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working_groups:climate_prediction:publications [2025/11/03 22:26]
portega [2024]
working_groups:climate_prediction:publications [2025/11/03 22:47] (current)
portega [2022]
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   - Zhang, S., Y. Pan, Y. Xue, I. Diallo, X. Zeng, S. Li, J.D. Neelin, W.K.M. Lau, A.A. Boone, F. Vitart, T. Yao, Q. Tang, T. Sato, M.S. Koo, C. Ardilouze, S.K.Saha, J. Yang, S. Materia, Z. Lin, X. Qi, Y. Qin, T. Nakamura, P. Nobre, D. Peano, R. Senan, Y. Takaya, H. Wang, H. Zhang, Y. Zhan, M. Zhao, C.R. Mechoso, Q. Bao, M.J. Bottino, S. Hong, Y. Lin, S. Xie, X. Pan, H.P. Nayak, S.C. Chou, W. Guo (2024). Near-global summer circulation response to the spring surface temperature anomaly in Tibetan Plateau –– the GEWEX/LS4P first phase experiment. Clim Dyn 62, 2907–2924. [[https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07210-5]]. //Open Access// [CVC]   - Zhang, S., Y. Pan, Y. Xue, I. Diallo, X. Zeng, S. Li, J.D. Neelin, W.K.M. Lau, A.A. Boone, F. Vitart, T. Yao, Q. Tang, T. Sato, M.S. Koo, C. Ardilouze, S.K.Saha, J. Yang, S. Materia, Z. Lin, X. Qi, Y. Qin, T. Nakamura, P. Nobre, D. Peano, R. Senan, Y. Takaya, H. Wang, H. Zhang, Y. Zhan, M. Zhao, C.R. Mechoso, Q. Bao, M.J. Bottino, S. Hong, Y. Lin, S. Xie, X. Pan, H.P. Nayak, S.C. Chou, W. Guo (2024). Near-global summer circulation response to the spring surface temperature anomaly in Tibetan Plateau –– the GEWEX/LS4P first phase experiment. Clim Dyn 62, 2907–2924. [[https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07210-5]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 ====2023==== ====2023====
 +  - Hochman, A., T.D., Komacek and P. De Luca (2023). Analogous response of temperate terrestrial exoplanets and Earth’s climate dynamics to greenhouse gas supplement. [[https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-38026-8 | Scientific Reports, 13, 11123, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-38026-8]] //Open Access// (MSCA_Paolo) [CVC]
 +  - Acosta, M. C., S. Palomas and E. Tourigny (2023). Balancing EC-Earth3 improving the performance of EC-Earth CMIP6 configurations by minimizing the coupling cost. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EA002912 | Earth and Space Science, 10, e2023EA002912, doi:10.1029/2023EA002912]]. //Open Access// (OEMES) [CES, CVC]
 +  - Ayache, M., J.-C. Dutay, K. Tachikawa, T. Arsouze and C. Jeandel (2023). Neodymium budget in the Mediterranean Sea: evaluating the role of atmospheric dusts using a high-resolution dynamical-biogeochemical model. [[https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/20/205/2023/ | Biogeosciences, 20, 205–227, doi:10.5194/bg-20-205-2023]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Brewin, R.J.W., S. Sathyendranath, G. Kulk, M.-H. Rio, J.A. Concha, T.G. Bell, A. Bracher, C. Fichot, T.L. Frölicher, M. Galí, D.A. Hansell, T.S. Kostadinov, C. Mitchell, A.R. Neeley, E. Organelli, K. Richardson, C. Rousseaux, F. Shen, D. Stramski, M. Tzortziou, A.J. Watson, C.I. Addey, M. Bellacicco, H. Bouman, D. Carroll, I. Cetinić, G. Dall’Olmo, R. Frouin, J. Hauck, M. Hieronymi, C. Hu, V. Ibello, B. Jönsson, C.E. Kong, Z. Kovač, M. Laine, J. Lauderdale, S. Lavender, E. Livanou, J. Llort, L. Lorinczi, M. Nowicki, N.A. Pradisty, S. Psarra, D.E. Raitsos, A.B. Ruescas, J.L. Russell, J. Salisbury, R. Sanders, J.D. Shutler, X. Sun, F.G. Taboada, G. Tilstone, X. Wei and D.K. Woolf (2023). Ocean carbon from space: Current status and priorities for the next decade. [[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012825223000752 | Earth-Science Reviews, 240, 104386, doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2023.104386]]. (PYROPLANKTON) //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Cañete, J.I., M.S. Romero, E.E. Easton, A. Mecho and J. Sellanes (2023). Chloeia rozbaczyloi, a new species of polychaete (Archinominae: Amphinomidae) and first record of the family for the Nazca Ridge, southeastern Pacific Ocean. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2023.104110|Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 104110, doi:10.1016/j.dsr.2023.104110]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Delgado-Torres, C., M. G. Donat, A. Soret, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, P.-A. Bretonnière, A.-C. Ho, N. Pérez-Zanón, M. Samsó Cabré, and F. J. Doblas-Reyes (2023). Multi-annual predictions of the frequency and intensity of daily temperature and precipitation extremes. [[https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acbbe1 | Environmental Research Letters, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/acbbe1]]. //Open Access// (ASPECT) [CVC-ESS]
 +  - De Luca, P., C. Delgado-Torres, R. Mahmood, M. Samsó and M. G. Donat (2023). Constraining decadal variability regionally improves near-term projections of hot, cold and dry extremes. [[https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/acf389 | Environmental Research Letters, 18, 094054, https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acf389]] //Open Access// (LANDMARC, ASPECT, MSCA_Paolo) [CVC] 
 +  - De Luca, P., &  M. G. Donat (2023).  Projected changes in hot, dry, and compound hot-dry extremes over global land regions. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102493 | Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2022GL102493. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102493]]. //Open Access// (LANDMARC, MSCA_Paolo) [CVC]
 +  - Donat, M. G., C. Delgado-Torres, P. De Luca, R. Mahmood, P. Ortega and F. J. Doblas-Reyes (2023). How credibly do CMIP6 simulations capture historical mean and extreme precipitation changes? [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102466 | Geophysical Research Letters,  50, e2022GL102466. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102466]]. //Open Access// (LANDMARC, ASPECT, SGR2021_CVC, AXA_Award_Donat, MSCA_Paolo) [CVC] 
 +  - Findell, K. L., R. Sutton, N. Caltabiano, A. Brookshaw, P. Heimbach, M. Kimoto, S. Osprey, D. Smith, J. S. Risbey, Z. Wang, L. Cheng, L. Diaz, M. G. Donat, M. Ek, J. Lee, S. Minobe, M. Rusticucci, F. Vitart, L. Wang (2023). Explaining and Predicting Earth System Change: A World Climate Research Programme Call to Action, [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/104/1/BAMS-D-21-0280.1.xml|Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 104(1), E325-E339]], https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0280.1. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - González-Alemán, J. J., D. Insua-Costa, E. Bazile, S. González-Herrero, M. Marcello Miglietta, P. Groenemeijer, M. G. Donat (2023). Anthropogenic Warming Had a Crucial Role in Triggering the Historic and Destructive Mediterranean Derecho in Summer 2022. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0119.1 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104(8), E1526-E1532. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0119.1 ]] //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Huang, H., W.D. Collins, C.M. Patricola, Y. Ruprich-Robert, P.A. Ullrich and A.J. Baker (2023). Contrasting responses of Atlantic and Pacific tropical cyclone activity to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2023GL102959 | Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL102959, doi:10.1029/2023GL102959]]. //Open Access// (laCaixa, ReSPonSe) [CVC]
 +  - Hamilton, D.S., A.R. Baker, Y. Iwamoto, S. Gassó, E. Bergas-Masso, S. Deutch, J. Dinasquet, Y. Kondo, J. Llort, S. Myriokefalitakis, M.M.G. Perron, A. Wegmann, J. Yoon, (2023). An aerosol odyssey: Navigating nutrient flux changes to marine ecosystems. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 37, 11, doi:[[https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.2023.00037|10.1525/elementa.2023.00037]]//Open Access//(PYROPLANKTON-ESA)[AC,CVC]
 +  - Lacour, L., J. Llort, N. Briggs, P.G. Strutton and P.W. Boyd (2023). Seasonality of downward carbon export in the Pacific Southern Ocean revealed by multi-year robotic observations. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-36954-7 | Nature Communications, 14, 1278, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-36954-7]]. //Open Access// (MSCA-STARS MESH) [ES-CVC]
 +  - {{ :publications:laepple2023_globallocal.pdf |Laepple, T.}}, E. Ziegler, N. Weitzel, R. Hébert, B. Ellerhoff, P. Schoch, B. Martrat, O. Bothe, E. Moreno-Chamarro, M. Chevalier, A. Herbert and K. Rehfeld (2023). Regional but not global temperature variability underestimated by climate models at supradecadal timescales. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-023-01299-9|Nature Geosciences, 16, 958–966, doi:10.1038/s41561-023-01299-9]]. [CVC]
 +  - Liu, Y., M.G. Donat, M.H. England, L.V. Alexander, A.L. Hirsch and C. Delgado-Torres (2023). Enhanced multi-year predictability after El Niño and La Niña events. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-42113-9 | Nature Communications, 14, 6387, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-42113-9]]. //Open Access// (ASPECT, AXA Chair) [CVC, ESS]
 +  - Martín-Gómez, V., Y. Ruprich-Robert, R. Bernardello, E. Tourigny, M. Donat, P. Ortega and M. Samso Cabré (2023). Large spread in interannual variance of atmospheric CO2 concentration across CMIP6 Earth System Models. [[https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00532-x | npj-Climate and atmospheric sciences, 6, doi:10.1038/s41612-023-00532-x]]. //Open Access// (ReSPonSe, 4C, LANDMARC) [CVC]
 +  - Massonnet F, Barreira S, Barthélemy A, Bilbao R, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, Blockley E, Bromwich DH, Bushuk M, Dong X, Goessling HF, Hobbs W, Iovino D, Lee W-S, Li C, Meier WN, Merryfield WJ, Moreno-Chamarro E, Morioka Y, Li X, Niraula B, Petty A, Sanna A, Scilingo M, Shu Q, Sigmond M, Sun N, Tietsche S, Wu X, Yang Q and Yuan X (2023) SIPN South: six years of coordinated seasonal Antarctic sea ice predictions. [[https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1148899, Front. Mar. Sci. 10:1148899. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1148899]] //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Mayot, N., C. Le Quéré, C. Rödenbeck, R. Bernardello, L. Bopp, L. M. Djeutchouang, M. Gehlen, L. Gregor, N. Gruber, J. Hauck, Y. Iida, T. Ilyina, R. F. Keeling, P. Landschützer, A. C. Manning, L. Patara, L. Resplandy, J. Schwinger, R. Séférian, A. J. Watson, R. M. Wright and J. Zeng (2023). Climate-driven variability of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink. [[https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0055 |Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, doi:10.1098/rsta.2022.0055]]. //Open Access// (4C) [CVC]
 +  - O'Reilly, C.H., M. Patterson, J. Robson, P.-A. Monerie, D. Hodson and Y. Ruprich-Robert (2023). Challenges with interpreting the impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability using SST-restoring experiments. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-023-00335-0 | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00335-0]]. //Open Access// (ReSPonSe, laCaixa) [CVC]
 +  - Polkova, I., D. Swingedouw, L. Hermanson, A. Köhl, D. Stammer, D. Smith, J. Kröger, I. Bethke, X. Yang, L. Zhang, D. Nicolì, P. J. Athanasiadis, P. Karami, K. Pankatz, H. Pohlmann, B. Wu, R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, S. Yang, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, W. Merryfield, T. Kataoka, H. Tatebe, Y. Imada, M. Ishii, R. J. Matear (2023). Initialization shock in the ocean circulation reduces skill in decadal predictions of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre. [[ https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2023.1273770 | Frontiers in Climate, 5:1273770]] //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - {{publications:rsaurral_ijoc_2023.pdf|Saurral, R.}} and F. Piscitelli (2023). Dynamic and thermodynamic drivers of rainfall trends at the City of Buenos Aires, Argentina. [[https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/joc.8233|International Journal of Climatology, doi:10.1002/joc.8233]] [CVC] 
 +  - {{publications:rsaurral_TAAC_2023.pdf|Saurral, R.}} and G. Raggio (2023). Changes in stratospheric ozone concentrations shape air temperature distributions on the Antarctic Peninsula. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-023-04598-8|Theoretical and Applied Climatology, doi:10.1007/s00704-023-04598.8]] [CVC] 
 +  - Xue, Y., I. Diallo, A.A. Boone, Y. Zhang, X. Zeng, W.K.M. Lau, J.D. Neelin, T. Yao, Q. Tang, T. Sato, M.-S. Koo, F. Vitart, C. Ardilouze, S.K Saha, S. Materia, Z. Lin, Y. Takaya, J. Yang, T. Nakamura, X. Qi, Y. Qin, P. Nobre, R. Senan, H. Wang, H. Zhang, M. Zhao, H.P. Nayak, Y. Pan, X. Pan, J. Feng, C. Shi, S. Xie, M.A. Brunke, Q. Bao, M.J. Bottino, T. Fan, S. Hong, Y. Lin, D. Peano, Y. Zhan, C.R. Mechoso, X. Ren, G. Balsamo, S.C. Chou, P. de Rosnay, P.J. van Oevelen, D. Klocke, M. Ek, X. Li, W. Guo, Y. Zhu, J. Tang, X.-Z. Liang, Y. Qian and P. Zhao (2023). Remote effects of Tibetan Plateau spring land temperature on global subseasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction and comparison with effects of sea surface temperature: the GEWEX/LS4P Phase I experiment. [[https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06905-5 | Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-023-06905-5]]. //Open Access// [CVC]
 +  - Zampieri, M., A. Toreti, M. Meroni, D. Bojovic, S. Octenjak, R. Marcos-Matamoros, S. Materia, L. Chang'a, M. Merchades, M. Chaves Montego, F. Rembold, A. Troccoli, I. Roy and I. Hoteit (2023). Seasonal forecasts of the rainy season onset over Africa: Preliminary results from the FOCUS-Africa project. [[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100417| Climate Services, 32, doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100417]]. //Open Access// (FOCUS-Africa) [ESS, CVC]
 + 
 +
 ====2022==== ====2022====
-  - {{ :publications:cdelgado_jcli_2022.pdf | Delgado-Torres}}, C., M.G. Donat, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, L-P. Caron, P.J. Athanasiadis, P.A. Bretonnière, N.J. Dunstone, A. Ho, D. Nicoli, K. Pankatz, A. Paxian, N. Pérez-Zanón, M.S. Cabré, B. Solaraju-Murali, A. Soret and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2022). Multi-model forecast quality assessment of CMIP6 decadal predictions. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/13/JCLI-D-21-0811.1.xml| Journal of Climate, 35, 4363-4382, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0811.1]]. (EUCP, C3S_34c) +  - Acosta Navarro, J.C., J. García-Serrano, V. Lapin and P. Ortega (2022). Added value of assimilating springtime Arctic sea ice concentration in summer-fall climate predictions. [[https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6c9b| Environmental Research Letters, 17, 064008, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac6c9b]] //Open Access// (CMUG, INTAROS, APPLIDATE) [CVC] 
-  - Döscher, R., M. Acosta, A. Alessandri, P. Anthoni, A. Arneth,T. Arsouze, T. Bergmann, R. Bernadello, S. Bousetta, L.-P. Caron, G. Carver, M. Castrillo, F. Catalano, I. Cvijanovic, P. Davini, E. Dekker, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Docquier, P. Echevarria, U. Fladrich, R. Fuentes-Franco, M. Gröger, J. v. Hardenberg, J. Hieronymus, M.P. Karami, J.-P. Keskinen, T. Koenigk, R. Makkonen, F. Massonnet, M. Ménégoz, P.A. Miller, E. Moreno-Chamarro, L. Nieradzik, T. van Noije, P. Nolan, D. O’Donnell, P. Ollinaho, G. van den Oord, P. Ortega, O. Tintó Prims, A. Ramos, T. Reerink, C. Rousset, Y. Ruprich-Robert, P. Le Sager, T. Schmith, R. Schrödner, F. Serva, V. Sicardi, M. Sloth Madsen, B. Smith, T. Tian, E. Tourigny, P. Uotila, M. Vancoppenolle, S. Wang, D. Wårlind, U. Willén, K. Wyser, S. Yang, X. Yepes-Arbós and Q. Zhang (2022). The EC-Earth3 Earth system model for the Climate Model Intercomparison Project 6. [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2020-446/|Geoscientific Model Development, accepted, doi:10.5194/gmd-2020-446]]  +  - Carmo-Costa, T., R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, A. Teles-Machado and E. Dutra (2022). Trends, variability and predictive skill of the ocean heat content in North Atlantic: An analysis with the EC-Earth3 model. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-021-05962-y|Climate Dynamics, 58, 1311–1328, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05962-y]]. //Open Access// (RyC_Pablo, EUCP) [CVC] 
-  - Langehaug, H.R., POrtega, F. CounillonDMateiEMaroonNKeenlysideJMignotYWangDSwingedouw, I. Bethke, S. Yang, G. Danabasoglu, A. Bellucci, P. Ruggieri, D. Nicolì and M. Årthun (2022). Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and their predictive potential  along the Atlantic water pathway. Journal of Climate, accepted. (RyC_Pablo)) +  - {{ :publications:delgado-torres_et_al_2022_-_jgr-atmospheres_-_weather_regimes.pdf | Delgado-Torres}}, C., D. Verfaillie, E. Mohino and M.G. Donat (2022). Representation and annual to decadal predictability of Euro-Atlantic weather regimes in the CMIP6 version of the EC-Earth coupled climate model. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036673 | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127, e2022JD036673, doi:10.1029/2022JD036673]]. (EUCP, AXA) [CVC] 
-  - Kilbourne, H., A. Wanamaker, P. Moffa-Sanchez, D. Reynolds, D. Amrhein, P. Butler, G. Gebbie, M. Goes, M. Jansen, C. Little, M. Mette, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, B. Otto-Bliesner, T. Rossby, J. Scourse and N. Whitney (2022). Atlantic circulation change still uncertain. Nature Geoscience, accepted. (RyC_Pablo, PARAMOUR) +  - {{ :publications:cdelgado_jcli_2022.pdf | Delgado-Torres}}, C., M.G. Donat, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, L-P. Caron, P.J. Athanasiadis, P.A. Bretonnière, N.J. Dunstone, A. Ho, D. Nicoli, K. Pankatz, A. Paxian, N. Pérez-Zanón, M.S. Cabré, B. Solaraju-Murali, A. Soret and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2022). Multi-model forecast quality assessment of CMIP6 decadal predictions. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/13/JCLI-D-21-0811.1.xml| Journal of Climate, 35, 4363-4382, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0811.1]]. (EUCP, C3S_34c) [CVC] 
-  - Moreno-Chamarro, E., L.-P. Caron, S. Loosveldt Tomas, J. Vegas-Regidor, O. Gutjahr, M.-P. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C.D. Roberts, M.J. Roberts, R. Senan, L. Terray, E. Tourigny and P.L. Vidale (2022). Impact of increased resolution on long-standing biases in HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA climate models. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-269-2022 | Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 269–289, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-269-2022]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA, IS-ENES3, SPFireSD,  CMUG-CCI3-TECHPROP, STREAM) +  - Della Penna, A., J. Llort, S. Moreau, R. Patel, R. Kloser, P. Gaube, P. Strutton and P.W. Boyd (2022). The impact of a Southern Ocean cyclonic eddy on mesopelagic micronekton. [[https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC018893| Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 127, e2022JC018893, doi:10.1029/2022JC018893]]. //Open Access// (MESH-STARS J.Llort) [CVC] 
-  - Moreno-Chamarro, E. (2022). Delayed recovery of the tropical rain belt. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01237-w|Nature Climate change, 12, 9–10, doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01237-w]]. +  - Döscher, R., M. Acosta, A. Alessandri, P. Anthoni, A. Arneth,T. Arsouze, T. Bergmann, R. Bernadello, S. Bousetta, L.-P. Caron, G. Carver, M. Castrillo, F. Catalano, I. Cvijanovic, P. Davini, E. Dekker, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Docquier, P. Echevarria, U. Fladrich, R. Fuentes-Franco, M. Gröger, J. v. Hardenberg, J. Hieronymus, M.P. Karami, J.-P. Keskinen, T. Koenigk, R. Makkonen, F. Massonnet, M. Ménégoz, P.A. Miller, E. Moreno-Chamarro, L. Nieradzik, T. van Noije, P. Nolan, D. O’Donnell, P. Ollinaho, G. van den Oord, P. Ortega, O. Tintó Prims, A. Ramos, T. Reerink, C. Rousset, Y. Ruprich-Robert, P. Le Sager, T. Schmith, R. Schrödner, F. Serva, V. Sicardi, M. Sloth Madsen, B. Smith, T. Tian, E. Tourigny, P. Uotila, M. Vancoppenolle, S. Wang, D. Wårlind, U. Willén, K. Wyser, S. Yang, X. Yepes-Arbós and Q. Zhang (2022). The EC-Earth3 Earth system model for the Climate Model Intercomparison Project 6. [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2020-446/|Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 2973–3020, doi:10.5194/gmd-2020-446]]. [CVC
-  - ​Pelletier, C., T. Fichefet, H. Goosse, K. Haubner, S. Helsen, P.-V. Huot, C. Kittel, F. Klein, S. Le clec'h, N. P. M. van Lipzig, S. Marchi, F. Massonnet, P. Mathiot, E. Moravveji, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, F. Pattyn, N. Souverijns, G. Van Achter, S. Vanden Broucke, A. Vanhulle, D. Verfaillie and L. Zipf (2022). PARASO, a circum-Antarctic fully-coupled ice-sheet - ocean - sea-ice - atmosphere - land model involving f.ETISh1.7, NEMO3.6, LIM3.6, COSMO5.0 and CLM4.5. [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/15/553/2022/ | Geoscience Model Development, 15, 553–594, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-553-2022.]] //Open Access// (PARAMOUR) +  - {{ :publications:mdonat_Nature_2022.pdf | Donat, M.G.}} (2022). Marine heatwaves are reliably forecast by climate models. [[https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-01028-z | Nature, 604, 432-433, doi:10.1038/d41586-022-01028-z]]. [CVC] 
-  - Smith D., R. Eade, M. Andrews, H. Ayres, A. Clark, S. Chripko, C. Deser, N. Dunstone, J. Garcia-Serrano, G. Gastineau, L. S. Graff, S. C. Hardiman, B. He, L. Hermanson,  T. Jung, J. Knight, X. Levine, G. Magnusdottir, E. Manzini, D. Matei, M. Mori, R.  Msadek, P. Ortega, Y. Peings, A. A. Scaife, J. A. Screen, M. Seabrook, T. Semmler  M. Sigmond, J. Streffing, L. Sun and A. Walsh (2022). Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss. NatComms., accepted. (RyC_Pablo, APPLICATE+  - Du, H., M.G. Donat, S. Zong, L.V. Alexander, R. ManzanasAKruger, G. Choi, J. Salinger, H.S. He, M. Li, F. FujibeBNandintsetsegSRehmanFAbbasMRusticucciASrivastavaPZhai, T. Lippmann, I. Yabi, M.C. Stambaugh, S. WangA. Batbold, P.T. d. Oliveira, M. Adrees, W. Hou, C.M.S. e. Silva, P.S. Lucio and Z. Wu (2022). Extreme precipitation on consecutive days occurs more often in a warming climate. [[ https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/103/4/BAMS-D-21-0140.1.xml | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, E1134-E1149, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0140.1]]. //Open Access// (RyC_Markus, EUCP) [CVC] 
-  - Whaley, C. H., R. Mahmood, K. von Salzen et al. (2022). Model evaluation of short-lived climate forcers for the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme: a multi-species, multi-model study. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-975 | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, doi:10.5194/acp-2021-975]]. //Open Access// +  - Dunn R. J. H., M.G. Donat and L.V. Alexander (2022). Comparing extremes indices in recent observational and reanalysis products. [[https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.989505 | Frontiers in Climate, 4, 989505,  doi:10.3389/fclim.2022.989505]]. //Open Access// [CVC] 
 +  - Dunstone, N., J. Lockwood, B. Solaraju-Murali, K. Reinhardt, E.E. Tsartsali, P.J. Athanasiadis, A. Bellucci, A. Brookshaw, L.-P. Caron, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, B. Früh, N. González-Reviriego, S. Gualdi, L. Hermanson, S. Materia, A. Nicodemou, D. Nicolì, K. Pankatz, A. Paxian, A.A. Scaife, D. Smith and H.E. Thornton (2022). Towards useful decadal climate services. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/aop/BAMS-D-21-0190.1/BAMS-D-21-0190.1.xml|Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, E1705–E1719, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0190.1]]. //Open Access// (C3C_34c) [CVC] 
 +  - Falls, M., R. Bernardello, M. Castrillo, M. Acosta, J. Llort, M. Galí (2022). Use of genetic algorithms for ocean model parameter optimisation: a case study using PISCES-v2_RC for North Atlantic particulate organic carbon. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-5713-2022 | Geoscientific Model Development, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-5713-2022]]. //Open Access// (ORCAs, DeCUSO, OPERA) [CVC-CES]  
 +  - Feng, X., C. Qian, & S. Materia (2022). Amplification of the temperature seasonality in the Mediterranean region under anthropogenic climate change. [[https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2022GL099658 | Geophysical Research Letters, e2022GL099658. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099658]]. [CVC] 
 +  - Galí, M., M. Falls, H. Claustre, O. Aumont, R. Bernardello (2022). Bridging the gaps between particulate backscattering measurements and modeled particulate organic carbon in the ocean. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-1245-2022 | Biogeosciences, doi:10.5194/bg-19-1245-2022]] //Open Access// (ORCAs, DeCUSO, OPERA) [CVC] 
 +  - Hariadi, M. H., G. van der Schrier, G.-J. Steeneveld, D. Nur Ratri, A. Sopaheluwakan, A. Klein Tank, E. Aldrian, D. Gunawan, M.-P. Moine, A. Bellucci, R. Senan, E. Tourigny, D. Ariyani Putrasahan, U. Ajie Linarka (2022). Evaluation of extreme precipitation over Southeast Asia in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 regional climate model results and HighResMIP global climate models[[https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.7938 | International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.7938]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA) [CVC] 
 +  - Hermanson, L., D. Smith, M. Seabrook, R. Bilbao, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, E. Tourigny, V. Lapin, V.V. Kharin, W.J. Merryfield, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, P. Athanasiadis, D. Nicoli, S. Gualdi, N. Dunstone, R. Eade, A.A. Scaife, M. Collier, T. O’Kane, V. Kitsios, P. Sandery, K. Pankatz, B. Früh, H. Pohlmann, W. Müller, T. Kataoka, H. Tatebe, M. Ishii, Y. Imada, T. Kruschke, T. Koenigk, M.P. Karami, S. Yang, T. Tian, L. Zhang, T. Delworth, X. Yang, F. Zeng, Y. Wang, F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, J. Lean, J. Luterbacher, R.K. Kolli and A. Kumar (2022). WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update: A prediction for 2021-2025. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/aop/BAMS-D-20-0311.1/BAMS-D-20-0311.1.xml|Bulletin of the American Meteorological Societydoi:https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0311.1]]. //Open Access// (EUCP, RES[CVC] 
 +  - Hochman, A., P. De Luca and T.K. Komacek (2022). Greater Climate Sensitivity and Variability on TRAPPIST-1e than Earth. [[https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-4357/ac866f| Astrophys. J., 938, 114, doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ac866f]] // Open Access // [CVC] 
 +  - Hodson, D.L.R., P.-A. Bretonnière, C. Cassou, P. Davini, N.P. Klingaman, K. Lohmann, J. Lopez-Parages, M. Martín-Rey, M.-P. Moine, P.-A. Monerie, D.A. Putrasahan, C.D. Roberts, J. Robson, Y. Ruprich-Robert, E. Sanchez-Gomez, J. Seddon and R. Senan (2022). Coupled climate response to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in a multi-model multi-resolution ensemble. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-022-06157-9 | Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06157-9]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA, INADEC) [CVC] 
 +  - {{ :publications:kilbourne-2022_natgeos_atlanticcirculation.pdf |Kilbourne, H.}}, A. Wanamaker, P. Moffa-Sanchez, D. Reynolds, D. Amrhein, P. Butler, G. Gebbie, M. Goes, M. Jansen, C. Little, M. Mette, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, B. Otto-Bliesner, T. Rossby, J. Scourse and N. Whitney (2022). Atlantic circulation change still uncertain. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-022-00896-4 || Nature Geoscience, 15, 165-167, doi:10.1038/s41561-022-00896-4]]. (RyC_Portega, PARAMOUR) [CVC] 
 +  - Langehaug, H.R., P. Ortega, F. Counillon, D. Matei, E. Maroon, N. Keenlyside, J. Mignot, Y. Wang, D. Swingedouw, I. Bethke, S. Yang, G. Danabasoglu, A. Bellucci, P. Ruggieri, D. Nicolì and M. Årthun (2022). Propagation of thermohaline anomalies and their predictive potential along the Atlantic water pathway. [[https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-1007.1 | Journal of Climate, 35, 2111–2131, 2022, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-1007.1]]. //Open Access// (RyC_Pablo) [CVC] 
 +  - Mahmood, R.,  M. G. Donat, P. Ortega, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, C. Delgado-Torres, M. Samsó and P.-A. Bretonnière (2022). Constraining low-frequency variability in climate projections to predict climate on decadal to multi-decadal time scales – a poor man's initialized prediction system. [[https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1437/2022/ |Earth System Dynamics, 13, 1437–1450, doi:10.5194/esd-13-1437-2022]]. //Open Access//  (PATHFINDER, EUCP, AXA_Markus, RyC_Pablo) [CVC] 
 +  - Materia, S., C. Ardilouze, C. Prodhomme, M.G. Donat, M. Benassi, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Peano, L.-P. Caron, P. Ruggieri and S. Gualdi (2022). Summer temperature response to extreme soil water conditions in the Mediterranean transitional climate regime. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-021-05815-8|Climate Dynamics, 58, 1943–1963, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05815-8]]. //Open Access// (MEDSCOPE) [CVC] 
 +   - Mezzina, B., J. García-Serrano, I. Bladé, F.M. Palmeiro, L. Batté, C. Ardilouze, M. Benassi and S. Gualdi (2022). Multi-model assessment of the late-winter extra-tropical response to El Niño and La Niña. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05415-y | Climate Dynamics, 58, 1965–1986, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05415-y]]. //Open Access// (MEDSCOPE). [CVC] 
 +  - Mezzina, B., F.M. Palmeiro, J. García-Serrano, I. Bladé, L. Batté and M. Benassi (2022). Multi-model assessment of the late-winter stratospheric response to El Niño and La Niña. [[https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-021-05836-3 | Climate Dynamics, 58, 1987–2007, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05836-3]]. //Open Access// (MEDSCOPE). [CVC] 
 +  - Michel, S., D. Swingedouw, J. Mignot, P. Ortega, G. Gastineau, G.McCarthy, M. Khodri (2022). Early warning signal for a tipping point suggested by a millennial Atlantic Multidecadal Variability reconstruction. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32704-3 | Nature Communications, 13, 5176, doi:10.1038/s41467-022-32704-3]]. (RyC_Portega) [CVC] 
 +  - Moreno-Chamarro, E., L.-P. Caron, S. Loosveldt Tomas, J. Vegas-Regidor, O. Gutjahr, M.-P. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C.D. Roberts, M.J. Roberts, R. Senan, L. Terray, E. Tourigny and P.L. Vidale (2022). Impact of increased resolution on long-standing biases in HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA climate models. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-269-2022 | Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 269–289, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-269-2022]]. //Open Access// (PRIMAVERA, IS-ENES3, SPFireSD,  CMUG-CCI3-TECHPROP, STREAM) [CVC] 
 +  - {{ :publications:moreno-chamarro-2021_natcc_newsviews.pdf |Moreno-Chamarro, E.}} (2022). Delayed recovery of the tropical rain belt. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01237-w|Nature Climate Change, 12, 9–10, doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01237-w]]. [CVC] 
 +  - Orihuela-García, M. A., Bolado-Penagos, M., Sala, I., Tovar-Sánchez, A., García, C. M., Bruno, M., Echevarría, F. & Laiz, I. (2022). Trace metals distribution between the surface waters of the Gulf of Cadiz and the Alboran Sea. Science of The Total Environment, 159662, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159662 [CVC] 
 +  - Ortega, P., E.W. Blockley, M. Køltzow, F. Massonnet, I. Sandu, G. Svensson, J.C. Acosta Navarro, G. Arduini, L. Batté, E. Bazile, M. Chevallier, R. Cruz-García, J.J. Day, T. Fichefet, D. Flocco, M. Gupta, K. Hartung, E. Hawkins, C. Hinrichs, L. Magnusson, E. Moreno-Chamarro, S. Pérez-Montero, L. Ponsoni, T. Semmler, D. Smith, J. Sterlin, M. Tjernström, I. Välisuo and T. Jung (2022). Improving Arctic weather and seasonal climate prediction: recommendations for future forecast systems evolution from the European project APPLICATE. [[https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/103/10/BAMS-D-22-0083.1.xml|Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103(10), E2203-E2213, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0083.1]].​ //Open Access// (APPLICATE, RyC_Pablo) [CVC] 
 +  - Pelletier, C., T. Fichefet, H. Goosse, K. Haubner, S. Helsen, P.-V. Huot, C. Kittel, F. Klein, S. Le clec'h, N. P. M. van Lipzig, S. Marchi, F. Massonnet, P. Mathiot, E. Moravveji, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, F. Pattyn, N. Souverijns, G. Van Achter, S. Vanden Broucke, A. Vanhulle, D. Verfaillie and L. Zipf (2022). PARASO, a circum-Antarctic fully-coupled ice-sheet - ocean - sea-ice - atmosphere - land model involving f.ETISh1.7, NEMO3.6, LIM3.6, COSMO5.0 and CLM4.5. [[https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/15/553/2022/ | Geoscience Model Development, 15, 553–594, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-553-2022.]] //Open Access// (PARAMOUR) [CVC] 
 +  - Simon, A., G. Gastineau, C. Frankignoul, V. Lapin and P. Ortega (2022). Pacific Decadal Oscillation modulates the Arctic sea-ice loss influence on the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation in winter. [[https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2022/egusphere-2022-69/| Weather and Climate Dynamics Discussions, doi:10.5194/egusphere-2022-69.]] //Open Access// (RyC_Portega, APPLICATE, INTAROS) [CVC] 
 +  - Simon A, S. M. Plecha, A. Russo, A. Teles-Machado, M. G. Donat, P.-A. Auger and R. M. Trigo (2022). Hot and cold marine extreme events in the Mediterranean over the period 1982-2021. [CVC][[https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2022.892201/full | Frontiers in Marine Science, 9, 892201, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.892201 ]] //Open Access// 
 +  - SmithD., R. Eade, M. Andrews, H. Ayres, A. Clark, S. Chripko, C. Deser, N. Dunstone, J. Garcia-Serrano, G. Gastineau, L. S. Graff, S. C. Hardiman, B. He, L. Hermanson,  T. Jung, J. Knight, X. Levine, G. Magnusdottir, E. Manzini, D. Matei, M. Mori, R.  Msadek, P. Ortega, Y. Peings, A. A. Scaife, J. A. Screen, M. Seabrook, T. Semmler  M. Sigmond, J. Streffing, L. Sun and A. Walsh (2022). Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-28283-y| Nature Communications13, 727, doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-28283-y]] //Open Access// (APPLICATE, RyC_Pablo) [CVC] 
 +  - Solaraju-MuraliB., D. Bojovic, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, A. Nicodemou, M. Terrado, L.-P. Caron and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2022). How decadal predictions entered the climate services arena: an example from the agriculture sector. [[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405880722000218|Climate Services, 27, 100303, doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100303]]. //Open Access// (MED-GOLD, EUCP, FOCUS-Africa, C3C_34c, La Caixa-Bala) [CVC] 
 +  - von Salzen, K., C.H. Whaley, S.C., Anenberg, R.V. Dingenen, Z. Klimont, M.G. Flanner, R. Mahmood, S.R. Arnold, S. Beagley, R.-Y. Chien, J.H. Christensen, S. Eckhardt, A.M.L. Ekman, N. Evangeliou, G. Faluvegi, J.S. Fu, M. Gauss, W. Gong, J.L. Hjorth, U. Im, S. Krishnan, K. Kupiainen, T. Kühn, J. Langner, K.S. Law, L. Marelle, D. Olivié, T. Onishi, N. Oshima, V.-V. Paunu, Y. Peng, D. Plummer, L. Pozzoli, S. Rao, J.-C. Raut, M. Sand, J. Schmale, M. Sigmond, M. A. Thomas, K. Tsigaridis, S. Tsyro, S.T. Turnock, M. Wang and B. Winter (2022). Clean air policies are key for successfully mitigating Arctic warming. [[https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-022-00555-x|Communications Earth & Environment, 3, 222, doi:10.1038/s43247-022-00555-x]]. //Open Access//. [CVC] 
 +  - Whaley, C. H., R. Mahmood, K. von Salzen et al. (2022). Model evaluation of short-lived climate forcers for the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme: a multi-species, multi-model study. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-975 | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, doi:10.5194/acp-2021-975]]. //Open Access// [CVC] 
 +   - White, S., E. Moreno-Chamarro, D. Zanchettin, H. Huhtamaa, D. Degroot, M. Stoffel and C. Corona (2022). The 1600 CE Huaynaputina eruption as a possible trigger for persistent cooling in the North Atlantic region. [[https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-739-2022 | Climate of the Past, 18, 739–757, doi:10.5194/cp-18-739-2022]]. //Open Access// (STREAM, PARAMOUR) [CVC] 
  
 ====2021==== ====2021====
working_groups/climate_prediction/publications.1762208794.txt.gz · Last modified: 2025/11/03 22:26 by portega