montego, F. Rembold, A. Troccoli, I. Roy and I. Hoteit (2023). Seasonal forecasts of the rainy season onset over Africa: Preliminary results from the FOCUS-Africa project. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100417| Climate Services, 32, doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100417]]. //Open Access// (FOCUS-Africa) [ESS, CVC]
 ====2022====
-  - {{ :publications:cdelgado_jcli_2022.pdf | Delgado-Torres}}, C., M.G. Donat, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, L-P. Caron, P.J. Athanasiadis, P.A. Bretonnière, N.J. Dunstone, A. Ho, D. Nicoli, K. Pankatz, A. Paxian, N. Pérez-Zanón, M.S. Cabré, B. Solaraju-Murali, A. Soret and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2022). Multi-model forecast quality assessment of CMIP6 decadal predictions. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/13/JCLI-D-21-0811.1.xml| Journal of Climate, 35, 4363-4382, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0811.1]]. (EUCP, C3S_34c)
+  - Acosta Navarro, J.C., J. García-Serrano, V. Lapin and P. Ortega (2022). Added value of assimilating springtime Arctic sea ice concentration in summer-fall climate predictions. [[https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6c9b| Environmental Research Letters, 17, 064008, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac6c9b]] //Open Access// (CMUG, INTAROS, APPLIDATE) [CVC]
-  - Döscher, R., M. Acosta, A. Alessandri, P. Anthoni, A. Arneth,T. Arsouze, T. Bergmann, R. Bernadello, S. Bousetta, L.-P. Caron, G. Carver, M. Castrillo, F. Catalano, I. Cvijanovic, P. Davini, E. Dekker, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Docquier, P. Echevarria, U. Fladrich, R. Fuentes-Franco, M. Gröger, J. v. Hardenberg, J. Hieronymus, M.P. Karami, J.-P. Keskinen, T. Koenigk, R. Makkonen, F. Massonnet, M. Ménégoz, P.A. Miller, E. Moreno-Chamarro, L. Nieradzik, T. van Noije, P. Nolan, D. O’Donnell, P. Ollinaho, G. van den Oord, P. Ortega, O. Tintó Prims, A. Ramos, T. Reerink, C. Rousset, Y. Ruprich-Robert, P. Le Sager, T. Schmith, R. Schrödner, F. Serva, V. Sicardi, M. Sloth Madsen, B. Smith, T. Tian, E. Tourigny, P. Uotila, M. Vancoppenolle, S. Wang, D. Wårlind, U. Willén, K. Wyser, S. Yang, X. Yepes-Arbós and Q. Zhang (2022). The EC-Earth3 Earth system model for the Climate Model Intercomparison Project 6. [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2020-446/|Geoscientific Model Development, accepted, doi:10.5194/gmd-2020-446]]
+  - Carmo-Costa, T., R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, A. Teles-Machado and E. Dutra (2022). Trends, variability and predictive skill of the ocean heat content in North Atlantic: An analysis with the EC-Earth3 model. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-021-05962-y|Climate Dynamics, 58, 1311–1328, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05962-y]]. //Open Access// (RyC_Pablo, EUCP) [CVC]
-  - Langehaug, H.R., P. Ortega, F. Counillon, D. Matei, E. Maroon, N. Keenlyside, J. Mignot, Y. Wang, D. Swingedouw, I. Bethke, S. Yang, G. Danabasoglu, A. Bellucci, P. Ruggieri, D. Nicolì and M. Årthun (2022). Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and their predictive potential  along the Atlantic water pathway. Journal of Climate, accepted. (RyC_Pablo))
+  - {{ :publications:delgado-torres_et_al_2022_-_jgr-atmospheres_-_weather_regimes.pdf | Delgado-Torres}}, C., D. Verfaillie, E. Mohino and M.G. Donat (2022). Representation and annual to decadal predictability of Euro-Atlantic weather regimes in the CMIP6 version of the EC-Earth coupled climate model. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036673 | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127, e2022JD036673, doi:10.1029/2022JD036673]]. (EUCP, AXA) [CVC]
-  - Kilbourne, H., A. Wanamaker, P. Moffa-Sanchez, D. Reynolds, D. Amrhein, P. Butler, G. Gebbie, M. Goes, M. Jansen, C. Little, M. Mette, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, B. Otto-Bliesner, T. Rossby, J. Scourse and N. Whitney (2022). Atlantic circulation change still uncertain. Nature Geoscience, accepted. (RyC_Pablo, PARAMOUR)
+  - {{ :publications:cdelgado_jcli_2022.pdf | Delgado-Torres}}, C., M.G. Donat, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, L-P. Caron, P.J. Athanasiadis, P.A. Bretonnière, N.J. Dunstone, A. Ho, D. Nicoli, K. Pankatz, A. Paxian, N. Pérez-Zanón, M.S. Cabré, B. Solaraju-Murali, A. Soret and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2022). Multi-model forecast quality assessment of CMIP6 decadal predictions. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/13/JCLI-D-21-0811.1.xml| Journal of Climate, 35, 4363-4382, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0811.1]]. (EUCP, C3S_34c) [CVC]
-  - Moreno-Chamarro, E., L.-P. Caron, S. Loosveldt Tomas, J. Vegas-Regidor, O. Gutjahr, M.-P. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C.D. Roberts, M.J. Roberts, R. Senan, L. Terray, E. Tourigny and P.L. Vidale (2022). Impact of increased resolution on long-standing biases in HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA climate models. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-269-2022 | Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 269–289, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-269-2022]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA, IS-ENES3, SPFireSD,  CMUG-CCI3-TECHPROP, STREAM)
+  - Della Penna, A., J. Llort, S. Moreau, R. Patel, R. Kloser, P. Gaube, P. Strutton and P.W. Boyd (2022). The impact of a Southern Ocean cyclonic eddy on mesopelagic micronekton. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC018893| Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 127, e2022JC018893, doi:10.1029/2022JC018893]]. //Open Access// (MESH-STARS J.Llort) [CVC]
-  - Moreno-Chamarro, E. (2022). Delayed recovery of the tropical rain belt. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01237-w|Nature Climate change, 12, 9–10, doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01237-w]].
+  - Döscher, R., M. Acosta, A. Alessandri, P. Anthoni, A. Arneth,T. Arsouze, T. Bergmann, R. Bernadello, S. Bousetta, L.-P. Caron, G. Carver, M. Castrillo, F. Catalano, I. Cvijanovic, P. Davini, E. Dekker, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Docquier, P. Echevarria, U. Fladrich, R. Fuentes-Franco, M. Gröger, J. v. Hardenberg, J. Hieronymus, M.P. Karami, J.-P. Keskinen, T. Koenigk, R. Makkonen, F. Massonnet, M. Ménégoz, P.A. Miller, E. Moreno-Chamarro, L. Nieradzik, T. van Noije, P. Nolan, D. O’Donnell, P. Ollinaho, G. van den Oord, P. Ortega, O. Tintó Prims, A. Ramos, T. Reerink, C. Rousset, Y. Ruprich-Robert, P. Le Sager, T. Schmith, R. Schrödner, F. Serva, V. Sicardi, M. Sloth Madsen, B. Smith, T. Tian, E. Tourigny, P. Uotila, M. Vancoppenolle, S. Wang, D. Wårlind, U. Willén, K. Wyser, S. Yang, X. Yepes-Arbós and Q. Zhang (2022). The EC-Earth3 Earth system model for the Climate Model Intercomparison Project 6. [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2020-446/|Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 2973–3020, doi:10.5194/gmd-2020-446]]. [CVC]
-  - Pelletier, C., T. Fichefet, H. Goosse, K. Haubner, S. Helsen, P.-V. Huot, C. Kittel, F. Klein, S. Le clec'h, N. P. M. van Lipzig, S. Marchi, F. Massonnet, P. Mathiot, E. Moravveji, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, F. Pattyn, N. Souverijns, G. Van Achter, S. Vanden Broucke, A. Vanhulle, D. Verfaillie and L. Zipf (2022). PARASO, a circum-Antarctic fully-coupled ice-sheet - ocean - sea-ice - atmosphere - land model involving f.ETISh1.7, NEMO3.6, LIM3.6, COSMO5.0 and CLM4.5. [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/15/553/2022/ | Geoscience Model Development, 15, 553–594, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-553-2022.]] //Open Access// (PARAMOUR)
+  - {{ :publications:mdonat_Nature_2022.pdf | Donat, M.G.}} (2022). Marine heatwaves are reliably forecast by climate models. [[https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-01028-z | Nature, 604, 432-433, doi:10.1038/d41586-022-01028-z]]. [CVC]
-  - Smith D., R. Eade, M. Andrews, H. Ayres, A. Clark, S. Chripko, C. Deser, N. Dunstone, J. Garcia-Serrano, G. Gastineau, L. S. Graff, S. C. Hardiman, B. He, L. Hermanson,  T. Jung, J. Knight, X. Levine, G. Magnusdottir, E. Manzini, D. Matei, M. Mori, R.  Msadek, P. Ortega, Y. Peings, A. A. Scaife, J. A. Screen, M. Seabrook, T. Semmler  M. Sigmond, J. Streffing, L. Sun and A. Walsh (2022). Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss. Nat. Comms., accepted. (RyC_Pablo, APPLICATE)
+  - Du, H., M.G. Donat, S. Zong, L.V. Alexander, R. Manzanas, A. Kruger, G. Choi, J. Salinger, H.S. He, M. Li, F. Fujibe, B. Nandintsetseg, S. Rehman, F. Abbas, M. Rusticucci, A. Srivastava, P. Zhai, T. Lippmann, I. Yabi, M.C. Stambaugh, S. Wang, A. Batbold, P.T. d. Oliveira, M. Adrees, W. Hou, C.M.S. e. Silva, P.S. Lucio and Z. Wu (2022). Extreme precipitation on consecutive days occurs more often in a warming climate. [[ https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/103/4/BAMS-D-21-0140.1.xml | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, E1134-E1149, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0140.1]]. //Open Access// (RyC_Markus, EUCP) [CVC]
-  - Whaley, C. H., R. Mahmood, K. von Salzen et al. (2022). Model evaluation of short-lived climate forcers for the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme: a multi-species, multi-model study. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-975 | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, doi:10.5194/acp-2021-975]]. //Open Access//
+  - Dunn R. J. H., M.G. Donat and L.V. Alexander (2022). Comparing extremes indices in recent observational and reanalysis products. [[https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.989505 | Frontiers in Climate, 4, 989505,  doi:10.3389/fclim.2022.989505]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
+  - Dunstone, N., J. Lockwood, B. Solaraju-Murali, K. Reinhardt, E.E. Tsartsali, P.J. Athanasiadis, A. Bellucci, A. Brookshaw, L.-P. Caron, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, B. Früh, N. González-Reviriego, S. Gualdi, L. Hermanson, S. Materia, A. Nicodemou, D. Nicolì, K. Pankatz, A. Paxian, A.A. Scaife, D. Smith and H.E. Thornton (2022). Towards useful decadal climate services. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/aop/BAMS-D-21-0190.1/BAMS-D-21-0190.1.xml|Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, E1705–E1719, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0190.1]]. //Open Access// (C3C_34c) [CVC]
+  - Falls, M., R. Bernardello, M. Castrillo, M. Acosta, J. Llort, M. Galí (2022). Use of genetic algorithms for ocean model parameter optimisation: a case study using PISCES-v2_RC for North Atlantic particulate organic carbon. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-5713-2022 | Geoscientific Model Development, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-5713-2022]]. //Open Access// (ORCAs, DeCUSO, OPERA) [CVC-CES]
+  - Feng, X., C. Qian, & S. Materia (2022). Amplification of the temperature seasonality in the Mediterranean region under anthropogenic climate change. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2022GL099658 | Geophysical Research Letters, e2022GL099658. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099658]]. [CVC]
+  - Galí, M., M. Falls, H. Claustre, O. Aumont, R. Bernardello (2022). Bridging the gaps between particulate backscattering measurements and modeled particulate organic carbon in the ocean. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-1245-2022 | Biogeosciences, doi:10.5194/bg-19-1245-2022]] //Open Access// (ORCAs, DeCUSO, OPERA) [CVC]
+  - Hariadi, M. H., G. van der Schrier, G.-J. Steeneveld, D. Nur Ratri, A. Sopaheluwakan, A. Klein Tank, E. Aldrian, D. Gunawan, M.-P. Moine, A. Bellucci, R. Senan, E. Tourigny, D. Ariyani Putrasahan, U. Ajie Linarka (2022). Evaluation of extreme precipitation over Southeast Asia in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 regional climate model results and HighResMIP global climate models. [[https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.7938 | International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.7938]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA) [CVC]
+  - Hermanson, L., D. Smith, M. Seabrook, R. Bilbao, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, E. Tourigny, V. Lapin, V.V. Kharin, W.J. Merryfield, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, P. Athanasiadis, D. Nicoli, S. Gualdi, N. Dunstone, R. Eade, A.A. Scaife, M. Collier, T. O’Kane, V. Kitsios, P. Sandery, K. Pankatz, B. Früh, H. Pohlmann, W. Müller, T. Kataoka, H. Tatebe, M. Ishii, Y. Imada, T. Kruschke, T. Koenigk, M.P. Karami, S. Yang, T. Tian, L. Zhang, T. Delworth, X. Yang, F. Zeng, Y. Wang, F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, J. Lean, J. Luterbacher, R.K. Kolli and A. Kumar (2022). WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update: A prediction for 2021-2025. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/aop/BAMS-D-20-0311.1/BAMS-D-20-0311.1.xml|Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0311.1]]. //Open Access// (EUCP, RES) [CVC]
+  - Hochman, A., P. De Luca and T.K. Komacek (2022). Greater Climate Sensitivity and Variability on TRAPPIST-1e than Earth. [[https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-4357/ac866f| Astrophys. J., 938, 114, doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ac866f]] // Open Access // [CVC]
+  - Hodson, D.L.R., P.-A. Bretonnière, C. Cassou, P. Davini, N.P. Klingaman, K. Lohmann, J. Lopez-Parages, M. Martín-Rey, M.-P. Moine, P.-A. Monerie, D.A. Putrasahan, C.D. Roberts, J. Robson, Y. Ruprich-Robert, E. Sanchez-Gomez, J. Seddon and R. Senan (2022). Coupled climate response to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in a multi-model multi-resolution ensemble. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-022-06157-9 | Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06157-9]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA, INADEC) [CVC]
+  - {{ :publications:kilbourne-2022_natgeos_atlanticcirculation.pdf |Kilbourne, H.}}, A. Wanamaker, P. Moffa-Sanchez, D. Reynolds, D. Amrhein, P. Butler, G. Gebbie, M. Goes, M. Jansen, C. Little, M. Mette, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, B. Otto-Bliesner, T. Rossby, J. Scourse and N. Whitney (2022). Atlantic circulation change still uncertain. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-022-00896-4 || Nature Geoscience, 15, 165-167, doi:10.1038/s41561-022-00896-4]]. (RyC_Portega, PARAMOUR) [CVC]
+  - Langehaug, H.R., P. Ortega, F. Counillon, D. Matei, E. Maroon, N. Keenlyside, J. Mignot, Y. Wang, D. Swingedouw, I. Bethke, S. Yang, G. Danabasoglu, A. Bellucci, P. Ruggieri, D. Nicolì and M. Årthun (2022). Propagation of thermohaline anomalies and their predictive potential along the Atlantic water pathway. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-1007.1 | Journal of Climate, 35, 2111–2131, 2022, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-1007.1]]. //Open Access// (RyC_Pablo) [CVC]
+  - Mahmood, R.,  M. G. Donat, P. Ortega, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, C. Delgado-Torres, M. Samsó and P.-A. Bretonnière (2022). Constraining low-frequency variability in climate projections to predict climate on decadal to multi-decadal time scales – a poor man's initialized prediction system. [[https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1437/2022/ |Earth System Dynamics, 13, 1437–1450, doi:10.5194/esd-13-1437-2022]]. //Open Access//  (PATHFINDER, EUCP, AXA_Markus, RyC_Pablo) [CVC]
+  - Materia, S., C. Ardilouze, C. Prodhomme, M.G. Donat, M. Benassi, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Peano, L.-P. Caron, P. Ruggieri and S. Gualdi (2022). Summer temperature response to extreme soil water conditions in the Mediterranean transitional climate regime. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-021-05815-8|Climate Dynamics, 58, 1943–1963, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05815-8]]. //Open Access// (MEDSCOPE) [CVC]
+   - Mezzina, B., J. García-Serrano, I. Bladé, F.M. Palmeiro, L. Batté, C. Ardilouze, M. Benassi and S. Gualdi (2022). Multi-model assessment of the late-winter extra-tropical response to El Niño and La Niña. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05415-y | Climate Dynamics, 58, 1965–1986, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05415-y]]. //Open Access// (MEDSCOPE). [CVC]
+  - Mezzina, B., F.M. Palmeiro, J. García-Serrano, I. Bladé, L. Batté and M. Benassi (2022). Multi-model assessment of the late-winter stratospheric response to El Niño and La Niña. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-021-05836-3 | Climate Dynamics, 58, 1987–2007, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05836-3]]. //Open Access// (MEDSCOPE). [CVC]
+  - Michel, S., D. Swingedouw, J. Mignot, P. Ortega, G. Gastineau, G.McCarthy, M. Khodri (2022). Early warning signal for a tipping point suggested by a millennial Atlantic Multidecadal Variability reconstruction. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32704-3 | Nature Communications, 13, 5176, doi:10.1038/s41467-022-32704-3]]. (RyC_Portega) [CVC]
+  - Moreno-Chamarro, E., L.-P. Caron, S. Loosveldt Tomas, J. Vegas-Regidor, O. Gutjahr, M.-P. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C.D. Roberts, M.J. Roberts, R. Senan, L. Terray, E. Tourigny and P.L. Vidale (2022). Impact of increased resolution on long-standing biases in HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA climate models. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-269-2022 | Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 269–289, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-269-2022]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA, IS-ENES3, SPFireSD,  CMUG-CCI3-TECHPROP, STREAM) [CVC]
+  - {{ :publications:moreno-chamarro-2021_natcc_newsviews.pdf |Moreno-Chamarro, E.}} (2022). Delayed recovery of the tropical rain belt. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01237-w|Nature Climate Change, 12, 9–10, doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01237-w]]. [CVC]
+  - Orihuela-García, M. A., Bolado-Penagos, M., Sala, I., Tovar-Sánchez, A., García, C. M., Bruno, M., Echevarría, F. & Laiz, I. (2022). Trace metals distribution between the surface waters of the Gulf of Cadiz and the Alboran Sea. Science of The Total Environment, 159662, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159662 [CVC]
+  - Ortega, P., E.W. Blockley, M. Køltzow, F. Massonnet, I. Sandu, G. Svensson, J.C. Acosta Navarro, G. Arduini, L. Batté, E. Bazile, M. Chevallier, R. Cruz-García, J.J. Day, T. Fichefet, D. Flocco, M. Gupta, K. Hartung, E. Hawkins, C. Hinrichs, L. Magnusson, E. Moreno-Chamarro, S. Pérez-Montero, L. Ponsoni, T. Semmler, D. Smith, J. Sterlin, M. Tjernström, I. Välisuo and T. Jung (2022). Improving Arctic weather and seasonal climate prediction: recommendations for future forecast systems evolution from the European project APPLICATE. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/103/10/BAMS-D-22-0083.1.xml|Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103(10), E2203-E2213, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0083.1]]. //Open Access// (APPLICATE, RyC_Pablo) [CVC]
+  - Pelletier, C., T. Fichefet, H. Goosse, K. Haubner, S. Helsen, P.-V. Huot, C. Kittel, F. Klein, S. Le clec'h, N. P. M. van Lipzig, S. Marchi, F. Massonnet, P. Mathiot, E. Moravveji, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, F. Pattyn, N. Souverijns, G. Van Achter, S. Vanden Broucke, A. Vanhulle, D. Verfaillie and L. Zipf (2022). PARASO, a circum-Antarctic fully-coupled ice-sheet - ocean - sea-ice - atmosphere - land model involving f.ETISh1.7, NEMO3.6, LIM3.6, COSMO5.0 and CLM4.5. [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/15/553/2022/ | Geoscience Model Development, 15, 553–594, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-553-2022.]] //Open Access// (PARAMOUR) [CVC]
+  - Simon, A., G. Gastineau, C. Frankignoul, V. Lapin and P. Ortega (2022). Pacific Decadal Oscillation modulates the Arctic sea-ice loss influence on the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation in winter. [[https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2022/egusphere-2022-69/| Weather and Climate Dynamics Discussions, doi:10.5194/egusphere-2022-69.]] //Open Access// (RyC_Portega, APPLICATE, INTAROS) [CVC]
+  - Simon A, S. M. Plecha, A. Russo, A. Teles-Machado, M. G. Donat, P.-A. Auger and R. M. Trigo (2022). Hot and cold marine extreme events in the Mediterranean over the period 1982-2021. [CVC][[https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2022.892201/full | Frontiers in Marine Science, 9, 892201, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.892201 ]] //Open Access//
+  - Smith, D., R. Eade, M. Andrews, H. Ayres, A. Clark, S. Chripko, C. Deser, N. Dunstone, J. Garcia-Serrano, G. Gastineau, L. S. Graff, S. C. Hardiman, B. He, L. Hermanson,  T. Jung, J. Knight, X. Levine, G. Magnusdottir, E. Manzini, D. Matei, M. Mori, R.  Msadek, P. Ortega, Y. Peings, A. A. Scaife, J. A. Screen, M. Seabrook, T. Semmler  M. Sigmond, J. Streffing, L. Sun and A. Walsh (2022). Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-28283-y| Nature Communications, 13, 727, doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-28283-y]] //Open Access// (APPLICATE, RyC_Pablo) [CVC]
+  - Solaraju-Murali, B., D. Bojovic, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, A. Nicodemou, M. Terrado, L.-P. Caron and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2022). How decadal predictions entered the climate services arena: an example from the agriculture sector. [[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405880722000218|Climate Services, 27, 100303, doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100303]]. //Open Access// (MED-GOLD, EUCP, FOCUS-Africa, C3C_34c, La Caixa-Bala) [CVC]
+  - von Salzen, K., C.H. Whaley, S.C., Anenberg, R.V. Dingenen, Z. Klimont, M.G. Flanner, R. Mahmood, S.R. Arnold, S. Beagley, R.-Y. Chien, J.H. Christensen, S. Eckhardt, A.M.L. Ekman, N. Evangeliou, G. Faluvegi, J.S. Fu, M. Gauss, W. Gong, J.L. Hjorth, U. Im, S. Krishnan, K. Kupiainen, T. Kühn, J. Langner, K.S. Law, L. Marelle, D. Olivié, T. Onishi, N. Oshima, V.-V. Paunu, Y. Peng, D. Plummer, L. Pozzoli, S. Rao, J.-C. Raut, M. Sand, J. Schmale, M. Sigmond, M. A. Thomas, K. Tsigaridis, S. Tsyro, S.T. Turnock, M. Wang and B. Winter (2022). Clean air policies are key for successfully mitigating Arctic warming. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-022-00555-x|Communications Earth & Environment, 3, 222, doi:10.1038/s43247-022-00555-x]]. //Open Access//. [CVC]
+  - Whaley, C. H., R. Mahmood, K. von Salzen et al. (2022). Model evaluation of short-lived climate forcers for the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme: a multi-species, multi-model study. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-975 | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, doi:10.5194/acp-2021-975]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
+   - White, S., E. Moreno-Chamarro, D. Zanchettin, H. Huhtamaa, D. Degroot, M. Stoffel and C. Corona (2022). The 1600 CE Huaynaputina eruption as a possible trigger for persistent cooling in the North Atlantic region. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-739-2022 | Climate of the Past, 18, 739–757, doi:10.5194/cp-18-739-2022]]. //Open Access// (STREAM, PARAMOUR) [CVC]
 ====2021====

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